Marlins vs Nationals Odds, Lines & Spread (July 3)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Marlins are -140 road favorites over the Nationals on Sunday
- Pablo Lopez (5-4, 2.98) will start for Miami against Erick Fedde (5-5, 4.40)
- A look at the Marlins vs Nationals odds can be found below with a pick
The visiting Miami Marlins will attempt to beat the Washington Nationals again at 1:35 pm ET Sunday when the teams meet in the third game of a four-game series at Nationals Park.
The Marlins (36-40, 17-24 road) have won the first two games of the series, including 5-3 on Saturday, and three in a row overall. The Nationals (29-51, 14-29 home) are on a three-game skid.
Marlins vs Nationals Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins | -140 | -1.5 (+115) | Over 8.5 (-115) |
| Washington Nationals | +115 | +1.5 (-140) | Under 8.5 (-105) |
Odds as of July 2nd at BetMGM.
The Marlins have a 58.33% implied win probability as -140 favorites. Miami’s World Series odds are +30000 and the Nationals’ odds are +100000.
There is a 20% chance of showers in the early afternoon, but the weather forecast calls for the skies to become sunny and the temperature to reach a high of 87 degrees with north wind at 3-6 mph.
Miami vs Washington Probable Pitchers
Pablo Lopez (5-4, 2.98) is scheduled to pitch for the Marlins against Erick Fedde (5-5, 4.40). Both will be working on five days of rest.
Lopez vs Fedde
| 5-4 | Record | 5-5 |
| 2.98 | ERA | 4.40 |
| 3.74 | xERA | 4.17 |
| 1.08 | WHIP | 1.44 |
| 3.67 | SO/W | 1.74 |
Lopez is coming off a rough outing in which he lost to the Cardinals on Monday in St. Louis. He was tagged for five runs and six hits in five innings while striking out five and walking one.
Paul Goldschmidt, good at baseball.
MLB's OPS leader takes Pablo Lopez deep for his 19th HR of the season. 🚀
(via @MLB)pic.twitter.com/QIuSW1wAAM
— Rotoworld Baseball (@rotoworld_bb) June 28, 2022
In 11 career starts against the Nationals, Lopez is 4-2 with a 4.77 ERA. He has a 2-1 record and 4.55 ERA in six outings at Nationals Park.
Lopez, who has +3500 National League Cy Young Award odds, is 2-3 with a 3.47 ERA in eight road starts this season. He has no decisions in three starts in day games to go with a 2.50 ERA.
Fedde had a no-decision against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Monday at home despite allowing two runs in five innings. He yielded just three hits while striking out four and walking two.
Fedde has had success against the Marlins with a 4-1 career record and 1.70 ERA in eight starts.
One quality start for Erick Fedde 🧁#NATITUDE pic.twitter.com/xftmM8alrP
— Washington Nationals (@Nationals) June 22, 2022
At home in 2022, Fedde has gone 2-3 with a 4.85 ERA in eight starts. He is 1-0 with a 2.61 ERA in four starts in the daylight.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Marlins Batters | Batting Average vs Erick Fedde |
|---|---|
| Jacob Stallings | .500 |
| Jesus Aguilar | .400 |
| Bryan De La Cruz | .286 |
| Jesus Sanchez | .250 |
| Brian Anderson | .111 |
| Miguel Rojas | .071 |
| Garrett Cooper | .000 |
| Jon Berti | .000 |
| Avisail Garcia | .000 |
| Billy Hamilton | .000 |
| Joey Wendle | .000 |
| Nationals Batters | Batting Average vs Pablo Lopez |
| Alcides Escobar | 1.000 |
| Yadiel Hernandez | .429 |
| Cesar Hernandez | .385 |
| Juan Soto | .348 |
| Keibert Ruiz | .333 |
| Luis Garcia | .250 |
| Josh Bell | .222 |
| Maikel Franco | .200 |
| Victor Robles | .083 |
| Ehire Adrianza | .000 |
| Nelson Cruz | .000 |
| Lane Thomas | .000 |
The Marlins’ Miguel Rojas is just 1 for 14 (.071) off Fedde.
Juan Soto has proven to be a tough matchup for Lopez, hitting .348 (8 for 23) with three doubles and two home runs. Cesar Hernandez is 5 for 13 (.385) with three doubles and a homer but Victor Robles is 1 for 12 (.083) with five strikeouts.
Marlins vs Nationals Betting Outlook
Jesus Aguilar hit a two-run home run in the first inning Saturday to start the Marlins on their way to victory.
Blossom, @JAguilarMKE 🌸 pic.twitter.com/Ivtth7mpIZ
— Miami Marlins (@Marlins) July 2, 2022
Aguilar finished with two his and two RBIs, helping the Marlins overcome a four-error performance.
Rojas was back in the Marlins’ lineup at shortstop after leaving Friday’s game when he collided with third baseman Brian Anderson while trying to field a grounder. Rojas went 1 for 2 with a double and walk.
Juan Soto hit a solo home run for the Nationals and Lane Thomas had two hits.
Robles started and went 1 for 2. The fan friendly center fielder exited Friday with a bruised left shin.
Joey playing catch with Victor Robles! Let’s go!!! pic.twitter.com/0JAHcViNzB
— Lisa Costello (@lgcostello) June 29, 2022
The Marlins are now 10-1 against the Nationals this season, including 5-0 in Washington. However, the Nationals held a 103-59 advantage in the series over a nine-year span from 2013-21.
Marlins vs Nationals Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2/22 | Nationals | Marlins | MIA, 5-3 |
| 7/1/22 | Nationals | Marlins | MIA, 6-3 |
| 6/9/22 | Marlins | Nationals | MIA, 7-4 |
| 6/8/22 | Marlins | Nationals | MIA, 2-1 |
| 6/7/22 | Marlins | Nationals | MIA, 12-2 |
| 5/18/22 | Marlins | Nationals | WAS, 5-4 |
| 5/17/22 | Marlins | Nationals | MIA, 5-1 |
| 5/16/22 | Marlins | Nationals | MIA, 8-2 |
| 4/28/22 | Nationals | Marlins | MIA, 3-2 |
| 4/27/22 | Nationals | Marlins | MIA, 2-1 |
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction
While the Marlins have had their way with the Nationals this season, Fedde’s career record against Miami is hard to ignore. This has the feel of a good underdog play.
Pick: Nationals ML (+115)
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
