Reds vs Pirates Odds, Picks and Predictions (May 13)
- The Pirates host the Reds on Friday night and both teams are -110 on the moneyline
- Tyler Mahle (1-4, 6.46) will start for the Cincinnati against Mitch Keller (0-4, 6.11)
- A look at the Reds vs Pirates odds and matchup can be found below with a pick
The Cincinnati Reds will look to continue to build some momentum when they visit the Pittsburgh Pirates at 6:35 p.m. ET, Friday, at PNC Park.
The Reds (8-24/3-15 road) beat the Pirates 4-0 on Thursday night in the opener of the four-game series for their fourth win in five games after beginning the season 4-23. The Pirates (13-18/7-9 home) have alternated losses and wins in their last nine games.
Reds vs Pirates Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | -110 | -1.5 (+150) | Over 8 (-105) |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | -110 | +1.5 (-185) | Under 8 (-115) |
Odds as of May 12th at BetMGM.
This game is considered a tossup with the Reds and Pirates both listed at -110 on the moneyline, giving them both an implied win probability of 52.38%. The weather forecast calls for 77 degrees and partly cloudy at first pitch with a low of 60 and wind from the southeast at 5-7 mph.
The Reds’ World Series odds are +10000 and the Pirates are even longer shots at +40000.
Cincinnati vs Milwaukee Probable Pitchers
Tyler Mahle (1-4, 6.46) is scheduled to start for the Reds against Mitch Keller (0-4, 6.11). Mahle will be pitching on four days of rest and Keller on five.
Mahle vs Keller
| 1-4 | Record | 0-4 |
| 6.46 | ERA | 6.11 |
| 3.65 | xERA | 3.13 |
| 1.57 | WHIP | 1.54 |
| 1.88 | SO/W | 2.40 |
Mahle is winless in six starts since getting the victory in his season debut.
Also facing the Pirates his last time out Sunday in Cincinnati, Mahle did not factor in the decision despite allowing two runs and one hit in five innings. He struck out six and walked three.
Mahle is liable to buzz anybody.
Joey Votto receives a little chin music from Tyler Mahle in one of their live ABs against each other. Then homers on the next pitch.
Mahle ended their first AB vs. each other with a swing and miss. pic.twitter.com/U70BEz2YKK
— Bobby Nightengale (@nightengalejr) March 15, 2022
Mahle is 4-4 with a 3.92 ERA in 12 career starts against the Pirates. He has a 3-1 record and 2.89 ERA at PNC Park in seven starts.
In three road starts this season, Mahle has been hit hard as he is 1-1 with an 8.25 ERA. He is 1-1 with a 4.32 ERA in two starts at night.
Ke’Bryan Hayes is 6 for 9 with a home run off Mahle while Bryan Reynolds and Ben Gamel are both 5 for 12 (.417). Conversely, Yoshi Tsutsugo is hitless in five at-bats, striking out three times.
Keller has yet to win in six starts this season and had a rough outing last Saturday in Cincinnati. The Reds scored five runs in 4.1 innings off Keller, who did not get a decision while giving up six hits and three walks while striking out three.
That continued Keller’s career-long struggle with the Reds as he has a 1-3 record with a 7.09 ERA in nine starts. Keller is 0-2 with a 5.65 ERA in three starts at PNC Park in 2022 and 0-1 with a 9.24 ERA in three starts at night.
#Pirates Mitch Keller allows 7th-lowest average exit-velocity in #MLB pic.twitter.com/0C0MwwzI05
— Joe Block (@joe_block) May 7, 2022
Opponents hit the ball often against Keller but not too hard.
Kyle Farmer is 5 for 11 (.455) versus Keller and Mike Moustakas is 4 for 10 (.400) with a homer.
Reds vs Pirates Betting Outlook
Tyler Stephenson had three hits, including a solo home run and RBI single, to lead the Reds over the Pirates on Thursday night. The catcher raised his batting average to .349.
Tyler Naquin added two hits for the Reds, who shutout the Pirates on four hits. Gamel had two of those hits.
Tyler, The Destroyer. pic.twitter.com/rkUXzl55MQ
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) May 12, 2022
The Reds placed reliever Lucas Sims on the injured list before the game with back spasms. He has one save and a 9.45 ERA in six games this season.
The Reds are 3-1 against the Pirates this season – and 5-23 against everyone — and 23-10 versus Pittsburgh since the start of 2020.
Reds vs Pirates Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/12/22 | Pirates | Reds | CIN, 4-0 |
| 5/8/22 | Reds | Pirates | CIN, 7-3 |
| 5/7/22 (2) | Reds | Pirates | PIT, 8-5 |
| 5/7/22 (1) | Reds | Pirates | CIN, 9-2 |
| 10/3/21 | Pirates | Reds | CIN, 6-3 |
| 10/2/21 | Pirates | Reds | PIT, 8-6 |
| 10/1/21 | Reds | Pirates | PIT, 9-2 |
| 9/27/21 | Reds | Pirates | CIN, 13-1 |
| 9/21/21 | Reds | Pirates | PIT, 6-2 |
| 9/20/21 | Reds | Pirates | CIN, 9-5 |
Reds vs Pirates Prediction
This is an unappetizing pitching matchup. However, Mahle has a solid history against the Pirates while Keller has regularly been torched by the Reds.
The Reds, who suddenly have some momentum, are the call here.
Pick: Reds ML (-110)
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
