Mets vs Marlins Picks & Odds (Sep. 9)
- The New York Mets are -170 road favorites over the Miami Marlins in a National League game slated for Friday, September 9
- New York is 10-4 straight up against Miami this season
- Get the Mets vs Marlins odds and best bets
Suddenly in the fight of their lives for the National League East division crown, the New York Mets (87-51, 41-28 away) will welcome the sight of the Miami Marlins (56-80, 26-38 home) in the other dugout.
The Mets have had their way with the Marlins this season. They’ve proven especially dominant on the road against Miami.
New York is 5-1 both straight up and against the runline when playing in Miami. The Mets swept a three-game series July 29-31 in their previous visit to South Beach.
Oddsmakers are staying with the Mets in the first encounter of this weekend’s three-game series.
Mets vs Marlins Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | -170 | -1.5 (+105) | O 8.5 (-105) |
| Miami Marlins | +143 | +1.5 (-125) | U 8.5 (-115) |
Odds as of September 9 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.
At moneyline odds of -170, the Mets have an implied probability of victory of 62.96% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on New York would create a payout of $15.90.
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First pitch at LoanDepot Park is set for 6:40pm ET on Friday, September 9. It’s a good thing there’s a retractable roof on Miami’s stadium. The weather forecast is calling for thundershowers with 13 mph wind and a temperature of 90 degrees.
In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying that New York is the chalk at -204 in the NL East. Miami is already eliminated from NL East contention. The MLB pennant odds show the Mets as the +235 second choice to cop the NL flag, while Miami is at +100000. In the World Series odds, the Mets are the +500 third choice and the Marlins are at +200000. Review the new Barstool Sportsbook promo offer to get the latest deal, including a 1k risk-free bet.
New York vs Miami Probable Pitchers
This was supposed to be Max Scherzer’s turn in the rotation. However, the multiple Cy Young Award winner was placed on the 15-day IL with left side fatigue.
Got him! 🎯 @_David_Peterson pic.twitter.com/JSCYMrtXog
— New York Mets (@Mets) September 3, 2022
Instead, the Marlins are expected to see left-hander David Peterson. He’s won a career-high seven games this season. Moved back into the starting rotation on August 6, Peterson is 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA over the four starts he’s made since.
Peterson is 6-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 17 starts this season. He’s 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA in three career starts facing the Marlins.
Peterson vs Cabrera Stats
| 7-3 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3.32 | ERA | 2.39 |
| 3.92 | xERA | 3.45 |
| 1.31 | WHIP | 1.06 |
| 2.68 | SO/W Ratio | 2.20 |
Marlins right-hander Edward Cabrera rebounded quickly from his worst outing of season. He allowed six earned runs in 5.2 innings pitched and took the loss against the Los Angeles Dodgers on August 28. In his first September start, Cabrera checked the Atlanta Braves on four hits and one earned run over five innings of work.
Cabrera had gone four consecutive starts in August without allowing a run. He’s served up three home runs in his last two starts over the past 10.2 innings, though.
https://twitter.com/JustBBMedia/status/1561922376488607744?s=20&t=yA-eJMYsmZWDs41GhijLzg
Cabrera rates among the top 7% of MLB pitchers in exit velocity (86.1) and xBA (.188). He’s in the top 10% of hard hit percentage (31.6). However, he’s also rating among the bottom 5% in bases on balls percentage (12.6).
The Marlins righty is 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA in three career starts against the Mets.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Cabrera | Marlins Batters | Batting Average vs Peterson |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | .400 | Brian Anderson | .500 |
| Jeff McNeil | .250 | Miguel Rojas | .500 |
| Brandon Nimmo | .667 | Jacob Stallings | .500 |
For the Mets, Pete Alonso is 2-for-5 (.400) when digging in at the plate against Cabrera. Both hits are home runs and he’s driven in three runs. Brandon Nimmo is 2-for-3 (.667) and Jeff McNeil is 1-for-4 (.250) with an RBI.
Pete Alonso has 20 career homers vs. the Marlins, his most against any one opponent.
David Wright (26) is the only Met with more home runs against the Marlins.#Mets #LGM
— Mathew Brownstein (@MBrownstein89) July 29, 2022
Miguel Rojas of the Marlins is 3-for-6 (.500) with a solo homer when facing Peterson. Both Jacob Stallings (1-for-2) and Brian Anderson (1-for-2) are also .500 hitters off of Peterson. Anderson has driven in a run.
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
The Mets ended a three-game skid by taking two in a row from Pittsburgh. They outscored the Pirates 15-1 in those two games. New York is a scuffling 9-8 SU over the past 17 games.
The Mets were seven games ahead atop the NL East as recently as August 10. Now they’re running neck and neck with the Braves.
Miami’s 26 home wins are the second-lowest total in the NL, ahead of only NL East cellar dwellers Washington. The Marlins ended a nine-game losing streak with Thursday’s 6-5 win over the Philadelphia Phillies. They are 1-6 SU and 3-4 against the runline in their last seven home games.
Pick: New York Mets ML (-170)
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
