Group Winner Odds for 2021 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Championship

By Michael Harrison in Golf
Published:

- The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play from Austin, TX tees off Wednesday, March 24th
- 16 groups of four players begin the event in a round robin style competition to see who advances
- See the best bets and odds for golfers to win their group in the article belowÂ
The World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play has 64 of the best players in the world competing to see who can be crowned match play champion at Austin Country Club. Bryson DeChambeau and Justin Thomas are co-favorites to win their first career WGC-Match Play title.
In order to have a chance to win this prestigious championship, 16 players will need to advance past the opening three days of round robin play, where they’ll battle each of their group members once head-to-head. Whichever golfer picks up the most wins will advance to the sweet 16 in golf’s version of March Madness.
In this article, we’ll explore which players have the best chance of winning their group play at the second WGC event on the calendar.
2021 WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play Group Winner Odds
Group 1 | Odds |
---|---|
Dustin Johnson | -140 |
Kevin Na | +330 |
Robert Macintyre | +450 |
Adam Long | +600 |
Group 2 | Odds |
Justin Thomas | +115 |
Louis Oosthuizen | +280 |
Kevin Kisner | +340 |
Matt Kuchar | +550 |
Group 3 | Odds |
Jon Rahm | -140 |
Ryan Palmer | +380 |
Shane Lowry | +430 |
Sebastian Munoz | +500 |
Group 4 | Odds |
Collin Morikawa | +125 |
Billy Horschel | +250 |
Max Homa | +310 |
J.T. Poston | +470 |
Group 5 | Odds |
Bryson DeChambeau | +115 |
Tommy Fleetwood | +260 |
Si Woo Kim | +270 |
Antoine Rozner | +550 |
Group 6 | Odds |
Xander Schauffele | +130 |
Jason Day | +230 |
Scottie Scheffler | +290 |
Andy Sullivan | +700 |
Group 7 | Odds |
Patrick Reed | +130 |
Joaquin Niemann | +250 |
Christiaan Bezuidenhout | +360 |
Bubba Watson | +470 |
Group 8 | Odds |
Tyrrell Hatton | +170 |
Sergio Garcia | +200 |
Lee Westwood | +300 |
Matt Wallace | +550 |
Group 9 | Odds |
Paul Casey | +145 |
Webb Simpson | +190 |
Talor Gooch | +340 |
Mackenzie Hughes | +500 |
Group 10 | Odds |
Patrick Cantlay | +125 |
Hideki Matsuyama | +250 |
Brian Harman | +380 |
Carlos Ortiz | +470 |
Group 11 | Odds |
Rory McIlroy | +125 |
Cameron Smith | +250 |
Ian Poulter | +310 |
Lanto Griffin | +470 |
Group 12 | Odds |
Tony Finau | +135 |
Jason Kokrak | +220 |
Will Zalatoris | +280 |
Dylan Frittelli | +550 |
Group 13 | Odds |
Viktor Hovland | +125 |
Abraham Ancer | +200 |
Kevin Streelman | +470 |
Bernd Wiesberger | +470 |
Group 14 | Odds |
Daniel Berger | +130 |
Harris English | +270 |
Brendon Todd | +380 |
Erik van Rooyen | +380 |
Group 15 | Odds |
Jordan Spieth | +175 |
Matthew Fitzpatrick | +185 |
Corey Conners | +310 |
Matthew Wolff | +470 |
Group 16 | Odds |
Sungjae Im | +150 |
Russell Henley | +250 |
Marc Leishman | +340 |
Victor Perez | +380 |
All odds taken March 23rd at FanDuel
DJ Seeks Second Match Play Title
Of all the 16 groupings, Dustin Johnson on paper might have found himself to be in the easiest one, as he faces 30th-ranked golfer in the world Kevin Na, 44th Robert Macintyre and 67th Adam Long, who is only in this tournament because a few players opted not to play.
The #1 player in the world and 2017 winner of this event has cooled off with two middling events following a stretch of 10 in a row inside the top-11, but despite that, he’s head and shoulders above his competition in several strokes gained categories.
Group 1 Strokes Gained Stats In Last 36 PGA Tour Rounds
Golfer | Total | Tee-to-green | Ball Striking | Off-the-tee | Approach | Short Game | Around-the-green | Putting |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dustin Johnson | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 46 |
Kevin Na | 48 | 43 | 58 | 61 | 57 | 31 | 1 | 65 |
Robert Macintyre | 64 | 69 | 69 | 63 | 70 | 57 | 49 | 54 |
Adam Long | 58 | 63 | 56 | 36 | 63 | 71 | 70 | 64 |
Kevin Na poses the most serious threat to DJ, though he’s only made it out of the group stage in two of five instances where he’s gone no further than the quarterfinals.
Adam Long has one career PGA Tour title while Robert Macintyre has just one European Tour triumph to his credit and they’re both making their debut in this event. Don’t overthink this one and go with the top player in golf.
Pick: Dustin Johnson (-140)
Jason Day Faces Tough Test
Jason Day is no stranger to success at this golf tournament, having won it in 2014 (at a different venue), and then at Austin Country Club in 2016. He was stellar tee-to-green in his last event at the Players Championship, where he gained over 11 shots on the field, but was done in by an uncharacteristically bad week on the greens.
He comes into this championship having posted four solid tournaments in a row, including a T-7 at Pebble Beach, making him a sleeper to consider to win outright.
Jason Day need binoculars to find his ball during round two at Bay Hill. pic.twitter.com/qnPHefOoUl
— GOLFTV (@GOLFTV) March 6, 2021
It’ll be tough to get past Xander Schauffele, though the X-Man hasn’t made it past the group stage in both of his appearances in this tournament, where he’s won three of six matches. Scottie Scheffler is making his debut in this event, and Andy Sullivan has nothing better than a T-62 in his last seven PGA Tour events, dating back to 2018.
In several strokes gained categories, this group has been virtually identical in almost all stats, with the exception of Sullivan who has struggled. Going with a two-time winner with a little more value in his +230 odds is very enticing.
Pick: Jason Day (+230)
Paul Casey Has Been On A Tear
Paul Casey has been playing world-class golf in 2021, winning the European Tour’s Omega Dubai Desert Classic and hasn’t finished worse than T-12 in six starts. His most recent outing was a T-5 at the Players Championship.
In his last 12 rounds, Casey is second on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained and seventh tee-to-green. He also loves this format, having made it out of the group stage in two of the last three tries, where he amassed an exceptional 7-1-1 record.
The 43-year-old has also won the 2006 HSBC World Match Play and twice was a runner-up at this championship in 2009 and 2010, at a different venue.
Paul Casey 2021 Results
Tournament | Result |
---|---|
The Players Championship | T-5 |
Arnold Palmer Invitational | T-10 |
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am | T-5 |
Saudi International | T-12 |
Omega Dubai Desert Classic | WIN |
The American Express | T-8 |
His closest challenger is Webb Simpson, but surprisingly he hasn’t found success at all, failing to advance to the sweet 16 in all four attempts. Talor Gooch has been alternating good starts with average ones and Mackenzie Hughes has been T-32 or worse in seven of his last eight starts. Both are making their tournament debuts.
Casey is playing extremely well and is up against an inexperienced and ineffective group, making him a great selection.
Pick: Paul Casey (+145)

Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.