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Guardians vs Blue Jays Odds, Picks & Predictions (Aug 14)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Aug 13, 2022 · 7:36 PM PDT

Kevin Gausman delivers a pitch
Aug 7, 2022; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman (34) throws a pitch against the Minnesota Twins during the first inning at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Guardians vs Blue Jays odds favor Toronto as -140 moneyline favorites on Sunday, August 14, at 1:37pm ET
  • Cleveland will give the ball to Shane Bieber (7-6, 3.21 ERA), while Toronto will counter with Kevin Gausman (8-8, 2.91 ERA)
  • Read below for the Guardians vs Blue Jays odds and betting prediction

A pair of streaks were snapped on Saturday in the Blue Jays (61-51, 35-22 home) 2-1 victory over the Guardians (60-53, 31-31 away). The victory snapped Toronto’s three game losing streak, while the loss broke up Cleveland’s season-best six game winning streak.

These two playoff hopefuls will play the series finale of their three-game set on Sunday, in what projects to be an elite pitchers duel.

Guardians vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cleveland Guardians +120 +1.5 (-170) Ov 7.5 (-110)
Toronto Blue Jays -140 -1.5 (+145) Un 7.5 (-110)

Odds as of August 13 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

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The Blue Jays opened up as -140 moneyline favorites, in a contest that features a total of 7.5. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm ET at Rogers Center in Toronto, Ontario, with clear skies and 78 degree temperatures in the forecast .

Cleveland vs Toronto Probable Pitchers

Shane Bieber and Kevin Gausman are two prime candidates for the argument that wins aren’t a true indication of how well a pitcher is performing. Both are top-eight contenders in the AL Cy Young odds, yet combined they have just 15 wins against 14 losses.

Gausman sports an 8-8 record overall, but ranks 16th in MLB in ERA and 12th in strikeouts. He’s held his opponents scoreless in back-to-back starts, shutting out both Minnesota and Tampa Bay.

The 31-year-old has yielded just seven hits during those two outings, while posting a 15-to-1 strikeout-to-walk rate. He owns a career 2.27 ERA in six starts against the Guardians, and held them to a single run over 6.1 innings in his lone meeting versus them this season.

Bieber vs Gausman Stats

Shane Bieber
VS
Kevin Gausman
7-6 Record 8-8
3.21 ERA 2.91
1.09 WHIP 1.23
.233 OBA .270
4.6 SO/W Ratio 6.9

Bieber meanwhile, has a 7-6 record this season and is also coming off a shutout performance. He held Detroit scoreless over 7 innings on Tuesday, which marked the third-straight start he’s allowed two runs or less.

Bieber’s allowed just one run total in his last 14 road innings, posting 16 strikeouts against only two walks. He’s pitched well versus virtually everyone he’s faced this season except the Blue Jays. Toronto touched him up for seven runs and eight hits back in May over just 3.1 innings. Blue Jays batters are hitting .387 against him over 74 at-bats, with a .483 slugging percentage and .912 OPS.

Guardians vs Blue Jays Betting Analysis

Toronto is typically a lineup to fear but that hasn’t been the case this week. The team snapped a 16 inning scoreless drought in Saturday’s win, after getting shutout by the Guardians 8-0 in the series opener.

The Blue Jays are still missing George Springer due to an elbow issue and have scored four or fewer runs in eight of their past 11 games. They have a .237 batting average and .294 OBP over the past two weeks, which are .27 and .33 points lower respectively than their season-long marks.

One bright note has been the bat of Vladimir Guerrero Jr. The top-five AL MVP odds contender is currently riding a 22-game hitting streak, the longest active streak in MLB.

Toronto’s underachieving lineup plays directly to the strengths of the Guardians. Cleveland is averaging just 1.4 runs allowed per game over their last seven outings, and has posted a pair of shutouts during that stretch.

They have a +16 run differential over their past seven games, beating Houston twice and the Blue Jays once, two of the top-seven World Series odds contenders.

CLE vs TOR Last 10 Meetings

Date Away Team Home Team Score
8/13/22 Guardians Blue Jays TOR, 2-1
8/12/22 Guardians Blue Jays CLE, 8-0
5/8/22 Blue Jays Guardians CLE, 4-3
5/7/22 Blue Jays Guardians CLE, 8-2
5/7/22 Blue Jays Guardians TOR, 8-3
5/6/22 Blue Jays Guardians CLE, 6-5
8/5/21 Guardians Blue Jays TOR, 3-0
8/4/21 Guardians Blue Jays TOR, 8-6
8/3/21 Guardians Blue Jays TOR, 7-2
8/2/21 Guardians Blue Jays CLE, 5-2

Guardians vs Blue Jays Pick

It’s rare that back-to-back games go under the total at Rogers Center. However, given the pitching matchup and the current form of the Blue Jays lineup, Sunday’s contest is a prime candidate to follow in the footsteps of Saturday’s 2-1 result.

Both Bieber and Gausman have been phenomenal recently and the Guardians have a knack for playing low scoring games. Eight of their past nine games have failed to eclipse the total, with seven of those eight contests reaching just seven runs or less.

Not to be outdone, four of Gausman’s last five starts have produced totals of seven runs or less, with the last two both coming in under six runs.

Pick: Under 7.5 (-110)

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