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Diamondbacks vs Giants Picks & Odds (Aug 16)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 16, 2022 · 8:17 AM PDT

Aug 15, 2022; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants third baseman Evan Longoria (center) is greeted by his teammates after hitting a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the fourth inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Giants are -117 home favorites over the Diamondbacks on Tuesday night
  • Merrill Kelly (10-5, 2.95) will pitch for Arizona against Jakob Junis (4-3, 3.78)
  • A look at the Diamondbacks vs Giants odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The San Francisco Giants will look to keep rolling when they host the Arizona Diamondbacks at 9:45 p.m. ET Tuesday in the second game of a four-game series at Oracle Park.

The Giants (58-57/33-27 home) ran their winning streak to four games and moved back over .500 with a 6-1 victory over the Diamondbacks on Monday night. The Diamondbacks (53-62/21-33 road) lost for just the third time in their last nine games.

The Giants are 5.5 games behind the San Diego Padres for the third and final National League wild card.

Diamondbacks vs Giants Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Arizona Diamondbacks +102 -1.5 (+170) Over 8 (-106)
San Francisco Giants -117 +1.5 (-220) Under 8 (-113)

Odds as of August 16th at Barstool Sportsbook.

 

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San Francisco is a -117 favorite, giving it an implied win probability of 53.92%. The Giants have World Series odds of +20000 and the Diamondbacks’ odds are +200000.

It should be a breezy night at Oracle Park with the weather forecast calling for a 11-16 mph wind from the west with gusts up to 29 mph. The temperature is expected to be 70 degrees at first pitch with a low of 60 along with mostly clear skies.

Arizona vs San Francisco Probable Pitchers

In today’s MLB lineups, Merrill Kelly (10-5, 2.95) is scheduled to start for the Diamondbacks against Jakob Junis (4-3, 3.78). Kelly will be pitching on four days of rest and Junis on five.

Kelly vs Junis

Merrill Kelly
VS
Jakob Junis
10-5 Record 4-3
2.95 ERA 3.78
3.15 xERA 4.08
1.14 WHIP 1.20
2.74 SO/W 3.50

Kelly has been outstanding since the beginning of July with a 4-0 record and 1.86 ERA in eight starts.

Kelly was not quite as sharp his last time out against the Pittsburgh Pirates last Thursday in Phoenix, though. In a no-decision, he allowed three runs and four hits in five innings while striking out six and walking three.

In 13 career starts against the Giants, Kelly is 5-3 with 2.79 ERA. However, he is just 1-3 in five outings at Oracle Park with a 5.04 ERA.

Kelly is 7-1 with a 2.79 ERA in 10 road starts this season. In 14 starts at night, he has gone 7-4 with a 3.28 ERA. The Diamondbacks are 12-11 when Kelly gets the ball.

Junis is 0-2 with a 7.16 ERA in five starts since being activated from the injured list July 17. He missed five weeks with a strained left hamstring.

Last Wednesday, he was tagged for six runs and seven hits in 2.1 innings in a no-decision against the Padres in San Diego. He had three strikeouts and two walks.

Junis is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA in two starts against the Diamondbacks in his career.

In six starts at home this season, Junis has a 2-1 record and 3.96 ERA. He is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA in seven games (five starts) at night. The Giants have a 6-5 record in Junis’ starts.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Diamondbacks Batters Batting Average vs Jakob Junis
Jack McCarthy 1.000
Josh Rojas .500
Ketel Marte .000
Carson Kelly .000
Alek Thomas .000
Daulton Varsho .000
Christian Walker .000
Geraldo Perdomo .000
Giants Batters Batting Average vs Merrill Kelly
Luis Gonzalez .333
Brandon Crawford .310
Wilmer Flores .308
Evan Longoria .286
Joc Pederson .235
Brandon Belt .231
Austin Slater .200
LaMonte Wade Jr. .191
Joey Bart .167
Mike Yastrzemski .143
J.D. Davis .000
Tommy La Stella .000
Thairo Estrada .000

The Giants’ Wilmer Flores is 4 for 13 (.308) with two doubles and a home run off Kelly but Mike Yastrzemski is 4 for 28 (.143) with a double, a triple and a homer.

Diamondbacks vs Giants Betting Trends

Evan Longoria hit a two-run home run to lead the Giants over the Diamondbacks on Monday night. It came in the fourth inning and opened the scoring.

San Francisco’s Joey Bart had three hits and two RBIs. J.D. Davis added two hits.

Giants left fielder Joc Pederson sat out a day after sustaining a right pinky contusion when hit by a pitch. However, he hit a double as a pinch-hitter in the seventh inning and is expected to be in the lineup Tuesday.

Jake McCarthy had two hits for the Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks second baseman Ketel Marte was out of the lineup after leaving Sunday’s game with tightness in his left hamstring. He is considered day to day.

Right fielder Daulton Varsho returned to action a day after being removed from the game when he was hit in the jaw by a thrown baseball. He went 0 for 5 with two strikeouts.

The Diamondbacks are 6-4 against the Giants this season and the teams have split four games in San Francisco.

However, the Giants held a 45-22 advantage in the series over the previous four seasons from 2018-21. The Giants have also won 18 of their last 20 games against the Diamondbacks at Oracle Park.

ARI vs SF Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/15/22 Giants Diamondbacks SF, 6-1
7/27/22 Diamondbacks Giants ARI, 5-3
7/26/22 Diamondbacks Giants ARI, 7-3
7/25/22 Diamondbacks Giants ARI, 7-0
7/13/22 Giants Diamondbacks SF, 4-3
7/12/22 Giants Diamondbacks SF, 13-0
7/11/22 Giants Diamondbacks ARI, 4-3
7/6/22 Diamondbacks Giants SF, 7-5
7/5/22 Diamondbacks Giants ARI, 6-2
7/4/22 Diamondbacks Giants ARI, 8-3

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction

Kelly has been tough on the road all season and is the pick here against the inconsistent Giants despite Oracle Park being the Diamondbacks’ house of horrors in recent years.

Pick: Diamondbacks ML (+102) 

 

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