Upcoming Match-ups

Astros vs Tigers Odds, Lines & Spread (Sep. 12)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Sep 11, 2022 · 8:16 PM PDT

Houston Astros starting pitcher Framber Valdez following through on a pitch
Sep 6, 2022; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Astros starting pitcher Framber Valdez (59) pitches against the Texas Rangers in the fourth inning at Minute Maid Park. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Astros are -200 road favorites over the Tigers on Monday night.
  • Framber Valdez (14-5, 2.64) will pitch for Houston against fellow lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (3-4, 4.13)
  • A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The Houston Astros will try to keep rolling when they visit the Detroit Tigers at 6:40 p.m. ET Monday in the opener of a three-game series at Comerica Park.

The Astros (90-50, 43-28 road) beat the Los Angeles Angels 12-4 on Sunday and have won three of their last four games, five of their last seven and nine of their last 12. The Tigers (54-86/30-40 home) had their three-game winning streak end with a 4-0 loss to the Kansas City Royals.

The Astros hold an 11-game lead over the Seattle Mariners in the American League West.

Astros vs Tigers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Houston Astros -200 -1.5 (-120) Over 7.5 (+100)
Detroit Tigers +170 +1.5 (+100) Under 7.5 (-120)

Odds as of September 11th at BetMGM. Claim the BetMGM promo code

The Astros are -200 favorites and have an implied win probability of 66.67%. Houston has +400 World Series odds and the Tigers are listed at +200000.

 

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The game could be delayed as there is an 80% chance of showers and a potential thunderstorm. The weather forecast also calls for a temperature of 80 degrees at the scheduled first pitch with a low of 68 and light and variable wind.

Houston vs Detroit Probable Pitchers

In a matchup of left-handers, Framber Valdez (14-5, 2.64) is scheduled to start for the Astros against Eduardo Rodriguez (3-4, 4.13). Both will be pitching on five days of rest.

Valdez vs Rodriguez

Framber Valdez
VS
Eduardo Rodriguez
14-5 Record 3-4
2.64 ERA 4.13
3.30 xERA 4.54
1.13 WHIP 1.33
2.68 SO/W 2.00

Valdez had his six-game winning streak ended last Tuesday by the Texas Rangers in Houston. Though he struck out 11 in 6.2 innings, he allowed four runs (two earned) on six hits and four walks.

However, Valdez did extend his streak of quality starts to 23 in a row.

Valdez, who has +13000 AL Cy Young odds, is 0-1 in his career against the Tigers with a 4.76 ERA in four games (three starts). At Comerica Park, he is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA in three games (two starts).

On the road this season, Valdez has a 9-2 record and 2.24 ERA in 15 starts. In 16 starts at night, he is 10-2 with a 2.70 ERA. The Astros are 17-9 when Valdez takes the bump.

Rodriguez is coming off a no-decision last Tuesday against the Los Angeles Angels in Anaheim. He went seven innings and gave up three runs and five hits while striking out four and walking none.

In 10 career games (eight starts) against the Astros, Rodriguez is 2-3 with a 6.46 ERA.

Rodriguez is 2-2 with a 3.99 ERA in six home starts this season. He has a 2-0 mark and 2.84 ERA in five starts at night. When Rodriguez pitches, the Tigers are 4-8.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Astros Batters Batting Average vs Eduardo Rodriguez
Mauricio Dubon .500
Jose Altuve .316
Yuli Gurriel .308
Trey Mancini .293
Yordan Alvarez .286
Kyle Tucker .286
Alex Bregman .278
Martin Maldonado .154
Chas McCormick .000
Jeremy Pena .000
Christian Vazquez .000
Tigers Batters Batting Average vs Starting Pitcher
Javier Baez .667
Spencer Torkelson .500
Jeimer Candelario .333
Willi Castro .333
Eric Haase .333
Jonathan Schoop .143
Tucker Barnhart .000

The Astros’ Jose Altuve is a .316 (6 for 19) hitter off Rodriguez with one double and two home runs, but Martin Maldonado is 2 for 13 (.154) with a homer and eight strikeouts. The Tigers Jeimer Candelario is 3 for 9 with a double off Valdez but Jonathan Schoop is 1 for 7.

Astros vs Tigers Betting Trends

Alex Bregman hit a grand slam, one of five Astros’ home runs, to power Houston over the Angels on Sunday. It was his fourth career slam and first since 2019.

Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, Trey Mancini and Mauricio Dubon also homered for the Astros. Altuve had three hits and Tucker and Yuli Gurriel added two each.

The Tigers were held to four hits Sunday in getting shut out by the Royals.

The Astros swept a four-game series from the Tigers in May in Houston in the teams’ only series so far this year. Altuve went 7 for 14 (.500) with a pair of longballs.

Since 2017, the Astros hold a 21-10 series lead.

HOU vs DET Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/8/22 Astros Tigers HOU, 5-0
5/7/22 Astros Tigers DET, 3-2
5/6/22 Astros Tigers DET, 3-2
5/5/22 Astros Tigers DET, 3-2
6/27/21 Tigers Astros DET, 2-1
6/26/21 (2) Tigers Astros HOU, 3-2
6/26/21 (1) Tigers Astros DET, 3-1
6/24/21 Tigers Astros HOU, 12-3
4/14/21 Astros Tigers DET, 6-4
4/13/21 Astros Tigers DET, 8-2

Astros vs Tigers Prediction

Valdez has been so consistent this season and the Astros are so much better than the Tigers that Houston is the way to go, even at steep odds.

Pick: Astros ML (-200)

 

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