Vikings Win Total Odds & Playoff Chances After Jordan Addison Suspension

• Jordan Addison’s three-game suspension shifts Vikings’ win total and playoff odds
• The Vikings will be without their WR2 for crucial early-season matchups
• Keep reading for Minnesota’s updated futures and receiver props following the Addison suspension

The Minnesota Vikings caught a tough break Tuesday when the NFL handed Jordan Addison a three-game suspension for violating the league’s Substances of Abuse Policy.

The second-year receiver’s absence leaves J.J. McCarthy without a key weapon during the biggest games of his young career. Oddsmakers have certainly taken notice.

While the Vikings entered 2025 with modest expectations, losing Addison for nearly 20% of the season makes their playoff path much tougher.

Addison’s Suspension Details

The NFL’s decision stems from Addison’s July 2024 DUI arrest in Los Angeles, where police found him asleep at the wheel of a white Rolls Royce blocking traffic near LAX. He recently pleaded no contest to a lesser charge, but the league still imposed its standard three-game ban for DUI-related violations.

Games Addison Will Miss

Addison returns in Week 4 against the Steelers in Dublin. That’s three games without Minnesota’s 875-yard receiver from last season, including two prime-time contests where McCarthy needs all the help he can get.

Vikings Win Total After Suspension

The suspension didn’t dramatically shift Minnesota’s win total at DraftKings, but the movement shows where the money’s heading. The main line stays at 9.5 wins in the NFL win totals, though the juice has moved toward the Under.

Minnesota Vikings 2025 Win Total Odds

The Vikings went 14-3 last season with Sam Darnold under center, but oddsmakers aren’t buying a repeat performance. Even before the suspension, Minnesota’s win total sat well below last year’s mark. Now, with Addison out for three games, the Under 9.5 at -125 looks even more appealing.

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All Vikings futures odds as of Aug. 5, 2025, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out the best US betting sites ahead of football season.

Vikings Playoff Odds and Chances

Minnesota sits right on the playoff bubble at -110 to make the postseason, which works out to 52.4% implied probability. That’s the 15th-best price in the NFL Playoff odds and makes Minny the last team favored to reach the playoffs.

NFC North Playoff Odds Comparison

The Vikings face tough sledding in the NFL’s best division. They’re well behind both Detroit and Green Bay, and that gap likely grows without Addison for three divisional games. Minnesota hasn’t won the NFC North since 2022, and the NFL divisional odds imply that drought continues.

Jefferson and Addison Props After Suspension

The suspension creates interesting dynamics in Minnesota’s receiving props. Justin Jefferson’s yardage line sits at 1,250.5 with slight juice on the Over (-120), while Addison’s updated 625.5-yard projection accounts for his three-game absence.

Receiver Props Comparison

The 625-yard gap between their projections shows how much Jefferson dominates Minnesota’s passing attack. Addison’s line projects him for 47 yards per game over 13 contests – well below his 58.3 yards per game last season.

Jefferson caught for 1,533 yards on 154 targets last year. Without Addison early, those target numbers should increase. The slight juice on Jefferson’s Over suggests oddsmakers expect him to thrive without his running mate, though the touchdown prop tells a different story.

DraftKings hasn’t posted Addison’s touchdown props yet, likely recalibrating after the suspension news. Last season’s nine touchdowns in 15 games works out to 0.6 per game. Over 13 games, that math points to a line around 7.5 touchdowns, though McCarthy’s inexperience likely pushes it lower.

The suspension creates problems beyond individual props. With T.J. Hockenson battling an injury in camp and Jalen Nailor stepping into a bigger role, McCarthy’s target distribution becomes unpredictable. That should push bettors toward betting some Vikings unders.

Minnesota already faced long odds with a rookie quarterback and the NFL’s fourth-toughest schedule. Now they’re missing their 1,786-yard receiver for games against Chicago, Atlanta, and Cincinnati – all potential playoff teams. The Vikings can’t afford to start 1-2 or worse if they want any shot at the postseason. That margin for error just disappeared.