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Breeders’ Cup Classic Odds – Flightline Overwhelming Early Favorite

Dave Friedman

by Dave Friedman in Horse Racing News

Updated Oct 10, 2022 · 7:00 AM PDT

Belmont Park
The $1.000,000 Hill ’N’ Dale Metropolitan Handicap Stake, (GR 1), for three year-olds and up going one mile on the dirt, at Belmont Park, on Saturday, June 11, 2022, was won by John Sadler’s Flightline with Flavien Prat in the irons. Cot Belmont Stakes 28
  • The Breeders Cup Classic is slated for November 5 in Lexington, KY
  • Unbeaten Flightline could be the biggest favorite in Breeders Cup history
  • What wagering value is present now to lock in a price for the main event at Keeneland Race Course?

There have been 13 Triple Crown winners in horse racing history. Among them, Secretariat is widely considered the greatest of all time. Though Flightline was injured and did not participate in last year’s Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes, or Belmont Stakes, he is unbeaten, brilliant, and at times compared to Big Red. His sixth career start will be next month’s Breeders Cup Classic.

It will be the best field he has ever faced, yet he will be an overwhelming favorite. Is it time to lock in a price on Flightline, or one of his rivals? There is good reason to wager now.

Let’s check the updated Breeders Cup Classic odds and consider where a bet might be worthwhile.

2022 Breeders Cup Classic Odds

Horse Odds
Flightline -150
Epicenter +600
Life Is Good +700
Taiba +800
Hot Rod Charlie +1400
Cyberknife +2000
Olympiad +2000
Charge It +2000
Country Grammer +2500
Defunded +2500
Express Train +3300
Rich Strike +3300
Americanrevolution +3300
Happy Saver +3300
Zandon +3300

Odds taken October 9th

Why Bet on the Breeders’ Cup Classic Now?

While the field is not finalized, largely we know who the major players are going to be. Betting on futures is risky because if your horse doesn’t run, there is no refund. On the flip side, an injury to a rival can lead to great value.  If Flightline gets hurt, the odds on every other horse will dramatically drop.

Seeing as how Flightline has raced a total of five times in two years, he is no lock to be healthy in early November. That said, the media coverage of Flightline is going to be huge, and the average fan is going to want to bet on a historically great horse. The -150 price incredibly isn’t crazy. In fact, if you wait a month it might be -175

Is Flightline a Generational Talent?

The most famous triumph in horse racing history is Secretariat’s 1973 Belmont Stakes.

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Big Red won the Triple Crown in dominating fashion. Now watch Flightline’s Pacific Classic victory. It is a different era, and lesser competition, but hard not to see some similiarities.

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Flightline is five-for-five with one blowout win after another. He has wiped the floor with Happy Saver, and Speaker’s Corner, but never faced A-level rivals. This will be just his second race outside of California.

Contenders: Epicenter, Life Is Good, Taiba

After finishing second in the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes, Epicenter has had a great summer. He swept Saratoga’s Jim Dandy Stakes and Travers Stakes.

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The Breeders’ Cup Classic will be the first time Epicenter faces older horses. He is the favorite to be three-year-old of the year but could take the horse of the year honors too with a victory against Flightline.

Life Is Good wasn’t his best in the mud at Aqueduct on October 1 in the Woodward Stakes, but he won. Before that, he looked awfully strong in Saratoga’s Whitney Stakes.

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Life is Good has lost just twice. One was in Dubai in the world’s second richest race, while the other some believe the jockey messed up the ride while facing the very quick Jackie’s Warrior in a sprint.

Taiba cost an incredible $1.7 million. A late starter, he became a Triple Crown contender with an incredible effort in the Santa Anita Derby, just his second start. While the Kentucky Derby didn’t go well, he rebounded to run a close second in the Haskell Stakes, and won the Pennslyvania Derby.

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Trained by Bob Baffert, Taiba has consistently run fast races. Like Epicenter, this will be his first race against older horses.

Longshots: Rich Strike, Hot Rod Charlie, Cyberknife

Rich Strike’s upset win in the Kentucky Derby is an all-timer. He wasn’t even in the field until the day before the race, broke from post 20, fell way behind, and rallied to an improbable victory.

Many suggested Rich Strike would never repeat that effort. While he hasn’t won since, twice he has been close. His runner-up effort on October 1 in the Lukas Classic was controversial.

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Losing by a hair to Hot Rod Charlie, who finished second in the Dubai World Cup and hit the board in a pair of Triple Crown races, is perfectly respectable. The fact Rich Strike’s jockey was suspended for seemingly spending more time concentrating on Hot Rod Charlie than his own horse is as bizare as it is sounds.

Cyberknife won the Haskell, finished second in the Travers, and was third in the Pennsylvania Derby. Though he hasn’t consistently beaten his three-year-old rivals, his best races are strong.

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