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Braves vs Pirates Odds & Picks (Aug 24)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 23, 2022 · 8:05 PM PDT

Braves vs Pirates odds
Aug 22, 2022; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates third baseman Rodolfo Castro (14) steals second base ahead of a tag attempt by Atlanta Braves shortstop Dansby Swanson (left) during the second inning at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Atlanta Braves are -250 road favorites over the Pittsburgh Pirates in a National League afternoon game set for Wednesday, August 24
  • Atlanta is 7-0 straight up in the past seven games against Pittsburgh
  • Below, find the Braves vs Pirates odds and best bets for Wednesday

The Atlanta Braves (77-48, 35-23 away) are road warriors, while the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-76, 26-35 home) look more like road kill.

Atlanta is 8-0 straight up over the past eight away games. The Braves are also 7-0 SU in the last seven games against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh is 2-10 through the past 12 games. In last place in the NL Central, the Pirates have fallen behind the Cincinnati Reds in the standings. The Reds opened the season 3-22.

Oddsmakers are heavily favoring the visiting Braves as these two teams complete a three-game series. Atlanta is an overwhelming -250 chalk. The Braves are 22-15 SU as a road favorite this season.

Braves vs Pirates Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Atlanta Braves -250 -1.5 (-140) O 8.5 (+105)
Pittsburgh Pirates +205 +1.5 (+18) U 8.5 (-125)

Odds as of August 23 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

 

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First pitch at PNC Park is set for 12:35pm ET on Wednesday, August 24. Mostly sunny skies with 4 mph wind and a temperature of 85 degrees is in the weather forecast.

At odds of -250, the Braves have an implied probability of victory of 71.43% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Houston would create a payout of $14.00.

In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying the Pirates as +40000 longshots in the NL Central. Atlanta is the second betting choice at +310 in the NL East. The MLB pennant odds show the Braves as the +450 third choice to cop the NL flag. Bettors can access NL pennant odds of +100000 on Pittsburgh. In the World Series odds,  the Braves are the +1100 fifth choice. Pittsburgh is at a betting line of +200000.

Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Probable Pitchers

Braves right-hander Kyle Wright leads the NL with 15 wins. His .750 winning percentage is fourth in the league. Wright is 8-1 over his last nine decisions.

Wright is also a pitcher who helps himself. He’s fourth among NL pitchers in assists (21) and ninth-best in bases on balls (24).

Wright has allowed two runs in seven of his last nine starts, while working at least six innings in eight of those starts. The Braves are 17-6 in his 23 starts this season.

He’s already beaten the Pirates 5-3 on June 12. Wright struck out seven over six innings in that game. That’s the only time he’s faced Pittsburgh.

Wright vs Keller Stats

Kyle Wright
VS
Mitch Keller
15-5 Record 4-9
3.14 ERA 4.49
4.03 xERA 4.02
1.17 WHIP 1.45
3.40 SO/W Ratio 4.32

Pirates right-hander Mitch Keller exited his last start Aug. 16 against the Boston Red Sox with shoulder discomfort. He allowed five runs, four of them earned, on five hits and three walks over just two innings of work in that game.

He’s surrendered seven earned runs in his past two starts after allowing just six over the previous five trips to the mound. On the other hand, Keller has allowed only four home runs through his past 13 starts.

Keller has gone 4-4 over his past eight decisions after opening the season 0-5. He remains winless at PNC Park (0-5, 4.80 ERA in 11 appearances) however.

The righty is 0-1 with a 12.38 ERA in two starts against the Braves. As well, Keller is 2-10 with a 4.67 ERA in 19 day-game appearances.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Braves Batters Batting Average vs Keller Pirates Batters Batting Average vs Wright
Ronald Acuna Jr .333 Greg Allen .000
Ehire Adrianza .500 Rodolfo Castro .000
William Contreras .000 Michael Chavis .200
Vaughn Grissom .000 Oneil Cruz .000
Robbie Grossman .667 Jason Delay .000
Michael Harris II .000 Ben Gamel .000
Guillermo Heredia .000 Ke’Bryan Hayes .000
Matt Olson .000 Tyler Heineman .000
Marcell Ozuna .000 Bligh Madris .000
Austin Riley .600 Tucupita Marcano 1.000
Eddie Rosario .000 Kevin Newman .000
Dansby Swanson .600 Bryan Reynolds .500
Travis d’Arnaud .000 Josh VanMeter .000

Braves sluggers Austin Riley and Danny Swanson are both 3-for-5 (.600) at the plate against Keller. Riley has driven in three runs. Robbie Grossman is 4-for-6 (.667). Ehire Adrianza is 1-for-2 (.500). Ronald Acuna Jr is 2-for-6 (.333) with a solo homer.

For the Pirates, Tucupita Marcano is 3-for-3 (1.000) when facing Wright. Bryan Reynolds is 1-for-2 and that lone hit was a three-run homer.

Braves vs Pirates Prediction

Atlanta is one win away from sweeping the six-game season series from Pittsburgh. The Braves are 9-2 SU over the past 11 games and have outscored the opposition by a margin of 32 runs.

Pittsburgh is 1-5 against the run line when playing Atlanta this season. The Pirates are 2-9 SU over the past 11 games and have been outscored by 24 runs. Keller’s numbers at home, against the Braves and in day games are abysmal.

Pick: Atlanta Braves RL -1.5 (-140)

 

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