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2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic Round 4 Odds and Betting Preview

Matthew Wolff is seeking his second career PGA Tour victory at the Rocket Mortgage Classic this week. Photo by @ESPNStatsInfo (Twitter).
  • Matthew Wolff has a three-stroke lead after 54 holes at the Rocket Mortgage Classic
  • Ryan Armour leads the field in strokes gained tee-to-green and is tied for second with Bryson DeChambeau
  • See the updated live odds at Detroit Golf Club heading into Sunday’s final round

It seems Bryson DeChambeau really brings out the best in Matthew Wolff. Almost exactly a year after Wolff outdueled DeChambeau to win his first PGA Tour event in Minnesota, he’ll have the opportunity to steal a victory away from him again at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Wolff will carry a three-shot lead over pre-tournament favorite DeChambeau and Ryan Armour into Sunday’s final round at Detroit Golf Club after firing his second consecutive 64.

Live Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds

Golfer Position Score Odds
Matthew Wolff 1 -19 +125
Bryson DeChambeau T2 -16 +200
Ryan Armour T2 -16 +1100
Mark Hubbard T4 -14 +3300
Chris Kirk T4 -14 +3300
Troy Merritt T4 -14 +4500
Seamus Power T4 -14 +5000
Webb Simpson T8 -13 +2000
Viktor Hovland T8 -13 +2500
Luke List T8 -13 +7000
Matthew Wallace T8 -13 +7000
Wesley Bryan T8 -13 +9000
Tyrrell Hatton T13 -12 +4500
Hideki Masuyama T13 -12 +6600
Kevin Kisner T13 -12 +9000
Kevin Chappell T13 -12 +12500

Odds taken July 4th.

Top of the Board

It’s hard to pick apart what Wolff has done so far through three rounds. He’s racked up 24 birdies and an eagle, while hitting 70% of his fairways, 70% of his greens in regulation and averaging over 320 yards off the tee.

But I will say this: He’s running insanely hot with his putter right now. On Saturday, he made 119 feet worth of putts, which is an insane amount for someone who ranks 98th on Tour in strokes gained putting. If someone is going to catch the 21-year-old, they’ll need his red-hot putter to cool down, and that’s not out of the realm of possibility. Prior to this week, Wolff had gained less than one stroke putting on the field in 10 of his previous 11 rounds.

Rather than bet him at very short odds, why not look at DeChambeau or better yet Armour instead. Armour leads all players through three rounds in strokes gained tee-to-green and ranks second on approach.

He’s fresh off a sixth place finish at the Travelers last week and has made at least seven birdies in back-to-back rounds. He’s won on Tour before and comes with a much more favorable +1100 price tag.

Simpson is a Stud

If bypassing the top of the board, which by the way I would strongly recommend, you can’t go around with Webb Simpson. A winner last time out at the RBC Heritage, Simpson’s ball striking this week has been off the charts and he leads the field in strokes gained approach.

If not for a disappointing week of the greens he’d surely be threatening the lead, but six strokes is not an insurmountable deficit for him to overcome. He shot 64 at Harbour Town en route to victory and has carded 65 or better in four of his past seven competitive rounds.

 

Best Live Value Picks at the Rocket Mortgage Classic

  1. Viktor Hovland (+2500): Has made just one bogey all week and ranks third in strokes gained tee-to-green. Everything is clicking right now except for his putter, and if that were to change he has the talent to post a very low number.
  2. Hideki Matsuyama (+6600): Followed up an opening round 71 with a 68 on Friday and a 65 on Saturday. Led the field in strokes gained tee-to-green in Round 3, and ranks fifth in that category for the week and sixth in ball striking.
  3. Tony Finau (+10000): This is a bit of a leap of faith, but he is far too good to be sitting at 100-1. He carded a bogey free round of 66 on Saturday, and when he’s right he’s one of the premier birdies makers on Tour. He’ll go out well before the leaders on Sunday, and it wouldn’t surprise anyone if he posted 63 or better.
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