Early NFL Props to Target for Week 7 – Jordan Love, Trey McBride and More

• Week 7 NFL props target vulnerable defenses with Jordan Love facing Arizona’s broken secondary
• Jordan Love, Trey McBride and Alvin Kamara headline our top NFL player prop bets for Week 7
• Check out our best early NFL Week 7 player props with analysis, odds and betting picks

After hitting 2-1 in our early NFL player props last week with Jacobs and Mayfield cashing, I’m staying on the hunt for defensive mismatches. Six weeks in, the numbers are crystal clear. Arizona can’t stop quarterbacks. Green Bay gives up tight-end production weekly. Chicago’s run defense remains bottom-five despite finally showing up Monday night.

The NFL props market moves slower than it should when defenses collapse. That’s where we find value. These three Week 7 NFL player props exploit bad defenses meeting elite talent at the right time.

NFL Week 7 Player Props to Target

Odds as of October 15th, 2025, at top-rated NFL betting apps.

NFL Player Prop Pick: Jordan Love Passing Yards

Arizona’s pass defense ranks among the worst in football, allowing 246.0 passing yards per game through six weeks. Every quarterback who faces them puts up numbers. Mac Jones threw for 266 yards against this secondary. Backup Jacoby Brissett torched them for 234 yards when he got the start in Week 6.

Love’s hitting his stride after a rocky September, and the efficiency metrics back it up. He’s posting an elite 8.6 yards per attempt with a career-high 70.1% completion rate while protecting the ball at an exceptional level. His 1.4% interception rate paired with a 6.1% touchdown rate shows he’s making smart decisions and capitalizing on opportunities.

The recent performances prove he’s clicking with his receivers. Love just completed 73% of his passes for 259 yards against Cincinnati, averaging 9.96 yards per attempt on just 26 throws. That came right after his monster 337-yard, three-touchdown performance in Dallas where he uncorked 43 attempts and carved up another struggling defense.

Love’s averaging 251.8 yards per game this season with consistent volume. He’s attempted 26-plus passes in four of five games, and he’s completed 18 passes of 20-plus yards with three completions over 40 yards. The big play ability is absolutely there when he attacks downfield.

The Cardinals are dealing with major injury concerns heading into Sunday. Kyler Murray missed Week 6 with a foot sprain and remains questionable. Marvin Harrison Jr. is still in concussion protocol after getting knocked out last week. If Murray can’t play or is limited, Arizona’s offense might struggle to keep this competitive.

Green Bay opened as 6.5-point road favorites, which tells you oddsmakers expect the Packers to control this game from start to finish. Arizona’s safety play ranks in the 49.3 percentile, and cornerback Max Melton has allowed an 84.7 QB rating when targeted. The Cardinals struggle most with vertical throws down the field, exactly where Love excels with Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson.

At a projected over/under of 237.5 yards, this line feels low given Love’s efficiency and the matchup. I’m projecting him for 270-285 yards against a defense that’s allowed multiple touchdown passes in five of six games this season.

• Early Bet: Jordan Love over 237.5 passing yards

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NFL Player Prop Pick: Trey McBride Receiving Yards

McBride just posted his best game of the season with 8 catches for 72 yards and a touchdown on 11 targets against Indianapolis. That elite volume isn’t a fluke. He’s averaging 6.2 receptions per game on 8.8 targets with a 26.9% team target share, making him the Cardinals’ most reliable weapon all year long.

Here’s what matters most: McBride hasn’t dropped below 5 catches or 7 targets in a single game this season. That consistency is money in the bank for props bettors. He runs 63% of the team’s routes and gets targeted on over 30% of those routes, regardless of who’s playing quarterback.

Whether Murray or Brissett takes snaps Sunday, they’re feeding McBride. The Cardinals move him all over the formation. Right slot, left tight, flexed out wide. That versatility creates mismatches, and Green Bay’s struggled mightily defending the position all season.

The Packers rank 26th defending tight ends, allowing 6.08 yards per target with a 79.6% catch rate. They’ve given up three touchdowns to the position through just five games. Any competent tight end picks them apart over the middle of the field, and McBride’s better than competent.

McBride’s been getting consistent red zone looks but hasn’t converted efficiently on touchdowns yet. That means he’s racking up volume without necessarily scoring. Those are extra catches that pad his receiving yards without inflating his touchdown-dependent scoring. Green Bay’s linebackers rank among the worst coverage units in football and simply can’t handle his route versatility.

• Early Bet: Trey McBride over 61.5 receiving yards

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NFL Player Prop Pick: Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards

Kamara’s been dealing with an ankle injury that has limited his workload the past two weeks. He averaged just 9 attempts per game in Weeks 5 and 6 compared to higher volume earlier in the season. All reports suggest he’s healthier heading into Week 7, which should normalize his carry count back to 15-plus attempts.

The efficiency metrics show Kamara is still elite when he gets volume. He’s posting an 81.9% positive run rate, meaning he gains yardage on more than 4 out of every 5 carries. His broken tackle rate shows he’s making defenders miss at a high level. The explosiveness is still there despite the ankle issues.

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Chicago presents the perfect get-right matchup for Kamara. The Bears rank tied for 28th defending running backs, giving up 5.62 yards per carry through six games. They looked better Monday night against Washington, but the season-long numbers reveal the truth about this unit’s struggles.

The Bears have allowed 127.5 rushing yards per game to opposing backs through six weeks. That’s exploitable for any competent rushing attack. Chicago’s front seven struggles to set the edge and consistently misses tackles in space, exactly where Kamara does his best work.

Kamara has just 1 rushing touchdown all season despite getting consistent red zone work. That’s brutal touchdown luck that should regress positively soon. The Saints desperately need offensive rhythm after their recent struggles. Getting their best player involved early against a defense that’s been torched on the ground all season makes perfect sense for New Orleans.

• Early Bet: Alvin Kamara over 40.5 rushing yards

Brady’s Early NFL Props Record: 11-9

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