Historical NBA MVP Futures from Past Seasons

• This page lists the NBA MVP odds from all prior seasons since 2018
• The seasons are listed below in reverse-chronological order
• Looking for the current NBA MVP odds?

Starting with the 2018-19 season, SBD has annually tracked the NBA MVP odds each year. This page preserves the NBA MVP futures from each season since that time, allowing readers to look back and see who was the favorite at the start of the year and how the odds shifted during the 82-game season.

Use the jump links below to go to a specific NBA season:

2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019

Odds to Win 2025 NBA Most Valuable Player

Top 2 All 11-25 21 & Up

NBA MVP Odds Movement Timeline

• March 5: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has taken control of the NBA Most Valuable Player odds table. Since mid-December, SGA’s MVP odds have shortened from +274 to -691.
• November 25: A month into the season, Jokic is the +215 favorite on average, followed closely by Gilgeous-Alexander at +268.

2024 NBA MVP Odds

Top 3 Top 10 11-20

Notes on the NBA MVP odds movement over the course of the 2023-24 season include:

• Mar. 26, 2024: Only six players are now getting MVP odds from sportsbooks, with Jokic (-515), SGA (+519), and Doncic (+1050) still the Top 3.
• Jan. 12, 2024: While Jokic (+170) remains the favorite, Gilgeous-Alexander (+295) has surpassed Doncic (+449) for second.
• Nov. 4, 2023: Jokic continues to shorten incrementally, while Doncic remains the second-favorite.
• Oct. 26, 2023: A strong start to the season from Nikola Jokic moved his odds to +382, while second-favorite Doncic is back at +550.
• July 10, 2023: At +418, two-time winner Jokic is slightly ahead of Giannis (+525) and Doncic (+546) in the early 2024 NBA MVP odds with reigning-winner Embiid fourth at +733.

2023 NBA MVP Odds

Top 3 Top 5 6-10 All

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• February 21: Jokic’s odds have improved to a season-best -264. Second-favorite Embiid has faded to +470.
• January 24: Two-time reigning MVP Nikola Jokic has become the odds-on favorite (-119) to win his third straight.
• January 5: Doncic (+287) has a slim lead over Tatum (+345) and Jokic (+365). Giannis (+410) remains a viable contender.
• December 5: Tatum (+264) is narrowly favored over Giannis (+282) with Doncic (+288) fading to a close-third as his Mavs fall off the pace in the West.
• November 7: Giannis has taken over as the +235 favorite, narrowly ahead of Doncic (+335).
• October 25: A hot start has consolidated Doncic’s status as favorite (+415). Leading Portland to a studding 4-0 start, Damian Lillard has improved from +5200 to +1950.
• August 25: Luka Doncic has opened as the +450 favorite, on average. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Joel Embiid are tied for second at +663.

2022-23 NBA MVP Favorites

Odds as of Mar. 5, 2023, at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel promo code. 

2022 NBA MVP Odds

Top 3 Top 10

• [March 30] The odds have shifted overnight, as Nikola Jokic has now become odds-on favorite to repeat as league MVP after a triple-double against the Hornets
• [March 29] Joel Embiid’s odds have continued to shorten as we near April, now at an average of around -200 at most sportsbooks
• [March 11] Embiid has been on a tear since the acquisition of James Harden, and is back to odds-on MVP favorite
• [March 2] James Harden has looked rejuvenated since suiting up in a Sixers uniform, and it’s only boosted Embiid’s MVP odds – as he can now be found as short as -110 to win. DeMar DeRozan and Ja Morant’s odds also continue to shorten as they enjoy career best seasons
• [Feb 17] Despite concerned Harden’s addition to the team could hurt Embiid’s MVP odds, that’s not the case as the Beard has yet to take to the floor. Joel Embiid’s price has shortened in to a stronger favorite, while Jokic and Antetokounmpo remain second and third in the odds. Steph Curry’s odds have continued fading
• [Feb 8] With rumors swirling about a potential Simmons for Harden trade, could Joel Embiid’s MVP outlook improve by the deadline on Thursday? Now could be the time to get in on Giannis, Jokic or Curry if you think Harden will be heading to Philly to take away some touches for the big man
• [Feb 3] Joel Embiid and Nikola Jokic have been putting up monstrous stat lines for two weeks and carrying their respective clubs, surging to the top two MVP favorites
• [Jan 27] As Steph Curry was in a slump over the past 10 days, Giannis Antetokounmpo has surged to favorites’ position, and Joel Embiid is now tied with Curry at average odds of +325. The 76ers big man has scored 30+ in six straight contests
• [Jan 18] With Durant suffering a knee sprain and set to miss time, it looks like Curry’s MVP to win. With that being said, Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Bucks are finally fully healthy and the Greek Freak has shortened average odds of +350 in wake of the Durant news. If you think KD still has a chance to win it if/when he returns, he can still be found at +1400 at FanDuel
• [Jan 12] Curry remains the favorite – and it looks to be a two man race between him and Kevin Durant. DeMar DeRozan’s continued stellar play for the Bulls has pushed him in to the fringes of the race
• [Dec 23] With Giannis Antetokounmpo in health and safety protocols, his odds have faded to +875 on average
• [Dec 17] Durant’s odds have shortened to an average of +305, and with a return of Kyrie Irving in some capacity imminent, could push the Nets even higher
• [Dec 10] Now returning to action, Luka Doncic’s odds have plateaued at an average of +2350 – can he get back in the race?
• [Dec 3] Having avoided injury and playing great ball, Steph Curry has distanced himself as the heavy favorite at average odds of +150
• [November 24] Steph Curry’s odds continue to shorten amidst his stellar play, now at an average of +200
• [November 17] In Tuesday’s blowout win in Brooklyn, Curry dropped nine threes on the Nets and outplayed Kevin Durant pushing the Warriors to the best record in the league. As such, Curry’s odds shortened to solo favorite, an average of +273 from the leading sportsbooks
• [November 9] Fresh off dropping 50 points against the Hawks on Monday night, Stephen Curry’s leading the best team in the league by record and his odds have shortened to +300 – ahead of both Durant and Antetokounmpo
• [November 3] With the Mavericks struggling out of the gate, Doncic’s odds have continually slid as he’s now behind co-favorites Curry and Antetokounmpo as well as Kevin Durant who is doing it all for the Nets at average odds of +600
• [October 26] After the season’s opening week, Jason Kidd’s hire has not meshed well with the Mavericks dropping Doncic’s odds – while former MVP winners Curry and Antetokounmpo have seen their odds shorten to between +600 and +650 depending on your book
• [October 15] The Nets will not have Kyrie Irving as a team member due to his vaccination status, so Durant’s odds have shortened to an average of +600 – just behind the favorite Doncic
• [October 5] With Kyrie Irving’s availability in question due to vaccination status, Kevin Durant could have an even heavier workload – as his odds have shortened to +700
• [September 9] Russell Westbrook’s odds have shortened with him set to have a massive role for the Lakers during the regular season
• [July 21] The Dallas Mavericks star has once again opened as an MVP favorite, with Joel Embiid and Kevin Durant at odds of +700. Can Giannis win his third MVP in four seasons? Antetokounmpo opens fresh off his title at +800 to win MVP

2021-22 NBA MVP Favorites

Odds as of March 30th at Caesars Sportsbook

2021 NBA MVP Odds

Top 5 Top 10 All Players

• [June 9] Nikola Jokic was a runaway MVP winner, and also made history as the lowest drafted player to win the award
• [May 18] With the regular season now complete, the odds have significantly moved in Jokic’s favor, as the Serbian big man is now -8500 to win the award

• [May 11] Nikola Jokic’s odds have shortened down to -1950 on average with just a week left in the regular season
• [May 4] With the regular season winding down, Jokic has shortened to very heavy odds of -925 on average to walk away with the 2021 MVP
• [Apr 27] Curry’s odds continue to shorten, now down to an average of +1300 and firmly in the MVP top five conversation
• [Apr 20] Steph Curry looks set to lead the league in scoring as he carries the Warriors towards the playoffs, and he saw his average odds shorten to +2400 from +10000 after scoring 49 points against the Sixers on Monday night
• [Apr 15] Now being asked to shoulder a heavier load with Jamal Murray unfortunately suffering a season ending, Jokic’s odds have shortened further, to an average of -200
• [April 8] With James Harden joining the long line of injured stars this season out with a hamstring strain for the near future, Joel Embiid has retaken his spot as the second favorite for MVP, now at odds of +380
• [March 29] As the Nets assemble what they hope is a championship roster through the buyout market, James Harden’s MVP odds have continued shortening since heading to Brooklyn. As long as +5600 in mid-February, his carrying of the Nets while KD and Kyrie have been out now has his average odds at +700 to win his second MVP award
• [March 22] After LeBron James suffered a high ankle sprain over the weekend, Nuggets big man Nikola Jokic became the consensus MVP favorite across the books, at average odds of +100. James’ odds have fallen to +500, still second in the market as he’s likely to return in three weeks to a month. Giannis Antetokounmpo may have been the biggest winner, as his odds have shortened all the way to an average of +775
• [March 16] With Joel Embiid out for a few weeks due to a  left knee bruise, LeBron is back to the favorite at the sportsbooks, now at average odds of +155
• [March 9] Embiid is officially the favorite across the sportsbooks, climbing to average odds of +195 ahead of LeBron, who is now +255
• [March 3] It’s getting closer between LeBron and Embiid, as the Cameroonian superstar has shortened to average odds of +288, and James has lengthened to an average of +208
• [February 24] Coming off his mammoth 50-point outing this past week, Embiid’s odds have shortened to an average of +325, now the second favorite behind LeBron, who is at odds of +150
• [February 16] With AD out until at least the All-Star break, James’ odds have shortened even further to +175 as he will need to carry a heavier load for the Lakers
• [February 10] LeBron has strengthened his hold on what could be his fifth league MVP award, now at average odds of +278
• [February 1] Nikola Jokic went off against the Jazz on Sunday, scoring 47 points as Denver ended Utah’s 11 game winning streak. With the performance, Jokic’s odds have shortened into the top two, now at average odds of +470, just behind LeBron who is still at odds of +350
• [January 27] After his explosion for 46 points in Cleveland on Tuesday, bettors have flooded the books with money on LeBron to win MVP, as he’s now at average odds of +500
• [January 20] At some sportsbooks Durant has moved ahead of Antetokounmpo, but the Nets’ star’s average odds are now +700, still behind Giannis’ average odds of +575
• [January 11] Vaulting the Sixers to the 3rd best record in the East and averaging 24 and 12 to start the season, Joel Embiid’s average odds have shortened to +1100
• [January 6] Kevin Durant’s impressive start to the season keeps improving his odds, as he now is 3rd in he race at average odds of +750
• [December 29] There hasn’t been a shakeup among favorites as of yet after the opening week of play. Despite his explosion in Portland, uncertainty around his situation has faded James Harden’s odds to +2250
• [December 22] As James Harden’s antics continue in Houston, his odds keep fading – now at a price of +1650
• [December 15] With a week to go before the season tips off, Doncic has surged ahead of Antetokounmpo, at average odds of +405 to win MVP in his third NBA season
• [November 17] Antetokounmpo has inched ahead of Doncic with training camp approaching, now at average odds of +445 to win his third consecutive MVP. Luka’s average odds are currently +470 as he enters his third season in the league
• [October 19] With odds opening up for the next NBA season, Giannis Antetokounmpo is the favorite to “threepeat” at odds of +600. Luka Doncic also has +600 odds headed into this third season, while LeBron James & Anthony Davis are +700

NBA MVP Top Contenders

Odds as of May 18th

2020 NBA MVP Odds

Top 5 Top 9 All Players

• [September 18] Capping off his run as the heavy favorite, Antetokounmpo was named the 2019-20 MVP
• [August 10] Despite seeding games not counting towards MVP voting, the odds have improved for LeBron to +600, while Giannis remains the heavy favorite at -3300
• [July 15] With players now in the NBA Bubble, Giannis has only strengthened his grip on the award – all but a lock at average odds of +3300. LeBron has an average price of +950
• [June 10] We finally have an update on MVP odds since the season was suspended, with Giannis the heavy -950 favorite. LeBron at +450 is the only other player in the stratosphere
• [March 2] After showing out against Zion Williamson & the Pelicans this week in two games, LeBron has become the consensus second favorite to challenge Giannis
• [February 25] While Giannis remains the overwhelming favorite, James Harden saw his price fade to +1200 despite Houston’s recent success
• [February 18] Coming out of the All-Star Break the award is Giannis Antetokounmpo’s to lose, at average odds of -425
• [February 7] Damian Lillard has seen his average price shorten significantly after his historic January, down to +2300 from +7000
• [February 3] With Luka Doncic set to miss time with an ankle injury once again, his odds have faded to +600, while LeBron James & Giannis Antetokounmpo have seen their prices shorten
• [January 23] As the Miami Heat hold onto 2nd in the East, Jimmy Butler has re-appeared on the board with average odds of +6000
• [January 2] Antetokounmpo is now the odds-on favorite to repeat as MVP at average odds of -130, while Luka Doncic holds as top competitor after returning from injury
• [December 18] Giannis Antetokounmpo has reached his shortest odds of the season, listed at an average of +115
• [December 11] After peaking at an average of +250 odds last week, Luka Doncic has experienced a slight fade to +348
• [December 2] Kawhi Leonard’s odds have continued their fall, as he’s now +3300 to win the award, as Paul George’s return and load management have taken their affect on his production
• [November 27] Harden’s time atop the board was shortlived, as he’s faded back to +375 as Giannis regains the top spot with +225 odds. Luka Doncic has also continued his rise to second in odds, now at a price of +350
• [November 20] James Harden has surged into first place with his magnificent month of scoring at +175, while Luka Doncic has also skyrocketed up to +700 as he puts up major numbers in Dallas
• [November 7] After a monstrous week of three triple-doubles, LeBron James has vaulted back up the board to +700
• [November 1] With Steph Curry likely out for the season, both James Harden and Anthony Davis have seen significant improvement to their odds, now listed at +400 for each player
• [October 21] On the eve of the season, Anthony Davis’ odds have shortened significantly, as he is now just behind Giannis Antetokounmpo with average odds of +480
• [September 30] With training camps set to open, Kawhi Leonard’s average odds have fallen to +930
• [September 11] After a full summer as a member of the the Rockets, Russell Westbrook’s average odds have fallen from +1900 to +2100
• [August 22] The Anthony Davis hype tour led in full force by LeBron has taken effect at the books, as Davis’ average odds have increased from +870  to +730.
• [July 20] LeBron James’ average NBA MVP odds have shortened from +900 to +730
• [July 12] James Harden and Russell Westbrook’s 2020 MVP odds have both taken a hit after teaming up in Houston
• [July 8] Giannis Antetokounmpo is favored to win his second consecutive NBA MVP award after finishing with 78 first place votes in 2019, well ahead of Jame Harden, who garnered 23 first place votes

NBA MVP Top Contenders

Odds taken on August 10th

2019 NBA MVP Odds

NBA MVP Top Contenders

*Odds taken on 06/24/19