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Floyd Schofield vs Lucas Bahdi Prediction, Odds & Best Bets (Oct. 10)

By Jaren Kawada in Boxing

Published:


Oscar De La Hoya speaks about boxer Jamie Munguia (center) about the Munguia v Ryder main event during a press conference for Golden Boy boxing event on Jan. 25, 2024.
  • Floyd Schofield and Lucas Bahdi fight for the vacant WBA lightweight title in Saturday night’s main event
  • WBC and WBA flyweight champion Ricardo Sandoval returns to defend his titles against Sergio Mendoza in the co-main event
  • Check out the best analysis, predictions and bets for the full Floyd Schofield vs. Lucas Bahdi card below

For the first time in over a year, the WBA lightweight title will be on the line between top-two-ranked contenders Floyd Schofield (19-0) and Lucas Bahdi (20-0).

Schofield and Bahdi headline a nine-fight co-promoted event between Golden Boy Promotions and Most Valuable Promotions, featuring champions and prospects from both organizations.

Schofield, 24, returns for the first time in 16 months, remaining sidelined since his stunning first-round knockout of former title challenger Tevin Farmer.

Likewise, Bahdi ends a 14-month layoff with his first world title fight. The Canadian last out-pointed Roger Gutierrez across 12 rounds in his fourth Most Valuable Promotions fight.

With the several blatant mismatches littered throughout the card, we will be focusing on finding value in the two world title fights at the top of the card.

Floyd Schofield vs. Lucas Bahdi Odds

FighterOddsOver/Under Rounds
Floyd Schofield-900O10.5 (-150)
Lucas Bahdi+550U10.5 (+110)
FighterOddsOver/Under Rounds
Ricardo Sandoval-600O10.5 (-150)
Sergio Mendoza+400U10.5 (+110)

Odds as of Oct. 10, 2026, on theScore Bet. Check out the best boxing apps in 2026 to place a wager.

Between the two title fights, Floyd Schofield is the biggest favorite, priced at -900 to become the new WBA lightweight champion. Bahdi comes back at +550, giving him a 15.8 percent implied win probability.

Ricardo Sandoval is a healthy favorite to defend his titles in the co-main event against short-notice replacement Sergio Mendoza. The champion is -600, an implied win probability of 85.6 percent. Gutsy fans can get Mendoza as a +400 underdog.

Both title fights are expected to go longer and have over-under round totals lined at 10.5 rounds.

Floyd Schofield vs. Lucas Bahdi Prediction

Schofield and Bahdi have both been waiting for this opportunity for quite some time. Both have spent the last year sitting on the sidelines, suggesting a longer feel-out process could be in store, but once the action picks up, it will be clear which lightweight has more firepower.

Both have carved their way to the title with their power and ability to thrive in the chaos. The power might be similar, but the difference will be in speed and athleticism, where Schofield has a huge advantage.

While Bahdi likes fighting at a slower pace that allows him to pick his shots and set up his power, Schofield fights like a snake, constantly darting in and out of range. Schofield’s entries can get reckless at times, opening him up to counters, but the speed at which he moves has been a puzzle that remains unsolved.

Even when he has been hit, Schofield has proven himself capable of fighting through adversity. His constant offensive onslaught never wavers regardless of what comes back in his direction.

Conversely, Bahdi has yet to get hit by a similar amount of force and power that Schofield brings. ‘Kid Austin’ will not let him get into rhythm and continue pushing the pace until Bahdi folds.

Ricardo Sandoval vs. Sergio Mendoza Best Bet

Fifteen months after his gutsy win over Kenshiro Teraji to become a world champion with one of the biggest upsets of 2025, Ricardo Sandoval attempts his first title defense against short-notice replacement Sergio Mendoza. The American was initially booked against pound-for-pound star Oscar Collazo, but will instead walk into a much more favorable matchup.

Ring rust should not be an issue for Sandoval, who typically fights with constant pressure and forward motion. That grueling style fueled his back-and-forth victory over Teraji and will be the key to breaking down Mendoza.

Sandoval’s chin has been a recurring issue for him in his biggest fights, but he is undeniably one of the most entertaining fighters when he can get the fight to his range on the inside. ‘El Nino’ as developed an affinity for ripping the body to break his opponents down. Implementing that tactic will be crucial for him against the taller Mendoza.

Sandoval is much faster, both with his hands and his feet, with an edge in natural power. Mendoza has a bad habit of elevating his chin under pressure and brutally paid the price for it in his loss to Thanongsak Simsri. The version of Sandoval who beat Teraji should systematically break Mendoza down.

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