- Matthew Wolff has a three-stroke lead after 54 holes at the Rocket Mortgage Classic
- Ryan Armour leads the field in strokes gained tee-to-green and is tied for second with Bryson DeChambeau
- See the updated live odds at Detroit Golf Club heading into Sunday’s final round
It seems Bryson DeChambeau really brings out the best in Matthew Wolff. Almost exactly a year after Wolff outdueled DeChambeau to win his first PGA Tour event in Minnesota, he’ll have the opportunity to steal a victory away from him again at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.
Rounds of 64 or Better in PGA TOUR Career:
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) July 5, 2020
Wolff will carry a three-shot lead over pre-tournament favorite DeChambeau and Ryan Armour into Sunday’s final round at Detroit Golf Club after firing his second consecutive 64.
Live Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds
Odds taken July 4th.
Top of the Board
It’s hard to pick apart what Wolff has done so far through three rounds. He’s racked up 24 birdies and an eagle, while hitting 70% of his fairways, 70% of his greens in regulation and averaging over 320 yards off the tee.
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) July 4, 2020
But I will say this: He’s running insanely hot with his putter right now. On Saturday, he made 119 feet worth of putts, which is an insane amount for someone who ranks 98th on Tour in strokes gained putting. If someone is going to catch the 21-year-old, they’ll need his red-hot putter to cool down, and that’s not out of the realm of possibility. Prior to this week, Wolff had gained less than one stroke putting on the field in 10 of his previous 11 rounds.
Rather than bet him at very short odds, why not look at DeChambeau or better yet Armour instead. Armour leads all players through three rounds in strokes gained tee-to-green and ranks second on approach.
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) July 5, 2020
He’s fresh off a sixth place finish at the Travelers last week and has made at least seven birdies in back-to-back rounds. He’s won on Tour before and comes with a much more favorable +1100 price tag.
Simpson is a Stud
If bypassing the top of the board, which by the way I would strongly recommend, you can’t go around with Webb Simpson. A winner last time out at the RBC Heritage, Simpson’s ball striking this week has been off the charts and he leads the field in strokes gained approach.
Webb Simpson's swing is _____.pic.twitter.com/tirNWzOBRw
— Golf Digest (@GolfDigest) July 3, 2020
If not for a disappointing week of the greens he’d surely be threatening the lead, but six strokes is not an insurmountable deficit for him to overcome. He shot 64 at Harbour Town en route to victory and has carded 65 or better in four of his past seven competitive rounds.
Best Live Value Picks at the Rocket Mortgage Classic
- Viktor Hovland (+2500): Has made just one bogey all week and ranks third in strokes gained tee-to-green. Everything is clicking right now except for his putter, and if that were to change he has the talent to post a very low number.
- Hideki Matsuyama (+6600): Followed up an opening round 71 with a 68 on Friday and a 65 on Saturday. Led the field in strokes gained tee-to-green in Round 3, and ranks fifth in that category for the week and sixth in ball striking.
- Tony Finau (+10000): This is a bit of a leap of faith, but he is far too good to be sitting at 100-1. He carded a bogey free round of 66 on Saturday, and when he’s right he’s one of the premier birdies makers on Tour. He’ll go out well before the leaders on Sunday, and it wouldn’t surprise anyone if he posted 63 or better.
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