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Brewers vs Cardinals Odds, Picks. and Predictions (May 28)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated May 27, 2022 · 8:55 PM PDT

Paul Goldschmidt celebrates, St. Louis Cardinals
May 27, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Paul Goldschmidt (46) is congratulated after hitting a two-run home run against the Milwaukee Brewers during the third inning at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Puetz-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cardinals are -114 home favorites over the Brewers on Saturday
  • Adrian Houser (3-4, 2.98) will pitch for Milwaukee against rookie lefty Matthew Liberatore (0-0, 7.71)
  • A look at the Brewers vs Cardinals odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The top two teams in the National League Central square off again as the division-leading Milwaukee Brewers visit the second-place St. Louis Cardinals at 2:15 pm ET Saturday at Busch Stadium in the middle game of a four-game series.

The Brewers (29-17/15-11 road) had their three-game winning streak end Friday night with a 4-2 loss. The Cardinals (25-20/12-10 home) won for the fifth time in seven games and drew within 3.5 games of Milwaukee in the NL Central standings.

Brewers vs Cardinals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Milwaukee Brewers -114 -1.5 (+140) Over 8.5 (-105)
St. Louis Cardinals -104 +1.5 (-177) Under 8.5 (-113)

Odds as of May 27th at Barstool Sportsbook

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St. Louis has a 53.27% expected win probability as a -114 favorite. The Brewers are given +950 World Series odds while the Cardinals are at +4000.

The weather forecast calls for a beautiful day in St. Louis with sunny skies, a high temperature of 80 degrees and a light wind from the south at 6-11 mph.

Milwaukee vs St. Louis Probable Pitchers

Adrian Houser (3-4, 2.98) is scheduled to start for the Brewers against rookie left-hander Matthew Liberatore (0-0, 7.71). Houser will be pitching on four days rest and Liberatore on six days.

Houser vs Liberatore

Adrian Houser
VS
Matthew Liberatore
3-4 Record 0-0
2.98 ERA 7.71
3.58 xERA 8.40
1.28 WHIP 1.93
1.84 SO/W 1.50

Houser is 0-2 in his last three starts despite a fine 2.25 ERA. He had a no-decision against the Padres on Monday in San Diego even though he gave up only one run and three hits in six innings while striking out four and walking two.

Maybe he could back up Aaron Rodgers, too.

In 12 career games (nine starts) against the Cardinals, Houser has a 4-3 record and 2.25 ERA. He is 3-2 with a 3.70 ERA in seven games (five starts) at Busch Stadium.

Houser is 1-2 with a 4.12 ERA in four road starts in 2022. In the day, he is 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA in four starts.

Corey Dickerson is 3-for-9 with two doubles against Houser but Harrison Bader is just 2-for-14 (.143).

Liberatore will be making his second start following a rocky major league debut last Saturday when he faced the Pirates in Pittsburgh. Liberatore did not factor in the decision while working 4.2 innings and allowing four runs, seven hits and two walks and striking out three.

In seven starts with Triple-A Memphis to start the season, Liberatore went 3-3 with a 3.83 ERA. The 22-year-old was rated as the 43rd-best prospect in baseball entering the season by MLB.com.

Brewers vs Cardinals Betting Outlook

Paul Goldschmidt extended his hitting streak to 18 with a two-run home run in the third innings and lifted the Cardinals over the Brewers on Friday night. He has also been on base in 31-straight games, the longest streak in the major league this season.

Goldschmidt’s  NL MVP odds are +3000.

Bader stole two bases for the Cardinals, raising his total to NL-best 13. He has been successful on 16 consecutive steal attempts dating back to last season.

Keston Hiura hit a two-run home run in the ninth inning to prevent the Brewers from being shut out.

Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina got Friday off in night game before a day game but should return Saturday.

Brewers center fielder Lorenzo Cain was on the bench Friday after going 4-for-26 in his previous eight games.

Milwaukee fans are down on Cain.

The teams have split six games this season, including two at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals hold a modest 29-25 edge in the series since the start of the 2019 season.

Brewers vs Cardinals Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/27/22 Cardinals Brewers STL, 4-2
5/26/22 Cardinals Brewers MIL, 4-3
4/17/22 Brewers Cardinals MIL, 6-5
4/16/22 Brewers Cardinals STL, 2-1
4/15/22 Brewers Cardinals STL, 10-1
4/14/22 Brewers Cardinals MIL, 5-1
9/30/21 Cardinals Brewers STL, 4-3
9/29/21 Cardinals Brewers MIL, 4-0
9/28/21 Cardinals Brewers STL, 6-2
9/23/21 Brewers Cardinals STL, 8-5

Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction

Houser has been pitching well lately but Liberatore is very talented and highly regarded by scouts. Following a tough debut, look for the rookie to settle in and pitch well this time around.

Pick: Cardinals ML -104

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