Red Sox vs Tigers Picks and Odds (April 12)
- The Red Sox vs Tigers odds favor Boston as -132 moneyline favorites on Tuesday (April 12, 1:10pm ET)
- Boston will give the ball to Rich Hill (2021 stats: 7-8, 3.86 ERA), while Detroit will counter with Tyler Alexander (2021 stats: 2-4, 3.81 ERA)
- Read below for the Red Sox vs Tigers odds, analysis and betting prediction
Game 2 of the Red Sox and Tigers three-game set goes down Tuesday afternoon in Detroit. The Tigers took the opener 3-1 on Monday, thanks to a 2-run home run from their new $140 million shortstop Javier Baez. Detroit improved to 2-2 to start the season, while Boston has now dropped three of its first four outings.
Red Sox vs Tigers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox | -132 | -1.5 (+125) | O 9.5 (-104) |
| Detroit Tigers | +112 | +1.5 (-145) | U 9.5 (-118) |
Odds as of April 11th at Barstool Sportsbook.
Despite the early struggles, the Red Sox opened up as -132 moneyline favorites in a contest that features a total of 9.5 runs. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm ET at Comerica Park, with a sun-cloud mix and 57 degree temperatures in the forecast.
Probable Pitchers
Boston will give the ball to journeyman Rich Hill, while Detroit will counter with Tyler Alexander. Hill is back with the Red Sox for his second tour of duty, after previously pitching in Boston from 2010 to 2012.
Kutter Crawford has made Boston Red Sox Opening Day roster
Rich Hill will start the season in the Red Sox starting rotation. He’ll start Tuesday— Christopher Smith (@SmittyOnMLB) April 4, 2022
The 42-year-old narrowly edged out Garrett Whitlock for the team’s final starting rotation spot, and will once again rely on a variety of off-speed pitches to get the job done.
Hill’s fastball topped out in the high 80’s last year, and despite surrendering a 33.2% hard hit rate and a 43% fly ball rate, he limited enemy hitters to a .232 batting average.
He’s been very effective versus the Detroit batters he’s faced in the past, holding the seven starting position players from the Tigers he’s faced to only nine hits over 46 at-bats.
Hill vs Alexander 2021 Stats
| 7-8 | Record | 2-4 |
| 3.86 | ERA | 3.81 |
| 1.21 | WHIP | 1.26 |
| .232 | OBA | .255 |
| 2.7 | SO/W Ratio | 3.1 |
Alexander meanwhile, has been promoted to the Tigers’ starting rotation due to do the combination of a stellar spring training performance and injuries to other Detroit pitchers.
Tyler Alexander has locked in the fifth starting spot for the Tigers with Pineda being sent to Toledo. He deserves it after killing it this spring #Tigers
— Joshua Zincke (@jzradio) April 5, 2022
The 27-year-old pitched 8.2 innings of one-run ball this spring, scattering just two hits while striking out eight. He alternated his time between the bullpen and starting rotation last season, and while he pitched fairly well, he struggled versus Boston in two appearances. Alexander allowed six hits and four runs in relief against the Red Sox in a pair of Detroit losses.
Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Betting Analysis
Boston began the season among the top-11 shortest priced teams in the World Series odds, but so far they haven’t looked like much of a playoff contender.
They’re averaging just three runs a game through four outings, and only one player in their lineup (Alex Verdugo) is averaging more than one hit per game. J.D Martinez has produced just four hits in 17 at-bats thus far, while last season’s playoff masher Enrique Hernandez is hitless through his first 17 at-bats.
Through Monday, no team in the American League has a worse batting average than Boston (.172), while Baltimore is the only AL club that has struck out more often. If you’re holding an over ticket on the Red Sox in the MLB win totals you’re probably feeling sick to your stomach.
MLB LINEUP ALERT: Red Sox 2B Trevor Story (illness) did not travel with the team and will not be in the lineup tonight vs. the Tigers. pic.twitter.com/4Fy0QEgaTy
— DraftKings Network (@DKNetwork) April 11, 2022
Prized offseason free agent signing and longshot AL MVP odds contender Trevor Story missed his second straight game on Monday with flu like symptoms, and has yet to join the team in Detroit. At this point it seems likely he won’t be in the lineup again on Tuesday.
As for the Tigers, their offense has been equally as unimpressive. They’ve crossed the plate only 10 times through four games, and have scored three or fewer runs in three of four outings.
Javy Baez just destroyed this baseball.
pic.twitter.com/mceqJtjxre— Jared Carrabis (@Jared_Carrabis) April 11, 2022
Baez and Austin Meadows, Detroit’s two prized offseason additions, have been doing their part offensively hitting .333 and .462 respectively, but the rest of the lineup is hitting a combined .147.
Red Sox vs Tigers Last 10 Meetings
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/11/22 | Red Sox | Tigers | DET, 3-1 |
| 8/5/21 | Red Sox | Tigers | DET, 8-1 |
| 8/4/21 | Red Sox | Tigers | BOS, 4-1 |
| 8/3/21 | Red Sox | Tigers | DET, 4-2 |
| 5/6/21 | Tigers | Red Sox | BOS, 12-9 |
| 5/5/21 | Tigers | Red Sox | DET, 6-5 |
| 5/4/21 | Tigers | Red Sox | BOS, 11-7 |
| 7/7/19 | Red Sox | Tigers | BOS, 6-3 |
| 7/6/19 | Red Sox | Tigers | BOS, 10-6 |
| 7/5/19 | Red Sox | Tigers | BOS, 9-6 |
Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers Pick
Not surprisingly, both Boston and Detroit have seen the majority of their early games fall under the total. The Tigers have played only one game so far that produced a double-digit total, while the same goes for the Red Sox.
Neither team has shown a pulse at the plate, and the starting pitching matchup doesn’t appear to be one that will yield very many runs. One bright spot for Boston has been its bullpen which should also help the under’s case if Hill struggles. Red Sox relievers have yielded only three earned runs through 17.1 innings pitched.
Pick: Under 9.5 (-118)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
