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Giants vs Phillies Picks and Odds (May 31)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated May 30, 2022 · 7:49 PM PDT

San Francisco Giants catcher Curt Casali fist bumps third baseman Evan Longoria
May 30, 2022; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; San Francisco Giants catcher Curt Casali (2) and third baseman Evan Longoria (10) celebrate win against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Phillies are -135 home favorites over the Giants
  • Jakob Junis (2-1, 2.76) will start for San Francisco against lefty Ranger Suarez (4-3, 4.74)
  • A look at the Giants vs Phillies odds and matchup is below with a pick

The sliding Philadelphia Phillies will try to get back on track when they host the San Francisco Giants at 6:45 pm. ET Tuesday in the middle game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phillies (21-28, 11-14) have lost four games in a row, six of seven and 11 of 15 after being edged 5-4 by the Giants in 10 innings on Monday. Philadelphia is seven games under .500 for the first time since the last day of the 2017 season.

The Giants (26-21, 13-10 road) have won back-to-back games and four of their last six.

Giants vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Francisco Giants +115 +1.5 (-170) Over 9 (-120)
Philadelphia Phillies -135 -1.5 (+145) Under 9 (+100)

Odds as of May 30th at Caesars Sportsbook.

 

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The Phillies are -135 favorites, giving them a 57.45% expected win probability. San Francisco has World Series odds of +2500 and Philadelphia is listed at +3000.

It is expected to be a hot night in South Philadelphia with the temperature forecast for 92 degrees at first pitch with a low of 69, partly cloudy skies and a west wind at 5 mph.

San Francisco vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers

Jakob Junis (2-1, 2.76) will pitch for the Giants against left-hander Ranger Suarez (4-3, 4.74). Both will be working on five days of rest.

Junis vs Suarez

Jakob Junis
VS
Ranger Suarez
2-1 Record 4-3
2.76 ERA 4.74
4.17 xERA 4.54
0.95 WHIP 1.53
4.80 SO/W 1.95

Jakob Junis is coming off a victory over the National League East-leading New York Mets last Wednesday in San Francisco. He pitched six innings and allowed two runs and three hits with four strikeouts and one walk.

Junis has faced the Phillies only once, losing in 2019 when he was pitching for the Kansas City Royals. He was tagged for five runs (four earned) in 4.1 innings.

On the road this season, Junis has a 1-1 record and a 1.69 ERA in two games (one start). He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three games (one start) at night.

The Phillies’ Nick Castellanos is just 3 for 22 (.136) against Junis with one home run.

Suarez has lost his last two starts, giving up eight runs total in 7.1 innings.

Suarez lasted just 4.1 innings against the Braves last Wednesday in Atlanta. He surrendered five runs on six hits while walking four and striking out four.

All four of Suarez’s career appearances against the Giants have been in relief. He has a 1-0 record and a 1.17 ERA.

Suarez is 1-2 with a 5.48 ERA in five starts at Citizens Bank Park in 2022. Each of his nine starts have been at night.

The Giants’ Wilmer Flores is 3 for 5 versus Suarez.

Giants vs Phillies Betting Outlook

The Giants’ Curt Casali hit a two-run home run in the top of the 10th inning Monday to snap a 3-3 tie and give San Francisco the win.

https://twitter.com/SFGiants/status/1531425004847439872The Phillies scored once in the bottom of the 10th on Alec Bohm’s sacrifice fly.

Even Longoria’s solo home run put the Giants ahead 3-2 in the top of the ninth, but Kyle Schwarber, who has +7500 NL MVP odds, answered with a game-tying homer in the bottom half.

Flores also homered for the Giants. Castellanos and Rhys Hoskins connected for the Phillies.

Phillies rookie center fielder Mickey Moniak made his season debut after being sidelined with a broken right hand. He was 0 for 4 with three strikeouts.

https://twitter.com/BrodesMedia/status/1531367019412602880

Monday marked the first game of the season between the teams. The Giants won the season series 4-2 last year and hold an 18-16 edge since the start of the 2016 season.

SF vs PHI Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/30/22 Phillies Giants SF, 5-4
6/20/21 Giants Phillies SF, 11-2
6/19/21 Giants Phillies PHI, 13-6
6/18/21 Giants Phillies SF, 5-3
4/21/21 Phillies Giants PHI, 6-5
4/20/21 Phillies Giants SF, 10-7
4/19/21 Phillies Giants SF, 2-0
8/11/19 Giants Phillies SF, 9-6
8/10/19 Giants Phillies SF, 3-1
8/9/19 Giants Phillies PHI, 9-6

Giants vs Phillies Prediction

The Phillies have been a huge disappointment this season and the heat is turning up on manager Joe Girardi. Fading Philadelphia is the way to go, especially with the Phillies being favored and Junis pitching well for the Giants after being released by the Royals last November.

Pick: Giants ML (+115)

 

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