Nuggets vs T-wolves Predictions & Injury Reports (Game 6)

• The Nuggets and T-wolves square off in Game 6 of their 1st Round series tonight in Minnesota
• Denver is just 5-10 ATS in the last 15 games as a favorite
• Below, you’ll find the best Nuggets vs T-wolves predictions, plus the latest injury reports and odds for Game 6

The T-wolves have another chance to eliminate the Nuggets in Game 6 of their 1st Round series tonight, only this time it will be on home floor. Minnesota brings a 3-2 series lead into the matchup, but will once again be without superstar Anthony Edwards due to a a knee injury.

Without their elite scoring engine, Minnesota is a sizeable underdog in the NBA odds against the championship pedigree of Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray. They will need Rudy Gobert to lock down the paint and eat up rebounds, while relying on Julius Randle and Co. to pick up the offensive slack.

Tip-off is set for 9:30 PM ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis, MN, with ESPN providing the American coverage, and TSN handling Canadian TV duties.

Keep reading for the best Nuggets vs T-wolves predictions, plus the latest injury reports and odds for Game 6.

Nuggets vs T-wolves Predictions

• T-Wolves +6.5 (-110 at Bet365)
• Over 225.5 (-110 at Bet365)
• Rudy Gobert Over 10.5 Rebounds (-124 at Bet365)

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My favorite bet tonight is the T-wolves +6.5. When looking at Game 6, the against-the-spread trends point to immense value on the home underdog, even without Edwards. The Nuggets have historically fallen off a cliff when asked to cover inflated lines, going just 5-10 ATS as a favorite over their last 15 games. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves shine under the brightest lights, posting a 3-1 ATS mark over their last four playoff games and a flawless 2-0 ATS home record this postseason. Getting this many points in a deafening home environment against a Denver squad unable to comfortably put teams away is too good to pass up.

Nuggets vs Timberwolves Matchup Stats

The Timberwolves are outshooting the Nuggets across the board and absolutely bullying them on the glass. When looking at the NBA public betting ticket and money percentages, Minnesota is drawing 48.0% of the money on just 42.2% of the tickets. This indicates that larger, respected wagers are backing the home underdog to keep things close, aligning perfectly with my +6.5 prediction.

Moving over to the total, where I’m smashing over 225.5. The situational scoring trends are screaming with value. The over has cashed in 5 of Denver’s last 7 games as a favorite and 70.7% of their away games dating back to the regular season. Minnesota echoes this exact tendency, with the over hitting in 5 of their last 7 games as an underdog. Both teams operate at a fast-paced 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, meaning they consistently get up and down the court to generate rapid scoring opportunities.

Finally, Rudy Gobert over 10.5 Rebounds is a glaring value according to our NBA player prop optimizer. Without Edwards creating perimeter gravity, Minnesota will live in the trenches. Gobert averages a mammoth 13.5 rebounds per game at home this postseason, feasting on a Denver squad logging a sluggish 45.8% total rebound percentage.

Nuggets vs T-wolves Odds

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Moving over to the Nuggets vs T-Wolves odds, where Bet365 has the best price on Minnesota +6.5 (-110), and over 225.5 (-110). If you want to simply rely on Denver to take care of business without worrying about the spread, make sure to visit BetMGM, who have the best price on the Nuggets moneyline at -250.

Nuggets vs T-wolves Injury Reports

With Edwards removed from the NBA starting lineups, Ayo Dosunmu must help Randle carry the scoring burden after putting up 61 points over his last two games. For Denver, Aaron Gordon’s calf issue could cause him to miss a second straight game. If he is compromised, Jokić will be isolated against a bigger frontline, creating more opportunities for Gobert to justify his rebounding prop.