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Tour Championship Odds & Predictions 2023

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated Aug 21, 2023 · 12:22 PM PDT

Scottie Scheffler hitting a tee shot
Aug 20, 2023; Olympia Fields, Illinois, USA; Scottie Scheffler tees off from the 7th tee during the final round of the BMW Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Jamie Sabau-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Tour Championship from Atlanta, GA starts Thursday, August 24th
  • Just 30 golfers start the FedEx Cup finale at pre-determined scores based upon their playoff standings
  • See the 2023 Tour Championship odds, predictions, and best value bets, below

The culmination of the FedEx Cup Playoffs with the $18 million dollar prize begins Thursday at the Tour Championship from East Lake Golf Club just outside Atlanta.

This is the fifth year of the altered FedEx Cup format which sees Scottie Scheffler starting the tournament in the lead. He’s ahead by two strokes over BMW Championship winner Viktor Hovland, with every golfer’s score staggered based on where they’re ranked. Scheffler was the front-runner last year, but wound up letting the FedEx Cup slip through his fingers, as Rory McIlroy won it for the third time.

2023 Tour Championship Odds

Golfers Odds
Scottie Scheffler +150
Rory McIlroy +330
Viktor Hovland +450
Jon Rahm +750
Patrick Cantlay +1800
Max Homa +2500
Xander Schauffele +3500
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Lucas Glover +4000
Brian Harman +4000
Wyndham Clark +4500
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Rickie Fowler +6500
Russell Henley +8000
Tom Kim +11000

The betting favorite is Scottie Scheffler at +150, as he enters with a two-stroke edge over Viktor Hovland. Rory McIlroy, who overtook Scheffler to nab his third career FedEx Cup title last year, is the second choice at +330, as he starts three adrift. Four-time winner in 2023 Jon Rahm is the only other triple digit priced golfer at +750, beginning four behind Scheffler.

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Odds as of Aug 21 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim a DraftKings promo code to bet on the Tour Championship or check out these Kentucky sports betting apps

Rory McIlroy Dominates Tour Championship

Since this is just the fifth year of the current FedEx Cup format, it is important to note the starting positions for all golfers competing. Naturally, the top players on the points list will have a better chance of securing victory, as world #1 Scottie Scheffler begins at 10-under par, with the 26th through 30th ranked golfers starting a full ten strokes behind.

2023 Tour Championship Starting Positions

Golfer Starting Score
Scottie Scheffler -10
Viktor Hovland -8
Rory McIlroy -7
Jon Rahm -6
Lucas Glover -5
M. Homa, P. Cantlay, B. Harman, W. Clark, M. Fitzpatrick -4
T. Fleetwood, R. Henley, K. Bradley, R. Fowler, X. Schauffele -3
T. Kim, S. Im, T. Finau, C. Conners, S.W. Kim -2
T. Moore, N. Taylor, A. Schenk, C. Morikawa, J. Day -1
S. Burns, E. Grillo, T. Hatton, J. Spieth, S. Straka EVEN

McIlroy has won the FedEx Cup three times, including twice in the current iteration with the starting strokes. In 2019, he began a full five behind, and in 2022, the Ulsterman was six off the pace to begin the tournament.

In the last nine events he’s teed it up in, McIlroy has finished no worse than a tie for ninth, including a Genesis Scottish Open title. In that span, he’s tops in total strokes gained, and second tee-to-green along with ball striking, of those competing at East Lake. At +330, he doesn’t present a ton of value, but with his current form and love for this track, he’s a very worthwhile wager.

Last Five Tour Championship Winners

Year Winner
2022 Rory McIlroy
2021 Patrick Cantlay
2020 Dustin Johnson
2019 Rory McIlroy
2018 Tiger Woods

2023 Tour Championship Best Value Picks

  1. Patrick Cantlay (+1800): Though he begins six behind Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay very nearly won the first playoff event, dropping a playoff in Memphis. He’s the 2021 champ of the FedEx Cup, though he was aided by being first heading into East Lake. In the two postseason tournaments, Cantlay is third in SG: tee-to-green, fourth in total strokes gained, and fifth in ball striking.
  2. Xander Schauffele (+3000): It will be a big high to climb, starting seven off the lead, But Xander Schauffele cleans up at this track. He won the tourney in 2017, then was 7th the following year. From 2019 onward, without starting strokes, he would’ve placed second, had the lowest gross score in 2020, and was third best in 2021. In the last 24 rounds at this course, the X-Man is top-three in total strokes gained, ball striking, tee-to-green, short game and putting.

 

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