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Braves vs Phillies Odds, Lines & Spread (July 25)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 24, 2022 · 7:44 PM PDT

Atlanta Braves pitcher Max Friend throwing a pitch during the game.
Jul 16, 2022; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Max Fried (54) pitches against the Washington Nationals during the first inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Braves are -170 road favorites over the Phillies on Monday night
  • Max Fried (10-3, 2.64) will start for Atlanta against fellow lefty Ranger Suarez (7-5, 4.07)
  • A look at the matchups and odds can be found below with a pick

The National League East rival Atlanta Braves and Phillies meet at 7:05 p.m. ET Monday in the opener of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia.

The Braves (58-39/25-18 road) lost for just the second time in their last seven games Sunday when they were routed 9-1 by the Los Angeles Angels at home. The Phillies (49-46/24-24 home) were swept in a three-game weekend series by the visiting Chicago Cubs, including losing 4-3 on Sunday.

Braves vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Atlanta Braves -170 -1.5 (+105) Over 8 (-115)
Philadelphia Phillies +145 +1.5 (-125) Under 8 (-105)

Odds as of July 24th at Caesars Sportsbook.

The Braves are -170 favorites and have a 62.96% expected win probability. Atlanta has +800 World Series odds and the Phillies are listed at +3500.

The game may not start on time as there is an 80% chance of showers and thunderstorms at gametime with a forecast temperature of 85 degrees and southwest wind at 5-10 mph.

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Braves vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

In a matchup of left-handers, Max Fried (10-3, 2.64) – whose NL Cy Young Award odds are +1300 — is scheduled to pitch for the Braves against Ranger Suarez (7-5, 4.07). Both will be working on eight days of rest.

Fried vs Suarez

Max Fried
VS
Ranger Suarez
10-3 Record 7-5
2.64 ERA 4.07
2.95 xERA 4.10
1.06 WHIP 1.42
4.95 SO/W 2.06

Since losing his first two starts of the season, Fried is 10-1 with a 2.63 ERA in 17 outings.

Fried beat the Nationals on July 16 at Washington in his last start. He pitched seven innings and allowed three runs on seven hits with four strikeouts and no walks.

It was a milestone victory.

Fried has a 4-3 career record against the Phillies with a 3.90 ERA in 15 games (nine starts). He is 2-3 with a 4.65 ERA in nine games (five starts) at Citizens Bank Park.

On the road this season, Fried has a perfect 5-0 mark and 2.51 ERA in seven starts. He is 8-2 with a 2.46 ERA in 15 starts at night. The Braves are 14-5 in Fried’s starts.

Suarez is 3-1 with a 3.28 ERA in his last four starts, including working five shutout inning to beat the Marlins on July 16 in Miami in his last start. Suarez gave up four hits, did walk a batter and struck out four.

In 12 career games (including three starts) versus the Braves, Suarez has gone 1-2 with a 5.04 ERA.

This how it looked four months ago while pitching under the palm trees.

Suarez has struggled at home in 2022 with a 1-4 record and 5.15 ERA. He is 5-4 with a 4.30 ERA at night in 13 starts. The Phillies are 10-6 when Suarez toes the slab.

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Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Braves Batters Batting Average vs Ranger Suarez
Orlando Arcia 1.000
Matt Olson .500
Ronald Acuna Jr. .400
Adam Duvall .333
Travis d’Arnaud .333
William Contreras .286
Dansby Swanson .222
Austin Riley .200
Marcell Ozuna .167
Robinson Cano .000
Michael Harris II .000
Guillermo Heredia .000
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Max Fried
Odubel Herrera .571
Nick Castellanos .500
J.T. Realmuto .357
Matt Vierling .333
Alec Bohm .222
Kyle Schwarber .200
Rhys Hoskins .174
Didi Gregorius .100
Johan Camargo .000
Yairo Munoz .000

The Phillies’ J.T. Realmuto has been a tough matchup for Fried, hitting .357 (10 for 28) with two doubles, one triple and three home runs. Odubel Herrera is 4 for 7 with doubles and a homer but Didi Gregorius is 1 for 10.

Braves vs Phillies Betting Outlook

The Angels jumped on the Braves for five runs in the top of the first inning Sunday and Atlanta never recovered. Ronald Acuna Jr. had two hits in a losing effort and drove in his team’s only run.

The Braves got some bad news before the game when they learned outfielder Adam Duvall will miss the remainder of the season as he requires surgery to repair a torn tendon sheath in his left wrist. First baseman Mike Ford was recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett.

Garrett Stubbs provided the Phillies’ highlight in Sunday’s loss to the Cubs with a home run.

Alec Bohm had three hits for the Phillies. Stubbs and Rhys Hoskins added two hits apiece.

The Braves are 4-3 against the Phillies this season, including winning two of three at in Philadelphia. Matt Olson is hitting .346 (9 for 26) for the Braves with four doubles and three home runs. Realmuto is 8 for 23 (.348) with a triple and a homer for the Phillies.

Since the start of last season, the Braves hold a slim 14-12 series lead.

Braves vs Phillies Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/30/22 Phillies Braves PHI, 14-4
6/29/22 Phillies Braves ATL, 4-1
6/28/22 Phillies Braves ATL, 5-3
5/26/22 Braves Phillies PHI, 4-1
5/25/22 Braves Phillies ATL, 8-4
5/24/22 Braves Phillies ATL, 6-5
5/23/22 Braves Phillies PHI, 7-3
9/30/21 Braves Phillies ATL, 5-3
9/29/21 Braves Phillies ATL, 7-2
9/28/21 Braves Phillies ATL, 2-1

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

Fried is having another fine season for the Braves. Suarez, though, is quietly pitching better than he has all season and makes the Phillies an intriguing underdog choice.

Pick: Phillies +145 ML

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