- Major League Baseball’s Opening Day made quite an impression on oddsmakers
- The Astros are now co-favored to win the World Series at BetOnline
- 5Dimes is already souring on the Phillies’ chances of winning the NL Pennant
Opening Day isn’t just a busy time for Major Leaguers. It’s also a busy time for bookmakers, who pore over every pitch of every game and diligently readjust their futures odds to reflect each teams’ performance. We’ve taken a deep dive into their latest calculations and have identified five of the most noteworthy line movements from Opening Day.
BetOnline Calling the Astros Co-Favorites to Win the World Series
Houston saw its odds of winning the 2019 World Series improve significantly at BetOnline, where they went from +700 on March 22nd to +600 on March 29th. The online sportsbook now has the Astros neck-and-neck with the Yankees as co-favorites to hoist the Commissioner’s Trophy this October.
2019 World Series Odds at BetOnline
|Team||2019 World Series Odds at BetOnline|
|New York Yankees||+600|
|Boston Red Sox||+700|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||+900|
*All odds taken 03/29/19
The Astros looked every bit like a champion on Opening Day as they crushed the Rays 5-1. Justin Verlander led the way, striking out nine in seven innings as he outdueled fellow Cy Young winner Blake Snell.
— Michael Augustine (@AugustineMLB) March 29, 2019
It remains to be seen whether Verlander will justify his $66 million extension, but for one day at least he looked like the best pitcher in baseball.
Bovada is Fading the Braves’ Odds of Winning the NL East
The Braves shocked the world in 2018 by capturing the NL East crown one year after losing 90 games. It was a true rags-to-riches story, but Bovada doesn’t expect it to happen again. The online sportsbook has given the new-look Phillies the shortest odds to win the NL East at +175. Atlanta, meanwhile, opened at +240 on March 25th, and saw their odds lengthen to +250 on March 29th.
2019 NL East Odds at Bovada
|Team||2019 NL East Odds at Bovada|
|New York Mets||+360|
Bovada’s divisional pecking order played out as anticipated on Opening Day as Philadelphia demolished Atlanta 10-4.
This is the kind of swing Rhys Hoskins has when he’s locked in.
Barely any movement. Leg kick timing. Short swing. Launch angle.pic.twitter.com/74G8T4xfcK
— Joe Giglio (@JoeGiglioSports) March 29, 2019
Andrew McCutchen, Maikel Franco, and Rhys Hoskins all homered for the Phillies, and Aaron Nola barely broke a sweat, striking out eight in six innings.
Bovada is Warming Up to Seattle After the Mariners’ 3-0 Start
Fans were quick to write off the Mariners this winter after the team embarked on an aggressive fire sale that saw them part ways with All-Stars Robinson Cano, Edwin Diaz, Jean Segura, and Nelson Cruz, as well as ace James Paxton.
Bovada understandably had Seattle pegged as a +6600 longshot to win the 2019 World Series on March 22nd, but has since warmed up to Scott Servais’ rag tag crew, adjusting their odds to +6000 on March 29th.
2019 World Series Odds at Bovada
|Team||2019 World Series Odds at Bovada|
|(1) New York Yankees||+550|
|(2) Houston Astros||+650|
|(3) Boston Red Sox||+650|
|(4) Los Angeles Dodgers||+750|
|(20) Seattle Mariners||+6000|
That bump can be attributed to Seattle’s perfect start as the Mariners are now 3-0 following a two-game series against the A’s in Japan, and an Opening Day win versus the Red Sox at home.
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) March 29, 2019
The M’s won’t remain undefeated for long, but they looked sharp yesterday, hanging 12 runs on the defending champs and chasing Cy Young hopeful Chris Sale out of the game after just three innings.
Bovada Has Already Given the AL West to the Astros
The Astros entered the 2019 season with plenty of fan fare as the only team in the Majors to win 100 games in back-to-back seasons. Bovada liked their chances of winning the AL West for the third straight year so much that they assigned them -700 odds on March 25th.
It seemed unlikely those odds would get any shorter, but the online sportsbook readjusted them to -750 on March 29th following the team’s resounding victory over the Rays.
2019 AL West Odds at Bovada
|Team||2019 AL West Odds at Bovada|
|Los Angeles Angels||+1000|
Houston now has the shortest divisional odds of any team and is light years ahead of the A’s, who are a distant +700, and Angels, who sit at +1000.
Dodgers’ NL Pennant Odds Get a Boost from 5Dimes After Record-Setting Opening Day
The Dodgers odds’ of winning the NL Pennant went from +380 on March 25th to +350 on March 29th at 5Dimes.
— Michael J. Duarte (@michaeljduarte) March 28, 2019
The online sportsbook was already bullish on Los Angeles before the season began, but found new reasons to love LA after the team set an Opening Day record by hitting eight home runs, including five homers in the first six innings.
2019 NL Pennant Odds at 5Dimes
|Team||2019 AL West Odds at 5Dimes|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||+350|
|St. Louis Cardinals||+640|
The Dodgers’ improved odds have had a profound impact on their closest competitors as the Phillies went from +450 to +610, and the Cubs tumbled from +600 to +625.