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Nationals vs Mets Odds and Picks (June 1)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 1, 2022 · 8:44 AM PDT

New York Mets catcher Tomas Nido celebrating with center fielder Mark Canha
May 31, 2022; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets catcher Tomas Nido (3) and New York Mets center fielder Mark Canha (19) react after scoring against the Washington Nationals on a single by Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor (not pictured) during the fifth inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Mets are -225 home favorites over the Nationals on Wednesday
  • Lefty Evan Lee will make his MLB debut for Washington, facing Carlos Carrasco (5-1, 3.98)
  • A look at the Nationals vs Mets odds and matchup can be found below with a pick

The New York Mets will look to sweep the three-game series when they host the Washington Nationals at 1:10 pm ET, Wednesday, at Citi Field.

The National League East-leading Mets (34-17, 18-8 home) ran their winning streak to a season-high five games with a 10-0 rout Tuesday night. The Nationals (18-33, 9-15 road) have lost three of their last four games.

Nationals vs Mets Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Washington Nationals +180 +1.5 (-105) Over 9 (-120)
New York Mets -225 -1.5 (-115) Under 9 (+100)

Odds as of May 31st at BetMGM.

 

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The Mets are -225 favorites, giving them a 69.23% implied win probability. The Mets are listed at +850 in the latest World Series odds and the Nationals are a longshot at +100000.

The weather forecast calls for a high of 69 degrees in Queens with mostly cloudy skies and wind from the east at 7-10 mph.

Washington vs New York Probable Pitchers

The Nationals are expected to call up left-hander Evan Lee from Double-A Harrisburg to make the start in what will be his major league debut. Carlos Carrasco (5-1, 3.98) will pitch for the Mets and has +8000 NL Cy Young odds.

Both will be working on four days of rest.

Lee vs Carrasco

Evan Lee
VS
Carlos Carrasco
0-0 Record 5-1
ERA 3.98
xERA 3.41
WHIP 1.15
SO/W 5.75

Lee has not exactly been lighting it up in the Eastern League, going 0-3 with a 3.90 ERA in seven starts for Harrisburg. He lost to Altoona last Friday when he was tagged for five runs (four earned) and 10 hits in five innings while striking out six and walking none.

The 24-year-old Lee was the Nationals’ 15th-round draft pick in 2018 from the University of Arkansas. He has a 7-8 career record in the minor leagues with a 3.79 ERA in 42 games (30 starts).

Carrasco is 4-0 with a 3.60 ERA in his last five starts, including beating the Philadelphia Phillies last Friday in New York despite a shaky outing. Carrasco was touched for five runs in 5.2 innings while giving up six hits, striking out seven and walking one.

Carrasco has a 1-1 career record against the Nationals with a 4.87 ERA in five games (four starts).

Citi Field has been a comfortable place for Carrasco to pitch this season as he is 3-0 with a 3.23 ERA in five starts. He is 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA in seven starts in day games.

The Nationals’ Nelson Cruz is a .371 hitter (13 for 35) against Carrasco with five home runs and three doubles while Josh Bell is 5 for 12 (.417) with one double. Cesar Hernandez is hitless in six at-bats with three strikeouts.

Nationals vs Mets Betting Outlook

Mark Canha had four of the Mets’ 17 hits Wednesday night as they pounded the Nationals. That tied a career for Canha.

Canha led off the bottom of the first inning with a single. Starling Marte followed with a home run to give the Mets a quick 2-0 lead and they rolled from there.

Jeff McNeil had three hits for the Mets while Eduardo Escobar homered and Francisco Lindor drove in a run for a ninth straight game. All nine Mets starters had at least one hit.

Center fielder Brandon Nimmo could return to the Mets’ lineup after not starting the previous with games with a sore right wrist. Nimmo did enter Tuesday’s game in the ninth inning to play defense.

Dee Strange-Gordon had three of the Nationals’ six hits.

Cruz sat out after sustaining a bruised left ankle on Monday night and is questionable for Wednesday. Shortstop Alcides Escobar will likely sit out after leaving in the fourth inning Tuesday with a right leg injury.

The Mets are 7-2 against the Nationals this season, including 2-0 in New York. The Mets have a 45-31 edge in the series since the start of the 2018 season.

WSH vs NYM Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/31/22 Mets Nationals NYM, 10-0
5/30/22 Mets Nationals NYM, 13-5
5/12/22 Nationals Mets NYM, 4-1
5/11/22 Nationals Mets WAS, 8-3
5/10/22 Nationals Mets NYM, 4-2
4/10/22 Nationals Mets WAS, 4-2
4/9/22 Nationals Mets NYM, 5-0
4/8/22 Nationals Mets NYM, 7-3
4/7/22 Nationals Mets NYM, 5-1
9/6/21 Nationals Mets WAS, 4-3

Nationals vs Mets Prediction

While the price is high, playing the Mets against a pitcher who has yet to win a game in seven Double-A starts this season is the only way to go.

Pick: Mets ML (-225)

 

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