- New York is a -150 moneyline favorite in the Padres vs Yankees odds on Saturday
- The Yankees entered the weekend with wins in 15 of their past 22 games
- Don’t miss the Padres vs Yankees odds, predictions and starting pitchers below
Two of the top-seven contenders in the World Series odds continue their three-game set on Saturday as the Yankees (30-22, 17-12 home) host the Padres (23-27, 11-12 away). Both clubs got off to underwhelming starts, but New York has turned things around while San Diego continues to struggle.
Online sportsbooks don’t expect that to change in Saturday’s MLB odds, as they’ve pegged the Yankees as home favorites for this interleague showdown.
Padres vs Yankees Odds
|San Diego Padres||+130||+1.5 (-155)||O 9 (-115)|
|New York Yankees||-150||-1.5 (+135)||U 9 (-105)|
New York is currently a -150 moneyline favorite, in a contest with a total of nine. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05 pm ET at Yankee Stadium, in the Bronx, NY, with sunshine and 72 degree temperatures on deck.
San Diego vs New York Probable Pitchers
The Yankees will give the ball to Luis Severino, who’ll make his second start this season. The 29-year-old suffered a lat strain in Spring Training, and didn’t make his 2023 debut until this past Sunday versus Cincinnati. Severino looked sharp scattering four hits and a single run over 4.2 innings, while striking out five.
He threw 75 pitches, roughly 17 more then in any of his rehab starts, and he should be able to operate without a pitch count versus the Padres.
Injuries have derailed Severino over the past four years, but let’s not forget the form he flashed during his last full season in 2018. He was 19-8 in 32 starts, and drew serious consideration in the AL Cy Young odds. He pitched well last season as well in limited action, posting a 7-3 mark, and a 3.18 ERA over 19 starts.
Wacha vs Severino Stats
The Padres will counter with Michael Wacha, who’s pitching like the ace of their staff despite technically being the number five starter. Wacha leads all San Diego starters in wins, and has been nearly unhittable this month.
Wacha is 3-0 in four May starts, surrendering just a single run over 25 innings. He’s coughed up only 11 hits during that stretch, while posting a 22-to-7 strikeout-to-walk rate. He’s fresh off shutout performances over both the Red Sox and Royals, while he also blanked the Reds at the start of the month.
Michael Wacha becoming a legitimate Top of the Rotation piece for the San Diego Padres pic.twitter.com/9QA1cezPq7
— Devine Sports Gospel (@DevineGospel) May 21, 2023
He’s got plenty of history versus this version of the Yankees in the MLB starting lineups, pitching very well against them twice in 2022. Wacha posted a 1-0 record last year versus New York, and a 2.08 ERA. He limited them to eight hits over 13 innings, striking out 14, while yielding a measly .186 batting average.
Padres vs Yankees Predictions
Replicating those numbers may be a challenge given the Yankees form. They began the weekend winners of 15 of their past 22 games, scoring six or more runs 13 times.
AL MVP odds candidate Aaron Judge has been tearing the cover off the ball since returning from injury, slashing .333/.479/.833 with eight homers over 54 at-bats. Judge will be looking to finally solve Wacha on Saturday, as he enters without a hit in 15 career plate appearances versus the right-hander.
If you’re looking for a Yankee bat to target against Wacha, consider Anthony Rizzo. Both were part of the Cardinals-Cubs rivalry for many years, and Rizzo has 21 hits in 53 career at-bats against Wacha, with three dingers.
Anthony Rizzo – New York Yankees (11) pic.twitter.com/RfjYrIkl3M
— MLB HR Videos (@MLBHRVideos) May 20, 2023
As for San Diego, they finally showed signs of life at the plate in their latest series versus Washington. The Padres scored 20 times during their three game set, and are averaging seven runs per game over their past three outings.
On paper, this team should be among the league leaders in scoring, as their lineup features the likes of Fernando Tatis Jr, Xander Bogaerts and Juan Soto among others. Nevertheless, they rank 25th in runs per game this season, struggling badly away from home.
They’re averaging less than four runs per game as visitors, with a slugging percentage and OPS that is .33 and .56 points lower respectively than at home.
Over the past seven days, they’re batting just .203 but have been bailed out by 12 home runs. Don’t expect the long ball trend to continue versus New York, as they’ve allowed the 12th fewest dingers this season, while Severino averages well below a home run allowed per start.
Pick: Under 9 (-105)