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Liberty vs Kennesaw State Odds, Spread & Prediction (Wednesday, Oct. 23)

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Football

Updated: October 23, 2024 at 3:55 am EDT

Published:


Liberty Flames quarterback Kaidon Salter throws football
Jan 1, 2024; Glendale, AZ, USA;Liberty Flames quarterback Kaidon Salter (7) throws against the Oregon Ducks during the first quarter of the 2024 Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Liberty vs Kennesaw State odds favor the road team by a wide margin
  • Our Liberty vs Kennesaw St prediction focuses on the game total
  • Read below for Liberty vs Kennesaw St prediction, odds and picks for Wednesday

The Liberty Flames (5-0) are set to take on the Kennesaw State Owls (0-6) at Fifth Third Bank Stadium in Kennesaw, Georgia on Wednesday, October 23, 2024. The kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on CBS Sports Network.

Liberty enters as a hefty 25.5-point favorite with the over/under set at 46 points. A win here would make the Flames bowl-eligible for the sixth straight season. Jamey Chadwell’s team remains undefeated and in the hunt for a spot in the CFP playoff bracket.

Let’s dive into the Liberty vs Kennesaw State odds, as we provide our Wednesday night CFB prediction.

Liberty vs Kennesaw State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Liberty -25.5 (-110) -3000 46 (-110)
Kennesaw State +25.5 (-110) +1300 46 (-110)

The Flames are substantial favorites in this Wednesday night Conference USA clash. The -25.5 point spread implies Liberty has an 81.6% chance of winning by more than 25 points. On the moneyline, Liberty’s -3000 odds translate to a 96.8% implied probability of victory, while Kennesaw State’s +1300 equates to just a 7.1% chance of an upset.

The odds are heavily skewed towards Liberty due to their unbeaten record and Kennesaw State’s winless campaign thus far. The Owls have lost by an average of 19 points per game against a tougher schedule compared to Liberty.

The game’s over/under is set relatively low at 46 points, likely due to Kennesaw State’s offensive struggles (just 13 points per game) and Liberty’s solid defense allowing only 21.2 points per contest.

 

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Flames Betting Analysis

Liberty has raced out to a 5-0 start behind the dual-threat abilities of junior QB Kaidon Salter. He’s passed for 1,074 yards and 7 TDs while adding 191 rushing yards and two scores on the ground.

In the backfield, RB Quinton Cooley has been dominant with 545 yards and 6 TDs, topping 100 yards in 4 of 5 games. Through the air, WRs Treon Sibley (17 rec, 370 yds, TD) and Reese Smith (13 rec, 199 yds, 3 TDs) lead a talented receiving corps.

The Flames’ defense has been equally impressive, ranking 29th nationally with 21.2 points allowed per game. TJ Bush Jr has wreaked havoc with 4.5 sacks and three passes defended, while Dexter Ricks Jr has snagged two interceptions. Overall, the unit has forced eight turnovers and recorded ten sacks.

While Liberty is undefeated, they are just 1-4 against the spread, often facing inflated lines. They needed overtime to survive a scare from FIU last time out. Cleaning up their nine penalties per game (133rd in FBS) will be key to avoiding an upset. Still, Liberty’s balanced offense (33 ppg) and stingy defense matches up well with the struggling Owls.

Owls Betting Analysis

It’s been a rough first season in the FBS for Kennesaw State, losing all six games by an average of 19 points. Offensively, the Owls average a meager 13 points and 256 total yards per game, both ranking in the bottom-5 nationally.

QB Davis Bryson has struggled mightily, completing just 51.4% of his passes with a 2:6 TD to INT ratio. RBs Michael Benefield (242 rush yds, TD) and Qua Ashely (200 rush yds; 11 rec, 139 yds) have been the few bright spots. TE Carson Kent (9 rec, 111 yds, 2 TDs) has been Bryson’s top target.

Defensively, KSU allows 32.3 points per game (114th) and 443 total yards per contest (107th). LBs Garland Benyard (21 tackles, 3 sacks) and Donelius Johnson (24 tackles, 2 sacks) lead the way. The Owls have forced just six turnovers while recording seven sacks in six games. They did show improvement last week, holding MTSU to 14 points.

For Kennesaw St to keep this one close, they’ll need to lean heavily on Benefield and Ashley in the run game to slow the pace and keep Liberty’s offense off the field. Forcing a couple of turnovers would greatly aid a massive upset bid. However, the Owls’ anemic offense (especially passing) makes it difficult to envision them mounting a comeback if they fall behind early.

Liberty vs Kennesaw St Prediction

I’m predicting this game to finish UNDER the total of 46 points. The total has seen some movement towards the under throughout the week, and Kennesaw State’s team’s total of 11 points is extremely low.

The Owls have only hit the over in one of their last six games, averaging a paltry 13 points per contest. Their offense, especially the passing game, has shown no ability to score enough to push this over the total against even an average Liberty defense.

On the flip side, while Liberty is putting up 33 points per game, they’ve faced mostly weak defenses. Kennesaw’s defense, while not great, is better than the raw numbers indicate. The Flames have gone under in two of their last three games, and I expect a comfortable win where they take their foot off the gas late.

Pick:

  • Under 46 Points (-110)

 

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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