Dodgers, Astros Open with Highest 2023 MLB Win Totals
- The Dodgers and Astros are expected to win the most games in 2023
- LA has finished with the most wins in three of the past four regular seasons
- See below for the opening MLB win totals for all 30 teams.
It feels like the baseball season just ended, but the reality is it’s been nearly three and half months since the Astros won the World Series.
Pitchers and catchers have already started rolling into Arizona and Florida for Spring Training, and the first set of exhibition games are less than two weeks away.
Online sportsbooks are starting to get into the swing of the upcoming MLB season as well, releasing win totals for all 30 of its teams.
Opening MLB Win Totals (Highest to Lowest)
| Team | Win Total |
|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 95.5 |
| Houston Astros | 95.5 |
| New York Yankees | 94.5 |
| Atlanta Braves | 94.5 |
| New York Mets | 94.5 |
| San Diego Padres | 92.5 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 90.5 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 88.5 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 88.5 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 88.5 |
| Seattle Mariners | 87.5 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 86.5 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 85.5 |
| Chicago White Sox | 83.5 |
| Texas Rangers | 82.5 |
| San Francisco Giants | 81.5 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 81.5 |
| Minnesota Twins | 81.5 |
| Boston Red Sox | 77.5 |
| Chicago Cubs | 77.5 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 76.5 |
| Miami Marlins | 76.5 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 74.5 |
| Detroit Tigers | 70.5 |
| Kansas City Royals | 69.5 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 67.5 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 65.5 |
| Colorado Rockies | 65.5 |
| Washington Nationals | 61.5 |
| Oakland Athletics | 60.5 |
Win totals as of Feb. 15, 2023, at DraftKings. See all the DraftKings promo code options.
The top of the board looks eerily similar to 2022, as both the Dodgers and defending champion Astros boast the two shortest odds once again. The Yankees and Braves were among the top-six contenders prior to last season as well, albeit in a slightly different order.
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Los Angeles and Houston each have an over/under of 95.5 victories in the 2023 MLB win totals, which if they fall short of would be a downgrade from last season. The Dodgers won an MLB-best 111 games, while the Astros were right behind them with 106 victories.
Top of the Board
LA has won the most games in the Majors three times in the last four years, but have come away with just one championship. They’re the co-favorites in the World Series odds with Houston as well, despite a fair bit of roster turnover.
The Dodgers lost a few stars in the offseason, most notably Trea Turner and Justin Turner. Power hitter Cody Bellinger also left, as did closer Craig Kimbrel. They did add former Red Sox J.D. Martinez to help replace some of the lost pop at the plate, and they got better defensively at shortstop with the addition of Miguel Rojas.
Nevertheless, expect the offense to take a step back. LA led the National League in most key offensive categories last season, but that will be a tough task to repeat given the departures. There are also serious questions about the last two spots of their starting rotation, as the addition of Noah Syndergaard isn’t moving the needle.
Excited for the new-look 2023 Dodgers. It was time for a shakeup.
Departures:
T. Turner
J. Turner
Bellinger
Anderson
Heaney
Martin
Kimbrel
Gallo
Alberto
Kahnle
Rios
PillarAdditions:
J.D. Martinez
Syndergaard
Rojas
Peralta
Reyes
Miller
Feyereisen
Heyward— Doug McKain (@DMAC_LA) February 15, 2023
The Astros on the other hand, look very similar to last season with one glaring exception. Cy Young Award winner Justin Verlander is now a member of the Mets, and Houston didn’t add a proven talent to replace him.
The starting lineup looks very similar to the 2022 championship team, just another year older. They did add Jose Abreu from the White Sox, who’s fresh off a down year, but this team will now be counting on four players in their mid-30’s.
Given the concerns of both teams, it makes sense to look a little further down the oddsboard for some value. The Mets, who won 101 games last season, and now boast the most expensive payroll in MLB history are an option, as are the reigning NL champs.
Buy the Phillies
Philadelphia landed the biggest fish this offseason prying Turner away from the Dodgers. He gives the Phillies another elite bat to go along with Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber in the middle of the order, helping them form one of the most productive trios in baseball.
With his power, speed and swagger, prepare for Trea Turner to come up huge for the @Phillies this season 💪@mikelowell25 | #MLBTonight pic.twitter.com/es3vEbNhif
— MLB Network (@MLBNetwork) February 8, 2023
Philly also upgraded their rotation by signing Taijuan Walker, who’ll slot in nicely after co-aces Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola. Walker is fresh off a career year, posting personal bests in wins and ERA.
The Phillies also added Kimbrel to shore up the back end of their bullpen which was considered a big weakness. They won 87 games a season ago, despite a late season skid where they dropped 13 of 20 down the stretch.
Philadelphia turned things around once the postseason arrived, and showcased their true potential. With the additions they’ve made their ceiling is higher than ever, making them a strong bet to exceed their win total.
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Over 88.5 Wins
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
