NFL MVP Odds & Picks – Mahomes Favored Ahead of Burrow & Allen
By Robert Duff in NFL Football
Published:
- Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the +600 favorite to repeat as NFL MVP during the 2023 season
- No player in NFL history has ever won both the Super Bowl and MVP in successive seasons
- Eight of the top nine contenders in NFL MVP odds are AFC QBs
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the reigning NFL MVP. He’s also the leader of the defending Super Bowl champions and is the current NFL MVP odds favorite.
In fact, in five seasons under center for the Chiefs as their QB1, there’s not much that Mahomes hasn’t accomplished on the football field. He’s a two-time Super Bowl champion and NFL MVP. He’s led KC to three appearances in the big game and on five trips to the AFC Championship Game.
There’s one thing he hasn’t done. In fact, no player in league history has achieved this feat. That would be to win the Super Bowl and be named NFL MVP in the same season.
Oddsmakers think Mahomes is the guy who can make this type of statement. Not only are the Chiefs the pick in the Super Bowl odds again, Mahomes is the chalk to repeat in the NFL MVP odds. The betting line in both of these markets is set at +600.
What Are the Current Odds for NFL MVP
| Player (Team) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) | +600 |
| Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals) | +700 |
| Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) | +750 |
| Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) | +900 |
| Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers) | +950 |
| Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) | +1400 |
| Aaron Rodgers (New York Jets) | +1500 |
| Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) | +1800 |
| Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins) | +2200 |
| Justin Fields (Chicago Bears) | +2500 |
| Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) | +2500 |
| Geno Smith (Seattle Seahawks) | +3000 |
| Derek Carr (New Orleans Saints) | +4000 |
| Jared Goff (Detroit Lions) | +4000 |
| Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns) | +4000 |
| Russell Wilson (Denver Broncos) | +4500 |
| Brock Purdy (San Francisco 49ers) | +5000 |
| Daniel Jones (New York Giants) | +5000 |
| Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals) | +5000 |
| Kirk Cousins (Minnesota Vikings) | +5000 |
| Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers) | +5000 |
| Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams) | +5000 |
| Kenny Pickett (Pittsburgh Steelers) | +6000 |
| Christian McCaffrey (San Francisco 49ers) | +8000 |
| Matt Ryan (free agent) | +8000 |
| Mac Jones (New England Patriots) | +8000 |
| Cooper Kupp (Los Angeles Rams) | +10000 |
| Micah Parsons (Dallas Cowboys) | +10000 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo (Las Vegas Raiders) | +10000 |
| Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | +10000 |
| Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings) | +1000 |
| Sam Darnold (San Francisco 49ers) | +10000 |
Eight of the top nine in the NFL MVP odds betting market are AFC quarterbacks. Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles, fourth at +900, is the only NFC player to crack this stranglehold. The top 25 betting lines in the MVP odds all belong to QBs. San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (+8000) offers the best betting line of a non-QB. Quarterbacks have won the last 10 NFL MVP awards.
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Who Is Favored to Win NFL MVP?
While guiding the Chiefs to a NFL-best 14-3 record, Mahomes threw for a league-leading 5,250 yards and 41 TDs. His 308.8 yards passing per game, passing TD percentage (6.3%) and QBR (77.6) were also tops in the NFL.
Patrick Mahomes plays regular season football in exactly a week from nowpic.twitter.com/ZaRHOysBhn
— DraftKings Sportsbook (@DKSportsbook) September 1, 2023
It’s a boring, safe pick to play Mahomes to win the NFL MVP award. In 40% of his seasons as KC’s QB1, it’s also a bet that has paid off with a win.
Who Is the Best Bet On the NFL MVP?
Two QBs who could be in for monster years are Justin Herbert (+950) of the Los Angeles Chargers and Trevor Lawrence (+1800) of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Kellen Moore is the new offensive coordinator for the Chargers. He helped to engineer some big years for Dak Prescott with the Dallas Cowboys. Lawrence will be benefitting from playing against the weak sauce that is the AFC South.
Hurts was likely on course to win this award until that pursuit was scuttled by a late-season injury. Can he be as good again this season? Joe Burrow’s early-season injury uncertainty probably slows him down just enough to prevent an MVP season for the Cincinnati Bengals QB.
Josh Allen doing Josh Allen things 😳
pic.twitter.com/XOtTJJMtxO— PFF (@PFF) August 26, 2023
Of course, plenty of early-season attention will be focused on four-time NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers in his first season at the helm of the New York Jets. And that’s going to help make the case of Josh Allen. When Allen leads a fired-up Buffalo Bills team out of the gate to prove they’re still the beasts of the AFC East, it’s only going to bolster the MVP case he was stating so well during the first half of the 2022 season.
Allen was second among NFL QBs last season in TD passes (35) and QBR (71.4). He also ran for another seven TDs.
This season, Allen finally gets over the MVP hump.
NFL MVP picks: Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills) +750
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Sports Writer
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
