Orioles vs Cubs Predictions, Odds & Starting Pitchers (June 17)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Cubs are -132 home favorites over the visiting Orioles on Saturday
- Kyle Gibson (8-3, 3.90) will start for the Orioles against Cubs lefty Justin Steele (6-2, 2.65)
- A look at the Orioles vs Cubs picks, predictions, and odds can be found belowÂ
The Chicago Cubs will try to keep their winning streak going when they host the Baltimore Orioles at 2:20 p.m. ET Saturday in the middle game of a three-game series at Wrigley Field.
The Cubs (32-37, 19-16 home) won their fourth game in a row and sixth in their last seven Friday when they took the series opener 10-3. The Orioles (43-26, 21-13 road) lost for just the second time in their last eight games.
MLB Network will televise the game.
Orioles vs Cubs Odds
Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Baltimore Orioles | +112 | +1.5 (-194) | Over 7.5 (+100) |
Chicago Cubs | -132 | -1.5 (+160) | Under 7.5 (-122) |
The Cubs are -132 favorites on the moneyline over the Orioles on Saturday in the MLB odds, giving them a 56.9% implied win probability. Baltimore has +3500 World Series championship odds and Chicago is listed at +15000.
It is expected to be a pleasant day in Wrigleyville with sunny skies, a high of 71 and east wind at 5-10 mph.
Odds as of June 16th at FanDuel. Claim a FanDuel promo code to wager on Orioles vs Cubs on Saturday.Â
Orioles vs Cubs Probable Pitchers
Kyle Gibson (8-3, 3.90) is slated to pitch for the Orioles and face left-hander Justin Steele (6-2, 2.65), who is expected to be activated from the injured list after being out since June 1 with a strained left forearm.
Gibson will be working on five days of rest. Steele will return to the active roster without making any rehab starts in the major leagues.
Gibson vs Steele
8-3 | Record | 6-2 |
3.90 | ERA | 2.65 |
4.84 | xERA | 3.09 |
1.30 | WHIP | 1.06 |
2.32 | SO/W | 3.63 |
Gibson is 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA in last five starts and beat the Kansas City Royals last Sunday in Baltimore. He allowed three runs on seven hits in six innings while striking out four and walking none.
Gibson has lost all three career starts versus the Cubs with a 7.53 ERA.
The Orioles have a 9-5 mark when Gibson toes the slab, and he has seven quality starts in 14 appearances. Gibson is 4-1 with a 4.18 ERA in eight starts on the road and has a 2-1 record in days games with a 6.23 ERA in four starts.
Kyle Gibson finishes the day with 6.1 IP, 4 K and 3 ER pic.twitter.com/ZeRTx0nanh
— Orioles on MASN (@masnOrioles) June 11, 2023
Steele was 0-2 with a 4.82 ERA in his last four starts before being placed on the IL. He pitched three scoreless and hitless innings against the Tampa Bay Rays on May 31 in his last start, striking out one and walking none in a no-decision.
In his only other career start against the Orioles, Steele took the loss last season. He worked six innings and surrendered four runs (three earned).
Steele, whose NL Cy Young Award odds are +5000, has notched eight quality starts in 12 outings this season, but the Cubs are just 6-6 in those games. At Wrigley Field, he is 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA in seven starts while going 3-1 with a 2.06 ERA in eight starts in the daylight.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
Orioles Batters | Batting Average vs Justin Steele |
---|---|
Austin Hays | .667 |
Anthony Santander | .333 |
Adley Rutschman | .000 |
Ramon Urias | .000 |
Jorge Mateo | .000 |
Adam Frazier | .000 |
Cubs Batters | Batting Average vs Kyle Gibson |
Dansby Swanson | .727 |
Seiya Suzuki | .667 |
Christopher Morel | .500 |
Yan Gomes | .406 |
Ian Happ | .400 |
Cody Bellinger | .333 |
Patrick Wisdom | .333 |
Trey Mancini | .250 |
Mike Tauchman | .000 |
Nico Hoerner | .000 |
Nick Madrigal | .000 |
Hitters on the Orioles’ active roster are a 3 for 15 (.200) combined against Steele.
Cubs shortstop Dansby Swanson is hitting .727 (8 for 11) against Gibson in his career with one double and one home run while catcher Yan Gomes is batting .406 (13 for 32) with two doubles and two homers. Conversely, center fielder Mike Tauchman is not the sock man again Gibson, going 0 for 9 with three strikeouts.
Orioles vs Cubs Betting Trends
Christopher Morel homered and drove in three runs to lead the Orioles over the Cubs on Friday. He also doubled while finishing with three hits and three RBIs.
Swanson and Miguel Amaya also connected for the Cubs. Nico Hoerner had two hits and two RBIs, Trey Mancini also had two hits and Ian Happ drove in a pair of runs.
That baseball didn't stand a chance. 😱#VoteCubs | https://t.co/iq0lKgoH7i pic.twitter.com/s8WP7ZP8ox
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) June 16, 2023
The Orioles got three hits from Ryan O’Hearn while Austin Hays had two hits and two RBIs.
Orioles vs Cubs Last 10 Games
Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
---|---|---|---|
6/16/23 | Cubs | Orioles | CHC, 10-3 |
8/18/22 | Orioles | Cubs | CHC, 3-2 |
7/13/22 | Cubs | Orioles | BAL, 7-1 |
7/12/22 | Cubs | Orioles | BAL, 4-2 |
6/7/22 | Orioles | Cubs | BAL, 9-3 |
7/16/17 | Orioles | Cubs | CHC, 8-0 |
7/15/17 | Orioles | Cubs | CHC, 10-3 |
7/14/17 | Orioles | Cubs | CHC, 9-8 |
8/24/14 | Cubs | Orioles | CHC, 2-1 |
8/23/14 | Cubs | Orioles | CHC, 7-2 |
Friday marked the first meeting of the season between the two clubs and the Cubs hold an 8-3 lead in the series since 2014.
Orioles vs Cubs Prediction
While the fear is Steele may be a little rusty – no pun intended – after a two-week layoff, it’s hard to dispute his splits at home and in the day. The Cubs’ offense has also awoken with double-digit hits in four straight games. The signs point to Chicago in this matchup.
Pick: Cubs ML (-132)
Season Record: 29-12 (+14.7 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 1-1 (+1.0) player props; 34-16 (+15.7 units) overall.
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.