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2020 WGC-Mexico Championship Odds & Picks: McIlroy the +600 Favorite

Rory McIlroy has sights set on his first WGC-Mexico Championship title. Photo by Tour Pro Golf Clubs (flickr).
  • The World Golf Championships – Mexico Championship tees off Thursday, February 20
  • Top heavy field teeing it up with Tiger Woods and other big names skipping the event
  • We’ve narrowed down the golfers with the best chance of emerging victorious

The first World Golf Championships event of 2020 heads to Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico with the worlds best teeing it up – however three of the top 10 players have opted not to play (Tiger Woods, Brooks Koepka and Patrick Cantlay)

Other big names deciding to stay home include Rickie Fowler, Jason Day and Henrik Stenson, though the field is still chock full of quality players with the tour heading to this venue for the fourth consecutive year with Rory McIlroy the man to beat, followed closely by two-time champion Dustin Johnson.

2020 WGC-Mexico Championship Odds

Golfer Odds
Rory McIlroy +600
Dustin Johnson +700
Jon Rahm +1000
Justin Thomas +1000
Webb Simpson +1800
Adam Scott +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Xander Schauffele +2000
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Bryson DeChambeau +2800

Odds taken February 17th

Dustin Johnson Owns this Golf Course

Coming in as the defending champion, Dustin Johnson will feel the good vibes of this track as he’s won twice in the three years it’s hosted the tournament, and the year he didn’t win in 2018 he still finished in a respectable tie for seventh.

DJ was in the mix in last week’s Genesis Invitational before an untimely back nine cost him a chance at the title. With three top-10 finishes in his last four tourneys, including a runner-up at the Saudi International, you have to strongly be looking at Johnson this week despite the low +700 odds.

Hideki Matsuyama Due for First Win Since 2017

Should Hideki Matsuyama emerge victorious this week, it would mark half of his PGA Tour victories coming at WGC events, having already captured the WGC-HSBC Champions and the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, which was his last win on tour in 2017.

He’s done everything but win recently, making eight straight cuts while posting three top-five finishes, including last week at the Genesis Invitational. Matsuyama has been good-not-great in his two appearances on this track (T-19th, T-25th), but with his strong play of late, he’s good value at +2000.

Last Five WGC-Mexico Championship Winners

Year Winner
2019 Dustin Johnson
2018 Phil Mickelson
2017 Dustin Johnson
2016 Adam Scott*
2015 Dustin Johnson*

*2015 & 2016 tournaments were played at Trump National Doral Miami

2020 WGC-Mexico Championship Best Value Picks

  1. Tommy Fleetwood (+2500): Has been on fire of late, with a victory and a pair of runner-up finishes in his last four tournaments, with the other result a tie for eleventh. Has been solid at this venue in the past, finishing second in 2017 and also posting T-14th and T-19th results.
  2. Matt Kuchar (+4000): Very nearly picked up his tenth tour title last week at Riviera, ultimately finishing in a tie for second. Was right in the mix last year at this tournament through two rounds before an uncharacteristic poor weekend cost him. Inside the top-16 in five of the last seven times teeing it up.
  3. Graeme McDowell (+10000): Long shot with great potential upside, having won his latest European Tour event, the Saudi International. Also was T-4th last month at the Sony Open in Hawaii.
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