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Orioles Projected to Lose Most Games in 2019 MLB Season

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in MLB Baseball

Updated May 14, 2020 · 2:26 PM PDT

Trey Mancini slides into home.
Trey Mancini and the Orioles are sure to provide plenty of lowlights in 2019. Photo by Keith Allison (flickr).
  • The Orioles are projected to win 60.5 games in 2019
  • Baltimore won just 47 games last year and finished 61 games behind the Red Sox
  • Just how low will the Orioles go this season? 

In Major League Baseball there’s always a clear gap between the good, the bad, and the ugly. Normally the ugly teams are unwatchable, but there’s one way to change that – by betting on their season win total. Sportsbooks have released totals and the bottom five teams are a who’s-who of bad baseball clubs.

Bottom 5 2019 MLB Win Totals

Team Win Total and Odds (01/24/19)
Baltimore Orioles 60.5 (-155o/-115u)
Miami Marlins 65.5 (-155o/-115u)
Detroit Tigers 67.5 (-155o/-115u)
Kansas City Royals 69.5 (-155o/-115u)
Texas Rangers 70.5 (-155o/-115u)

A few of these totals provide very good value.  Here are the best bets on the worst teams in the Bigs.

Baltimore Orioles (60.5 Wins)

Maybe the most obvious of the props on the board.  With win totals it can be tough to bet the under on the team with the lowest total in the league due to the lack of margin for error, but in this case it’s a near slam dunk.

The Orioles won 47 games last year. Are they considerably better this year? No. Did their division get much better? Yes. The Red Sox re-signed Nathan Eovaldi, the Yankees landed James Paxton and loaded their bullpen, and the Rays look to take another step forward as well. The prospect for Baltimore improving by 14 or more wins in 2019 is very slim.

Good for a laugh is this tweet the team put out looking to fill jobs. The only thing it’s missing is any mention of the baseball pitchers, players and coaches who would could help them compete in the tough AL East.

Pick: Baltimore Orioles Under 60.5 Wins (-115)

Miami Marlins (65.5 Wins)

You can debate the changes to the Miami Marlins uniform, but debating the quality of this roster would be a tough task.

The roster has been depleted during the short and unsuccessful Derek Jeter Era. Last season the Marlins won 63 games, so the total is requiring a three-game improvement. They haven’t made any substantial additions and are actually rumored to have the one quality player on the roster, J.T. Realmuto, on the block. 65 wins or less is a really low number, but Miami has done nothing to prove that the under isn’t the play here.

Pick: Miami Marlins Under 65.5 Wins (-115)

Kansas City Royals (69.5 Wins)

This is a curious number, and the line setters seem to know something here. Kansas City won only 58 games last year and betting the over would require a 12 win improvement. After doing some digging, the evidence is there to suggest oddsmakers may be on to something. The pitching staff has some quality pieces in Danny Duffy and Jorge Lopez, the lineup has Whit Merrifield and Salvador Perez, and KC is rumored to be interested in Mike Moustakas.

There are pieces to like on this team and the division is ripe for the picking. The White Sox, Tigers, and Twins don’t project to be world beaters in 2019, which will help boost the Royals’ win total. 70 wins would still leave the Royals 22 games under .500, so you’re not asking much by taking the over here.

Pick: Kansas City Royals Over 69.5 Wins (-115)

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