Upcoming Match-ups

Reds vs Pirates Odds, Picks and Predictions (May 13)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

May 12, 2022 · 9:02 PM PDT

Cincinnati Reds catcher Tyler Stephenson celebrates his solo home run with first baseman Colin Moran
May 12, 2022; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA; Cincinnati Reds catcher Tyler Stephenson (37) celebrates his solo home run with first baseman Colin Moran (16) during the fourth inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Pirates host the Reds on Friday night and both teams are -110 on the moneyline
  • Tyler Mahle (1-4, 6.46) will start for the Cincinnati against Mitch Keller (0-4, 6.11)
  • A look at the Reds vs Pirates odds and matchup can be found below with a pick

The Cincinnati Reds will look to continue to build some momentum when they visit the Pittsburgh Pirates at 6:35 p.m. ET, Friday, at PNC Park.

The Reds (8-24/3-15 road) beat the Pirates 4-0 on Thursday night in the opener of the four-game series for their fourth win in five games after beginning the season 4-23. The Pirates (13-18/7-9 home) have alternated losses and wins in their last nine games.

Reds vs Pirates Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Cincinnati Reds -110 -1.5 (+150) Over 8 (-105)
Pittsburgh Pirates -110 +1.5 (-185) Under 8 (-115)

Odds as of May 12th at BetMGM.





This game is considered a tossup with the Reds and Pirates both listed at -110 on the moneyline, giving them both an implied win probability of 52.38%. The weather forecast calls for 77 degrees and partly cloudy at first pitch with a low of 60 and wind from the southeast at 5-7 mph.

The Reds’ World Series odds are +10000 and the Pirates are even longer shots at +40000.

Cincinnati vs Milwaukee Probable Pitchers

Tyler Mahle (1-4, 6.46) is scheduled to start for the Reds against Mitch Keller (0-4, 6.11). Mahle will be pitching on four days of rest and Keller on five.

Mahle vs Keller

Tyler Mahle
Mitch Keller
1-4 Record 0-4
6.46 ERA 6.11
3.65 xERA 3.13
1.57 WHIP 1.54
1.88 SO/W 2.40

Mahle is winless in six starts since getting the victory in his season debut.

Also facing the Pirates his last time out Sunday in Cincinnati, Mahle did not factor in the decision despite allowing two runs and one hit in five innings. He struck out six and walked three.

Mahle is liable to buzz anybody.

Mahle is 4-4 with a 3.92 ERA in 12 career starts against the Pirates. He has a 3-1 record and 2.89 ERA at PNC Park in seven starts.

In three road starts this season, Mahle has been hit hard as he is 1-1 with an 8.25 ERA. He is 1-1 with a 4.32 ERA in two starts at night.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is 6 for 9 with a home run off Mahle while Bryan Reynolds and Ben Gamel are both 5 for 12 (.417). Conversely, Yoshi Tsutsugo is hitless in five at-bats, striking out three times.

Keller has yet to win in six starts this season and had a rough outing last Saturday in Cincinnati. The Reds scored five runs in 4.1 innings off Keller, who did not get a decision while giving up six hits and three walks while striking out three.

That continued Keller’s career-long struggle with the Reds as he has a 1-3 record with a 7.09 ERA in nine starts. Keller is 0-2 with a 5.65 ERA in three starts at PNC Park in 2022 and 0-1 with a 9.24 ERA in three starts at night.

Opponents hit the ball often against Keller but not too hard.

Kyle Farmer is 5 for 11 (.455) versus Keller and Mike Moustakas is 4 for 10 (.400) with a homer.

Reds vs Pirates Betting Outlook

Tyler Stephenson had three hits, including a solo home run and RBI single, to lead the Reds over the Pirates on Thursday night. The catcher raised his batting average to .349.

Tyler Naquin added two hits for the Reds, who shutout the Pirates on four hits. Gamel had two of those hits.

The Reds placed reliever Lucas Sims on the injured list before the game with back spasms. He has one save and a 9.45 ERA in six games this season.

The Reds are 3-1 against the Pirates this season – and 5-23 against everyone — and 23-10 versus Pittsburgh since the start of 2020.

Reds vs Pirates Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/12/22 Pirates Reds CIN, 4-0
5/8/22 Reds Pirates CIN, 7-3
5/7/22 (2) Reds Pirates PIT, 8-5
5/7/22 (1) Reds Pirates CIN, 9-2
10/3/21 Pirates Reds CIN, 6-3
10/2/21 Pirates Reds PIT, 8-6
10/1/21 Reds Pirates PIT, 9-2
9/27/21 Reds Pirates CIN, 13-1
9/21/21 Reds Pirates PIT, 6-2
9/20/21 Reds Pirates CIN, 9-5

Reds vs Pirates Prediction

This is an unappetizing pitching matchup. However, Mahle has a solid history against the Pirates while Keller has regularly been torched by the Reds.

The Reds, who suddenly have some momentum, are the call here.

Pick: Reds ML (-110)

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