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Canelo Alvarez vs Lionel Messi – Odds Released for Potential Boxing Fight

Dylan Bowker

by Dylan Bowker in Boxing

Nov 29, 2022 · 1:00 PM PST

Canelo Alvarez vs Lionel Messi
Sep 17, 2022; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Canelo Alvarez (red trunks) and Gennadiy Golovkin (white trunks) box during a super middleweight championship bout at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports
  • Canelo Alvarez vs Lionel Messi is the surprise feud taking the internet by storm
  • One of the world’s best fighters favored over legendary footballer in boxing bout
  • Check out the Canelo Alvarez vs Lionel Messi odds, analysis, and predictions below

Canelo Alvarez vs Lionel Messi isn’t a series of words I expected to ever be typing. The former is a gigantic favorite over the latter after opening Alvarez vs Messi odds were released.

Oddsmakers have already crafted a line for this one following some social media beef transpiring. Let’s take a look at the Alvarez vs Messi odds as we analyze this possible fight.

Canelo Alvarez vs Lionel Messi Odds

Fighter Odds
Canelo Alvarez -100000
Lionel Messi +10000

Odds as of  November 29th.


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The Canelo vs Messi odds give Alvarez 99.9% implied probability to win the fight.

This unlikely cross-sport beef stems from what looks to be a complete misunderstanding.

Canelo Favored in Opening Boxing Odds

Canelo is a proud Mexican fighter and he felt that Messi disrespected Mexico recently.

The world champion accused the soccer star of some inflammatory things in a recent tweet. He alleges Messi was cleaning the floor with the Mexican jersey and the country’s flag as well.

Alvarez is the undisputed super middleweight champion currently. Also, he has held championship gold in four different weight categories. Canelo last competed in September and bested rival Gennady Golovkin in their trilogy clash.

Canelo also sent a follow-up tweet intimating that he would get physical with the Argentinian athlete should the two ever cross paths. This is the reason why odds came out for this hypothetical boxing contest. The thing is, this would be more ridiculous than even a Jake Paul fight.

Messi an Underdog vs Canelo

Messi, along with his Argentina teammates, recently beat Mexico 2-0. This came in a Group C game during the World Cup. He scored one of the two goals and Alvarez seemed to interpret a normative locker room practice as brazen disrespect.

It seems like Messi simply took off his shoes and incidentally nudged a Mexican jersey as opposed to consciously, disrespectfully kicking it.

The Argentine footballer’s teammates came to his defense, saying Messi was simply trying to take off his boot and wasn’t deliberately trying to kick anything emblematic of Mexico.  Even the Mexican football captain posits that Canelo might be confused about locker room culture in football.

A cathartic necessary win for Argentina to keep in the World Cup bracket quickly turned. It now changes into a potentially stressful scenario for the relieved 35-year-old Messi.

Canelo Alvarez vs Lionel Messi Projected Odds Movement

No athletic commission on the planet would ever sanction a fight like this. Perhaps a spirited arm wrestling contest or something of the sort can diffuse the rivalry but that’s about it.

Messi has no business being in a boxing ring with someone the caliber of Canelo, and the odds back that up. It would be different if Messi wanted to fight some dweeb YouTuber or TikTok dork, but it would be malpractice of the worst kind to have him fight Canelo.

Messi and company have more World Cup action to get ready for. Plus, Alvarez continues to carve out a legacy as a generational boxing talent. I believe both would be better served to stick to their respective sports. Also, I think me living on the moon is more likely than this fight ever being booked.


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