Kennesaw State vs Missouri State Prediction & CFB Odds (Oct. 14)
By Brady Trettenero in College Football
Published:
- Kennesaw State visits Missouri State in Wednesday CFB action on Oct. 14
- My CFB picks target the moneyline and game total
- Read below for my Kennesaw State vs Missouri State prediction and the latest odds
Two programs desperate for a bounce-back performance meet when Kennesaw State travels to face Missouri State on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on CBSSN from Robert W. Plaster Stadium in Springfield, Missouri.
Both squads enter Week 7 sitting at 1-4 and stinging from recent defeats. The Bears are regrouping after a decisive 34-13 road loss to Western Kentucky, while the Owls hope to rebound from a heartbreaking 27-26 defeat at the hands of Jacksonville State.
My Kennesaw State vs Missouri State prediction weighs the rushing matchup against two offenses looking for a more complete performance. The win prices and a separate total pick follow.
Kennesaw State vs Missouri State Prediction
- Kennesaw State moneyline (58¢ on Kalshi)
My Kennesaw State vs Missouri State prediction centers on the Owls’ rushing attack against a vulnerable Missouri State front. The Owls average 376.4 total yards per game with a rushing attack churning out 157.0 yards at a healthy 4.73 per carry.
Missouri State is the wrong opponent for that. The Bears surrender 449.6 total yards and 32.4 points per game, and they get gashed on the ground specifically, allowing 196.4 rushing yards at 4.77 per carry.
Rickie Collins is the engine for Kennesaw State. He has passed for 1,042 yards while adding 246 rushing yards and four touchdowns, giving the Owls a quarterback who can extend drives with his legs when the pocket breaks down.
He has help behind him too. Boogie Woods III and Latrelle Murrell combine to average 5.2 yards a carry, which is exactly the profile you want against a front allowing almost 200 rushing yards per game.
Kennesaw State has scored just 22.6 points per game, but its last two losses came by one and three points. Against this defense, I like the Owls to turn another competitive game into a win.
Kennesaw State vs Missouri State Odds
Kalshi YES buy prices. Compare them across other prediction market apps before you take a position.
The Kennesaw State vs Missouri State odds trade in cents, with each price reflecting the market’s implied probability. A 58¢ Yes on the Owls means you risk 58¢ for a $1 settlement if they win, so the market already sees them as a moderate road favorite.
The 58¢ price is approximately -138 in American odds before fees. I prefer paying for the outright win to requiring Kennesaw State to cover a field-goal spread after its last two losses came by a combined four points.
Winning contracts settle at $1; trading fees can apply.
Kennesaw State vs Missouri State Total Pick
- Over 52.5 (-111 at BetMGM)
My Kennesaw State vs Missouri State total pick is Over 52.5. The case rests almost entirely on one defense, since Missouri State has allowed 50 points to Texas A&M and 34 to both SMU and Western Kentucky this season.
That is a unit capable of giving up points in bunches against far better offenses than the one it will see here. Kennesaw State does not need to be explosive to put up a number against it, just efficient on the ground.
The Over also correlates with my moneyline side. If Kennesaw State is marching down the field the way I expect, they are scoring, and Missouri State will be throwing to keep up.
The risk is real though. Kennesaw State allows just 23.4 points per game, and these two offenses combine for 44.4 points per game on the season, so the Over needs more scoring than their combined season average.
Kennesaw State vs Missouri State Key Stats
The Kennesaw State vs Missouri State stats show similar scoring averages, with both teams scoring around 22 points per game. Every meaningful gap in this matchup sits on the defensive side, where Missouri State gives up 82 more total yards per game than Kennesaw State does.
Kennesaw State Offense vs Missouri State Defense
The Bears have given up over 230 rushing yards in three of their five games this season. That is the cleanest evidence that Kennesaw State’s ground game should find room.
If the Owls protect the football, they can methodically march against a unit yielding 253.2 passing yards and 196.4 rushing yards per contest.
Missouri State Offense vs Kennesaw State Defense
Skyler Locklear leads the Bears with 788 passing yards, splitting reps with Duke transfer Henry Belin IV as a change-of-pace option. Neither has given the offense a consistent identity through five games.
The backfield splits between Jambres Dubar and Ramone Green Jr., and the team averages just 135.2 rushing yards per game at a pedestrian 4.0 per carry. They run into a Kennesaw State front holding opponents to 148.0 rushing yards, giving the Owls another way to control possession.
Total price from BetMGM, subject to change. See the BetMGM promo code page for the current new-user offer.
Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
