Upcoming Match-ups

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Predictions, Odds & Starting Pitchers (June 10)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 9, 2023 · 8:39 PM PDT

Corbin Carroll reaction on ground beside second base
Jun 7, 2023; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks left fielder Corbin Carroll (7) reacts after being tagged out at second base by Washington Nationals shortstop CJ Abrams (5) during the fifth inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Scott Taetsch-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Diamondbacks are -135 road favorites over the Tigers on Saturday
  • Ryne Nelson will pitch for the Diamondbacks against Tigers left-hander Matthew Boyd 
  • A look at the Diamondbacks vs Tigers matchup and odds can be found below with a prediction

The Arizona Diamondbacks will try to stay hot when they meet the host Detroit Tigers at 1:10pm ET Saturday in the middle game of a three-game series at Comerica Park.

The National League West-leading Diamondbacks (38-25, 18-11 road) won their third straight games and for the ninth time in the last 11 games with an 11-6 victory over the Tigers on Friday night. The Tigers (26-35, 14-14 home) are on a six-game losing streak and have also dropped eight of nine.

MLB Network will televise the game.

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Arizona Diamondbacks -135 -1.5 (+135) Over 8.5 (-115)
Detroit Tigers +110 +1.5 (-160) Under 8.5 (-105)

Odds as of June 9th at BetMGM.

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Diamondbacks vs Tigers Probable Pitchers

The Diamondbacks are -135 moneyline favorites over the Tigers on Saturday in the MLB odds, giving them an implied win probability of 57.45%. Arizona has +6000 World Series championship odds and Detroit is listed at +50000.

The weather forecast calls for sunny skies, a high temperature of 86 and southwest wind at 6-10 mph.

Rookie Ryne Nelson (2-3, 5.40) is expected to start for the Diamondbacks against left-hander Matthew Boyd (3-4, 5.57). Nelson will be pitching on six days of rest and Boyd on five.

Nelson vs Boyd Head-to-Head Stats

Ryne Nelson
VS
Matthew Boyd
2-3 Record 3-4
5.40 ERA 5.57
5.06 xERA 4.02
1.49 WHIP 1.35
1.68 SO/W 2.41

Nelson lost to the Atlanta Braves at home in his previous start last Saturday. He lasted 4.2 innings and allowed three runs and six hits while walking four and not registering a strikeout.

This will be Nelson’s first career appearance against the Tigers.

Nelson has an 0-1 record and 3.76 ERA in five starts on the road this season and is 2-1 with a 4.88 during the day in six starts. Nelson has three quality starts in 12 outings and the Diamondbacks are 5-7 when he is on the mound.

Boyd is coming off a strong start Sunday against the White Sox in Chicago, though he did not factor in the decision. Boyd struck out nine in five innings while giving up one run on three hits and no walks.

Boyd has faced the Diamondbacks only once in his career, losing to them in 2017 when he yielded four runs (three earned) in six innings.

The Tigers are 6-5 when Boyd pitches this season, though he has only one quality start. He been roughed up at Comerica Park, going 0-4 with an 8.34 ERA in five starts, and is 0-2 with a 4.79 ERA in four starts in day games.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Diamondbacks Batters Batting Average vs Matthew Boyd
Nick Ahmed .500
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. .000
Evan Longoria .000
Ketel Marte .000

Diamondbacks left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr is hitless in four at-bats against Boyd in his with three strikeouts. No Tigers hitters have ever faced Nelson.

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Betting Outlook

Corbin Carroll hit a pair of home runs, including a grand slam to lead the Diamondbacks over the Tigers on Friday night. The rookie finished 3-for-5 with five RBIs.

Geraldo Perdomo had two hits and drove in two runs. Emmanuel Rivera and Jose Herrera added two hits each.

Gurriel missed his third straight game with left groin tightness and is questionable for Saturday.

The Tigers’ Jake Rogers hit two solo home runs as part of a three-hit night. Javier Baez also connected.

Baez, Spencer Torkelson and Kerry Carpenter each had two hits while Zack Short contributed a pair of RBIs.

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/9/23 Tigers Diamondbacks ARI, 11-6
6/26/22 Diamondbacks Tigers ARI, 11-7
6/25/22 Diamondbacks Tigers DET, 6-3
6/24/22 Diamondbacks Tigers DET, 5-1
6/14/17 Tigers Diamondbacks ARI, 2-1
6/13/17 Tigers Diamondbacks ARI, 7-6
5/10/17 Diamondbacks Tigers ARI, 7-1
5/9/17 Diamondbacks Tigers DET, 7-3
7/23/14 Diamondbacks Tigers DET, 11-5
7/22/14 Diamondbacks Tigers ARI, 5-4

Carpenter (right shoulder strain) was activated from the injured list and was the designated hitter. Infielder Tyler Nevin was optioned to Triple-A Toledo.

The Tigers hold a slim 9-8 edge in the series since 2010.

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Prediction

This may sound counterintuitive considering the Diamondbacks are rolling and the Tigers are reeling but Boyd feels like a solid underdog play here.

Pick: Tigers ML (+110)

Season Record: 27-10 (+15.1 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 1-1 (+1.0) player props; 32-15 (+16.1 units) overall

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