Mets vs Phillies Odds and Picks (April 13)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Philadelphia Phillies are -122 home favorites over the New York Mets on Wednesday
- Max Scherzer (1-0, 4.50) for the Mets against Aaron Nola (1-0, 6.00)
- A look at the matchup and odds, along with a pick, can be found below
The New York Mets visit the Philadelphia Phillies at 1:05 p.m. ET Wednesday in the decisive game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park.
The Mets beat the Phillies 2-0 on Tuesday night. That came after the Phillies rallied from a four-run deficit to win 5-4 in the series opener Monday.
Mets vs Phillies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | +100 | +1.5 (-220) | Over 8.5 (-106) |
| Philadelphia Phillies | -122 | -1.5 (-170) | Under 8.5 (-113) |
Odds as of April 12th at Barstool Sportsbook.
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The Phillies have a 54.95% expected win probability as -122 favorites. The weather forecast calls for a beautiful day in Philadelphia with a game-time temperature of 74 degrees under sunny skies and wind from the southwest at 5-10 mph.
The World Series odds are +1500 for the Mets and +2200 for the Phillies.
Probable Pitchers
Max Scherzer (1-0, 4.50) will start for the Mets against Aaron Nola (1-0, 6.00). Both pitchers will be making their second appearances of the season.
Scherzer vs Nola
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 4.50 | ERA | 6.00 |
| N/A | xERA | N/A |
| 0.67 | WHIP | 0.67 |
| 6.00 | SO/W | 7.00 |
Scherzer’s Mets debut came against his old team last Friday when he held the Nationals to three runs and four hits in six innings in Washington. He struck out six and walked one.
In 25 career starts against the Phillies, Scherzer has a sparkling 14-4 record and 2.50 ERA. He is 8-1 with a 2.23 ERA in 12 outings at hitter friendly Citizens Bank Park. Scherzer’s NL Cy Young odds are +500, making him the favorite.
Max Scherzer's first strikeout as a New York Met 🙌 pic.twitter.com/hBXvPSAkwV
— SNY (@SNYtv) April 8, 2022
The Phillies’ Jean Segura has given Scherzer some trouble, going 8 for 25 (.320) with a home run. Rhys Hoskins, though, is 1 for 23 (.044) with 12 strikeouts.
Nola worked six innings against the Oakland Athletics last Friday at home. He gave up four runs on four hits while striking out seven and walking none.
Nola has had success against the Mets with a 9-3 career record and 3.12 ERA in 20 starts. At home last season, he went 5-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 14 starts.
Aaron Nola, 92mph Fastball and 79mph Curveball, Overlay. pic.twitter.com/sNZD6pdu49
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) April 8, 2022
Pete Alonso is 10 for 29 (.345) off Nola with two doubles and three homers. On the flip side, James McCann is 1 for 9 with four punchouts.
Mets vs Phillies Betting Outlook
The teams combined for just eight hits on Tuesday, five by the Phillies and three by the Mets. Philadelphia’s JT Realmuto was the only player with multiple hits as he went 2 for 4.
Brandon Nimmo’s solo home run in the fifth inning for the Mets broke a scoreless tie and proved to be the game-winning hit.
👋 GONE! @You_Found_Nimmo pic.twitter.com/856yHGqhon
— New York Mets (@Mets) April 13, 2022
The Phillies’ Bryce Harper went 1 for 4. The reigning National League MVP is hitting just .111 with one RBI through five games this season.
Edwin Diaz came off the bereavement and got the save, striking out the side in the ninth inning while allowing one hit.
The Mets haven’t won the season series with the Phillies since 2018. Philadelphia 29-20 over the last four seasons.
Mets vs Phillies Last 10 Meetings
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/12/22 | Phillies | Mets | NYM, 2-0 |
| 4/11/22 | Phillies | Mets | PHI, 5-4 |
| 9/19/21 | Mets | Phillies | NYM, 3-2 |
| 9/18/21 | Mets | Phillies | PHI, 5-3 |
| 9/17/21 | Mets | Phillies | PHI, 4-3 |
| 8/8/21 | Phillies | Mets | PHI, 3-0 |
| 8/7/21 | Phillies | Mets | PHI, 5-3 |
| 8/6/21 | Phillies | Mets | PHI, 4-2 |
| 6/27/21 | Mets | Phillies | PHI, 4-2 |
| 6/26/21 | Mets | Phillies | NYM, 4-3 |
Mets vs Phillies Injury Report
Phillies high-leverage reliever Corey Knebel is on the COVID-19 IL and out until he is cleared to leave quarantine. Knebel has one of the Phillies’ two saves in the young season.
Girardi said they still think Corey Knebel has the flu and feels better today than yesterday but team is awaiting the results of another test. If Knebel tests negative, he’d be eligible to return right away
— Corey Seidman (@CSeidmanNBCS) April 12, 2022
Outfielder Mickey Moniak (wrist) is out indefinitely for Philadelphia.
Mets reliever Jake Reed (oblique) is on the 10-day injured list.
Mets vs Phillies Prediction
Both starting pitchers have a long track record of success against the opponent. However, it’s hard to ignore Scherzer’s impressive string of performances over the years in Philadelphia.
The Mets are the way to go at even money.
The Pick: Mets moneyline (+100)
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
