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Dodgers vs Giants Game 5 Player Props and Best Bets – Over/Under Home Runs, Strikeouts, Hits, and RBI

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Oct 13, 2021 · 1:59 PM PDT

Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants' Logan Webb pitches against the Oakland Athletics during the first inning of a baseball game in Oakland, Calif., Sunday, Aug. 22, 2021. (AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The deciding Game 5 between the LA Dodgers and San Francisco Giants is scheduled for Thursday, Oct. 14th, at Oracle Park in San Francisco
  • See the best pitcher and hitter props to wager on in the win-or-go-home matchup
  • Sascha Paruk’s MLB player props record: +1.45 units (5-7 W/L record on picks)

It’s only fitting that the two best teams in Major League Baseball this season would go to a decisive Game 5 in the National League Division Series. Tomorrow, the Los Angeles Dodgers head to the Bay Area one more time to visit the San Francisco Dodgers at Oracle Park (9:07 pm ET).

With the pitching matchup – Julio Urias (20-3, 2.96 ERA, 1.02 WHIP) vs Logan Webb (11-3, 3.03 ERA, 1.11 WHIP) – already set, sportsbooks felt comfortable posting all the usual player props the day before.

Dodgers vs Giants Game 5 Player Props

Player Home Run Hits RBI Pitcher Strikeouts Home Runs Allowed Hits Allowed
AJ Pollock (LAD) 0.5 (+500/-900u) 0.5 (-200o/+150u) 0.5 (+200o/-280u) N/A N/A N/A
Brandon Crawford (SF) 0.5 (+500/-900u) 0.5 (-160o/+120u) 0.5 (+230o/-330u) N/A N/A N/A
Buster Posey (SF) 0.5 (+400o/-650u) 0.5 (-250/+180u) 0.5 (+200o/-280u) N/A N/A N/A
Corey Seager (LAD) 0.5 (+550o/-1100u) 0.5 (-280o/+200u) 0.5 (+200o/-280u) N/A N/A N/A
Darin Ruf (SF) 0.5 (+360o/-600u) 0.5 (-190o/+140u) 0.5 (+230o/-330u) N/A N/A N/A
Justin Turner (LAD) 0.5 (+550o/-1100u) 0.5 (-225o/+165u) 0.5 (+165o/-220u) N/A N/A N/A
Kris Bryant (SF) 0.5 (+450o/-750u) 0.5 (-190o/+140u) 0.5 (+200o/-280u) N/A N/A N/A
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 (+550o/-1100u) 0.5 (-145o/+110u) 0.5 (+250o/-360u) N/A N/A N/A
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 (+450o/-750u) 1.5 (-280o/+200u) 0.5 (+215o/-300u) N/A N/A N/A
Tommy La Stella (SF) 0.5 (+700o/-1600u) 0.5 (-220o/+165u) 0.5 (+275o/-400u) N/A N/A N/A
Trea Turner (LAD) 0.5 (+600o/-1200u) 1.5 (+165o/-220u) 0.5 (+180o/-250u) N/A N/A N/A
Will Smith (LAD) O 0.5 (+400o/-650u) 0.5 (-175o/+130u) 0.5 (+180o/-250u) N/A N/A N/A
Julio Urias (LAD) OFF OFF OFF 4.5 (-130o/+100u) 0.5 (-140o/+105u) 4.5 (+110o/+140u)
Logan Webb (SF) OFF OFF OFF 4.5 (-135o/+105u) 0.5 (+140o/-190u) 4.5 (-105o/-125u)

Odds as of October 13th at DraftKings.

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Can Webb Weave Another Gem?

Logan Webb stunned most of the baseball world when he went 7.2 shutout innings in Game 1, racking up ten strikeouts the process. He surrendered just five hits and no walks. It was just the second time this season that he reached double-digit punchouts.

Game 1 was the fourth start Webb has made against the Dodgers this season. He went at least five frames in the other three, scattering four earned runs over 16 total innings. The Giants are now 4-0 against LAD when the 24-year-old takes the mound in 2021.

The more hitters and pitchers face each other, the better it is for the hitters (in theory). It’s not reasonable to expect another seven-plus shutout innings from the youngster in Game 5. But getting to five strikeouts is well within reach. He reached that threshold in all four previous starts against LA. In addition, his home/road splits heavily skew towards home. He’s posted a 1.96 ERA at Oracle Park this year and a 4.08 ERA everywhere else.

Yes, manager Gabe Kapler will have a short hook if Webb runs into trouble. But his bullpen has also shown cracks in this series.

Picks: Logan Webb over 4.5 strikeouts (-105); Will Smith under 0.5 hits (+130); risk 1.0 units for both

Urias Will Answer the Bell Again

As a whole, Urias has excellent numbers against the players on the San Francisco roster. He has held them to a .196 average and .273 slugging percentage. But there are a handful of Giants who have hit him reasonably well, and Kapler is likely to stack them near the top of the order. Buster Posey is a scorching 9-for-18 (.500 BA) with three doubles and three walks; Kris Bryant is 4-for-13 (.304 BA) with a home run and a walk; and Austin Slater is 6-for-17 (.353) with a homer, two doubles, and a walk.

Urias was able to pitch five innings of three-hit, one-run ball in Game 1 before the bullpen imploded during the 9-2 loss. Like his counterpart, he has seen a lot of Thursday’s opposition already this season, making five regular-season starts against San Francisco. He went at least five innings in all five and only had one truly ugly game, allowing seven runs on 11 hits back on May 29.

Including the postseason, he’s pitched 34.1 innings against the Giants and has allowed 12 runs (3.17 ERA) with a 1.11 WHIP.

Urias has plenty of playoff experience on his resume, too (42.0 innings over five different postseasons), and was particularly good during LA’s march to the 2020 World Series (1.17 ERA in 23.0 innings).

Urias’ home/road splits are actually better in unfriendly confines this year (3.27 ERA at home versus 2.71 ERA on the road). Like Webb, he’s reached Thursday’s strikeout threshold (4.5) in every start he’s made against the opposition this season.

Picks: Julio Urias over 4.5 strikeouts (-130); Buster Posey over 0.5 hits (-250); risk 1.0 units for both

 

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