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Orioles vs Cubs Predictions, Odds & Starting Pitchers (June 17)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 17, 2023 · 5:28 AM PDT

Chicago Cubs center fielder Christopher Morel rounds the bases
Jun 16, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Cubs center fielder Christopher Morel (5) runs the bases after hitting a home run against the Baltimore Orioles during the third inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cubs are -132 home favorites over the visiting Orioles on Saturday
  • Kyle Gibson (8-3, 3.90) will start for the Orioles against Cubs lefty Justin Steele (6-2, 2.65)
  • A look at the Orioles vs Cubs picks, predictions, and odds can be found below 

The Chicago Cubs will try to keep their winning streak going when they host the Baltimore Orioles at 2:20 p.m. ET Saturday in the middle game of a three-game series at Wrigley Field.

The Cubs (32-37, 19-16 home) won their fourth game in a row and sixth in their last seven Friday when they took the series opener 10-3. The Orioles (43-26, 21-13 road) lost for just the second time in their last eight games.

MLB Network will televise the game.

Orioles vs Cubs Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Baltimore Orioles +112 +1.5 (-194) Over 7.5 (+100)
Chicago Cubs -132 -1.5 (+160) Under 7.5 (-122)

The Cubs are -132 favorites on the moneyline over the Orioles on Saturday in the MLB odds, giving them a 56.9% implied win probability. Baltimore has +3500 World Series championship odds and Chicago is listed at +15000.

It is expected to be a pleasant day in Wrigleyville with sunny skies, a high of 71 and east wind at 5-10 mph.


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Odds as of June 16th at FanDuel. Claim a FanDuel promo code to wager on Orioles vs Cubs on Saturday. 

Orioles vs Cubs Probable Pitchers

Kyle Gibson (8-3, 3.90) is slated to pitch for the Orioles and face left-hander Justin Steele (6-2, 2.65), who is expected to be activated from the injured list after being out since June 1 with a strained left forearm.

Gibson will be working on five days of rest. Steele will return to the active roster without making any rehab starts in the major leagues.

Gibson vs Steele

Kyle Gibson
Justin Steele
8-3 Record 6-2
3.90 ERA 2.65
4.84 xERA 3.09
1.30 WHIP 1.06
2.32 SO/W 3.63

Gibson is 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA in last five starts and beat the Kansas City Royals last Sunday in Baltimore. He allowed three runs on seven hits in six innings while striking out four and walking none.

Gibson has lost all three career starts versus the Cubs with a 7.53 ERA.

The Orioles have a 9-5 mark when Gibson toes the slab, and he has seven quality starts in 14 appearances. Gibson is 4-1 with a 4.18 ERA in eight starts on the road and has a 2-1 record in days games with a 6.23 ERA in four starts.

Steele was 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA in his last four starts before being placed on the IL. He pitched three scoreless and hitless innings against the Tampa Bay Rays on May 31 in his last start, striking out one and walking none in a no-decision.

In his only other career start against the Orioles, Steele took the loss last season. He worked six innings and surrendered four runs (three earned).

Steele, whose NL Cy Young Award odds are +5000, has notched eight quality starts in 12 outings this season, but the Cubs are just 6-6 in those games. At Wrigley Field, he is 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA in seven starts while going 3-1 with a 2.06 ERA in eight starts in the daylight.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Orioles Batters Batting Average vs Justin Steele
Austin Hays .667
Anthony Santander .333
Adley Rutschman .000
Ramon Urias .000
Jorge Mateo .000
Adam Frazier .000
Cubs Batters Batting Average vs Kyle Gibson
Dansby Swanson .727
Seiya Suzuki .667
Christopher Morel .500
Yan Gomes .406
Ian Happ .400
Cody Bellinger .333
Patrick Wisdom .333
Trey Mancini .250
Mike Tauchman .000
Nico Hoerner .000
Nick Madrigal .000

Hitters on the Orioles’ active roster are a 3 for 15 (.200) combined against Steele.

Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson is hitting .727 (8 for 11) against Gibson in his career with one double and one home run while catcher Yan Gomes is batting .406 (13 for 32) with two doubles and two homers. Conversely, center fielder Mike Tauchman is not the sock man again Gibson, going 0 for 9 with three strikeouts.

Orioles vs Cubs Betting Trends

Christopher Morel homered and drove in three runs to lead the Orioles over the Cubs on Friday. He also doubled while finishing with three hits and three RBIs.

Swanson and Miguel Amaya also connected for the Cubs. Nico Hoerner had two hits and two RBIs, Trey Mancini also had two hits and Ian Happ drove in a pair of runs.

The Orioles got three hits from Ryan O’Hearn while Austin Hays had two hits and two RBIs.

Orioles vs Cubs Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/16/23 Cubs Orioles CHC, 10-3
8/18/22 Orioles Cubs CHC, 3-2
7/13/22 Cubs Orioles BAL, 7-1
7/12/22 Cubs Orioles BAL, 4-2
6/7/22 Orioles Cubs BAL, 9-3
7/16/17 Orioles Cubs CHC, 8-0
7/15/17 Orioles Cubs CHC, 10-3
7/14/17 Orioles Cubs CHC, 9-8
8/24/14 Cubs Orioles CHC, 2-1
8/23/14 Cubs Orioles CHC, 7-2

Friday marked the first meeting of the season between the two clubs and the Cubs hold an 8-3 lead in the series since 2014.

Orioles vs Cubs Prediction

While the fear is Steele may be a little rusty – no pun intended – after a two-week layoff, it’s hard to dispute his splits at home and in the day. The Cubs’ offense has also awoken with double-digit hits in four straight games. The signs point to Chicago in this matchup.

Pick: Cubs ML (-132)

Season Record: 29-12 (+14.7 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 1-1 (+1.0) player props; 34-16 (+15.7 units) overall.


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