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Reds vs Cubs Odds, Lines & Spread (Sep. 8)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Sep 7, 2022 · 8:59 PM PDT

Reds vs Cubs odds
Sep 6, 2022; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Chicago Cubs shortstop Nico Hoerner (2) scores against the Cincinnati Reds during the eighth inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Chicago Cubs are -145 home favorites over the Cincinnati Reds in a National League afternoon game on Thursday, September 8
  • Chicago is holding a 6-4 straight up edge over Cincinnati in 2022 head-to-head meetings
  • Below, see the Reds vs Cubs odds and moneyline picks

Amazingly, the Cincinnati Red (53-80, 24-41 away) have surpassed the Pittsburgh Pirates, and now have their sights set on the Chicago Cubs (57-78, 29-38 home).

Third place in the National Central is still up for grabs. Considering that Cincinnati came out of the gate on a 3-23 start, that would be an impressive outcome for the Reds.

Oddsmakers are convinced that Cincinnati is in for an uphill battle on Thursday, though. Entering the second game of the three-game set, it’s the hometown Cubs who are set as -145 favorites. The Reds are 23-38 straight up as an away underdog this season.

Reds vs Cubs Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds +122 TBD TBD
Chicago Cubs -145 TBD TBD

Odds as of September 7 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get the Caesars Sportsbook bonus code to bet on MLB today.

The MLB lineups for the two teams will see that the first pitch at Wrigley Field is set for 2:20pm ET on Thursday, September 8. Clear skies with 6 mph wind and a temperature of 82 degrees are in the weather forecast.

At odds of -145, the Cubs have an implied probability of victory of 59.18% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Chicago would deliver a payout of $16.90.

 

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In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying both the Cubs and the Reds at +100000 to win the NL Central. The MLB pennant odds show the Cubs at +100000 and the Reds at +400000. In the World Series odds both teams are at a betting line of +200000.

Cincinnati vs Chicago Cubs Probable Pitchers

Reds right-hander Luis Cessa will be making his fourth successive starting appearance. He started once through his first 37 trips to the mound in 2022. Cessa has allowed five earned runs over his last 11 innings, all coming via the four home runs he’s surrendered in that span.

Cessa rates among the bottom 8% of MLB hurlers in xSLG (.475) and within the bottom 9% in hard hit percentage (44.7). In his last start, he worked a season-high five innings in a 3-2 win over Colorado. Cessa allowed four hits and two earned runs, but didn’t figure in the decision.

He’s faced the Cubs four times as a reliever this season, working 3.1 innings. Cessa is showing an 0-0 record and a a 13.50 ERA over that span. In eight career appearances against the Cubs, all in relief, Cessa has no record and a 6.14 ERA.

Cessa vs Sampson

Luis Cessa
VS
Adrian Sampson
3-2 Record 1-5
5.18 ERA 3.95
5.08 xERA 4.47
1.42 WHIP 1.33
2.00 SO/W Ratio 2.84

Moved into the starting rotation on June 25, Cubs right-hander Adrian Sampson finally got off the snide on August 18 when he got the win is a 3-2 verdict at Baltimore.

He’s situated among the bottom 7% of big-league pitchers in Max EV (115.2). Sampson has managed to get through five innings in just two of his past five starts. As a starter, he’s 1-5 with a 4.29 ERA. At home, Sampson is 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA in eight appearances, six of them starts.

Sampson started against the Reds in a 7-2 Cubs victory on August 13. However, he only went four innings, so he wasn’t eligible for the decision. In three career starts against Cincinnati, Sampson is 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Cubs Batters Batting Average vs Cessa Reds Batters Batting Average vs Sampson
Ian Happ .500 Jose Barrero .333
PJ Higgins 1.000 Kyle Farmer .400
Christopher Morel .500 Jake Fraley 1.000
Rafael Ortega .333 Jonathan India .200
Seiya Suzuki .000 Donovan Solano 1.000

Ian Happ of the Cubs is 2-for-4 (.500) when facing Cessa. He’s homered and driven in three runs. PJ Higgins is 1-for-1 (1.000). Christopher Morel is 1-for-2 (.500) with an RBI. Rafael Ortega is 1-for-3 (.333). Seiya Suzuki has an RBI.

Cincinnati’s Jake Fraley is 3-for-3 (1.000) against Sampson. Kyle Farmer is 2-for-5 (.400) with two RBI. Donovan Solano is 1-for-1 (1.000). Jose Barrero is 1-for-3 (.333). Jonathan India is 1-for-5 (.200) but it was a solo homer.

Reds vs Cubs Prediction

Cincinnati, 7-1 winners over the Cubs on Wednesday, have alternated loss-win over the past eight games. The Reds haven’t won back-to-back games since August 26-27.

The Cubs are 16-17 SU in their past 33 games at Wrigley Field. They’re 2-8 SU overall in their past 10 games.

Pick: Cincinnati Reds ML (+122)

 

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