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Brooks Koepka Given Best Odds to Win Tour Championship Ahead of 3rd Round

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in Golf

Updated Apr 1, 2020 · 1:50 PM PDT

Brooks Koepka
Brooks Koepka has a one stroke lead after 36 holes at the Tour Championship. Photo from @rotoworld (Twitter).
  • Brooks Koepka has a one stroke lead after 36 holes at the Tour Championship
  • Justin Thomas and Rory McIIroy are one stroke back, while 2017 winner Xander Schauffele is two shots off the pace
  • See the live updated odds entering Round 3 at the Tour Championship

The final event of the 2018-19 PGA Tour season has reached the halfway point, and the game’s most dominant player is atop the leaderboard at the Tour Championship.

Four-time major winner and world number one Brooks Koepka takes a one stroke lead into Round 3 at East Lake, but Rory McIIroy and pre-tournament favorite Justin Thomas are right on his tail.

Live Tour Championship Odds

Golfer Position Score Rounds Odds
Brooks Koepka 1 -13 67, 67 +150
Rory Mcllroy T-2 -12 66, 67 +250
Justin Thomas T-2 -12 70, 68 +400
Xander Schauffele 4 -11 64, 69 +600
Paul Casey 5 -9 66, 67 +1600
Patrick Cantlay 6 -7 70, 71 +3300
Chez Reavie T-7 -6 71, 64 +15000
Patrick Reed T-7 -6 70, 70 +15000
Matt Kuchar T-7 -6 66, 72 +15000
Adam Scott 10 -5 67, 66 +15000

*Odds taken August 23 at 9pm EST.

Top of the Board

It’s impossible not to love Koepka in this spot. Sure, it would have been nice to jump on him pre-tournament at +500, but no player in the field performs better when the pressure is on than Brooks.

His last five results in the Majors and WGC’s, aka the richest purses on Tour, are: 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 4th and 1st. Now that an extra $15 million is on the line this week, his game looks ultra sharp and he ranks in the top five of the field in ball striking, putting and strokes gained tee to green through 36 holes.

You won’t get rich betting Koepka at +150 but I’m actually surprised his odds are not shorter. East Lake is one of most difficult courses on Tour and the way the new FedEx Cup format is set up there’s only a handful of players who even have a shot at winning the title. If I had to back only player over the weekend, Brooks would definitely be the guy.

Don’t Sleep on Schauffele

If passing on Brooks, I’m skipping Rory and JT and moving down to Xander at +600. This guy eats up smaller field events and has two top-7 finishes at East Lake, including a win in 2017, in his only two appearances.

Three of his four career victories have come at no-cut events, and his stats are off the charts through two rounds. Schauffele is first in ball striking, second in approach and third in strokes gained off the tee.

Favorite Live Value Picks at the Tour Championship

  1. Paul Casey (+1600): The ball striking is always lights out, but he’s actually enjoying a rare good putting week through 36 holes. He leads the field in total strokes gained and ranks second in birdies and third in greens in regulation.
  2. Patrick Cantlay (+3300): He’s gained nearly five strokes on approach through two rounds but has lost 3.3 strokes on the greens. If his putting regresses back to his season average he could go real low this weekend.
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