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Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds, Picks, and Predictions (May 10)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

May 9, 2022 · 9:24 PM PDT

New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Severino walking off the mound
Apr 26, 2022; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Luis Severino (40) reacts as he walks off the field during the sixth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees are -160 home favorites over the Blue Jays on Tuesday night
  • Luis Severino (2-0, 3.75) will pitch for New York against lefty Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 4.35)
  • A look at the BlueJays vs Yankees odds and matchup can be found below

The American League East-leading New York Yankees host the Toronto Blue Jays at 7:05 p.m. ET Tuesday in the opener of a two-game series at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees (20-8/12-4 home) have split four games, including beating the Texas Rangers 1-0 on Monday at home, following an 11-game winning streak. The Blue Jays (17-13/7-7 road) have lost five of their seven, including falling 4-3 to the Guardians on Sunday in Cleveland.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Toronto Blue Jays +135 +1.5 (-160) Over 7.5 (+100)
New York Yankees -160 -1.5 (+135) Under 7.5 (-120)

Odds as of May 9th at BetMGM.


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The Yankees are -160 favorites on the moneyline, giving them a 61.54% implied win probability. The Blue Jays have +775 World Series odds and the Yankees’ odds are +1100.

The forecast calls for a clear night in the Bronx with a gametime temperature of 61 dipping to a low of 49 and wind from the northeast at 13-16 mph.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 4.35) is slated to start for the Blue Jays and face Luis Severino (2-0, 3.75). Kikuchi will be pitching on five days of rest and Severino on eight.

Kikuchi vs Severino

Yusei Kikuchi
Luis Severino
1-1 Record 2-0
4.35 ERA 3.75
5.31 xERA 2.89
1.55 WHIP 1.29
1.43 SO/W 3.29

Kikuchi beat the Yankees in his last outing last Wednesday in Toronto for his first win of the season. He gave up one run and three hits in six innings while striking out seven and walking one.

Kikuchi improved his career record against New York to 2-3 with a 4.06 ERA in six starts. He is 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA in three outings at Yankee Stadium.

On the road, Kikuchi is 0-1 with a 3.75 ERA in three starts this season. He has a 1-1 record with a 4.24 in four starts at night.

Gleyber Torres is 6 for 13 (.462) with a double off Kikuchi and DJ LeMahieu is 6 for 14 (.429) with a double. Conversely, Giancarlo Stanton is 1 for 8 with three strikeouts.

Severino last pitched May 1 and did not factor in the decision against the Royals in Kansas City. He pitched five innings, allowing seven hits, four runs (three earned) and one walk while whiffing four.

In 15 career games (12 starts) against the Blue Jays, Severino has a 6-3 mark and 3.43 ERA. He is 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in three home starts and 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in three night starts.

George Springer has had major problems with Severino, going 1 for 23 (.044) with 10 strikeouts. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitless in five at-bats, striking out in four of them.

Severino’s AL Cy Young odds are +5500.

Toronto vs New York MLB Betting Outlook

The Blue Jays were off Monday after their one-run loss at Cleveland on Sunday. Teoscar Hernandez had two RBIs, but Toronto was held to four hits.

Anthony Rizzo doubled in the game’s only run for the Yankees in Monday’s victory over the Rangers. He stepped to the plate on a 2-for-30 slide.

The Yankees have won four of seven games from the Blue Jays this season and the teams split a four-game series at Yankee Stadium in April. Since the start of the 2019 season, the Yankees own a slight 28-27 edge in the series.

The Yankees’ Aaron Hicks is 6 for 19 (.316) with a home run against Toronto this season. Guerrero had hit three homers and three doubles off Yankees pitching.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/4/22 Blue Jays Yankees TOR, 2-1
5/3/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 9-1
5/2/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 3-2
4/14/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 3-0
4/13/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 6-4
4/12/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 4-0
4/11/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 3-0
9/30/21 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 6-2
9/29/21 Blue Jays Yankees TOR, 6-5
9/28/21 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 7-2

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

This series has been played on tight terms for four years. In a coin toss between Kikuchi and Severino, let’s make a play on the underdog.

Pick: Blue Jays ML (+135)

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