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Rockies vs Nationals Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers (Sep. 19)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Sep 19, 2021 · 9:43 AM PDT

CJ Cron admires a home run
Colorado Rockies first baseman C.J. Cron (25) in the ninth inning of a baseball game on Monday, Aug. 16, 2021, in Denver. The Rockies won 6-5 behind Cron's walkoff, solo home run. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • The Nationals are -125 home favorites over the Rockies on Sunday
  • The Rockies’ Jon Gray (8-10, 4.16) will pitch against Paolo Espino (4-5, 4.18)
  • Odds and analysis can be found below along with a prediction

The Colorado Rockies look to conclude their most successful road trip of the season on a good note when they meet the Washington Nationals at 1:05 p.m. ET Sunday in the finale of a three-game series at Nationals Park.

The Rockies (70-78) have won seven of eight games on the trip, including their last five in a row. Colorado had been 18-50 away from home prior to the trip.

The Nationals (60-88) are on a three-game losing streak and have dropped seven of their last nine while sinking deeper into the National League East basement. They are favored Sunday, though.

Rockies vs Nationals Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Colorado Rockies +105 +1.5 (-190) Over 9 (-115)
Washington Nationals -125 -1.5 (+160) Under 9 (-105)

Odds as of September 18th at DraftKings.

The Nationals opened as -120 favorites on the moneyline and that gone up slightly. Weather should not be a factor as the forecast calls for sunny and a high of 84 degrees with a 7-mph wind from the north.

Probable Pitchers

Jon Gray (8-10, 4.16) gets the call for the Rockies and Paolo Espino (4-5, 4.18) will start for the Nationals.

It will be Gray’s third start since being on the injured list from Aug. 29-Sept. 7 with right forearm tightness. He is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in his last three outings after losing four starts in a row.

Gray vs Espino

Jon Gray
VS
Paolo Espino
8-10 Record 4-5
4.16 ERA 4.18
3.75 xERA 4.99
1.32 WHIP 1.20
2.50 SO/W 3.95

Gray won his last start Monday against the Braves at Atlanta. He limited the National League East leaders to two runs and five hits in five innings while striking out seven and walking two.

Of his 26 starts this season, 10 have been quality but Gray has gone six straight turns without a QS. Gray has had at least seven strikeouts in 10 starts and the Rockies have a 10-16 record when he pitches.

Gray has a 3-6 road record and a 4.60 ERA in 13 starts this season. In day games, though, he is 5-4 with a 3.51 ERA in 14 starts.

The Nationals have given Gray plenty of trouble as he has a 0-3 career record against them and a 7.15 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 4.86 ERA in three starts at Nationals Park.

Espino has made 16 starts and 16 relief appearances this season but has had 11 consecutive turns through the rotation since July 20. He is 1-3 with a 6.06 ERA in his last eight games.

Espino took a tough loss Monday against the Miami Marlins when he surrendered only one run and six hits in six innings with six strikeouts and three walks. It was Espino’s first quality start of 2021.

The Nationals are 5-11 when Espino starts this season, and he has gone 3-5 with a 3.56 ERA in 16 games (10 starts) at home. He has a 1-2 record in the day with a 4.86 ERA in 11 games (seven starts).

This will be Espino’s first career appearance against the Rockies.

Mercy, Mercer

This could be a spot for Nationals backup infielder Jordy Mercer to get into the starting lineup. He is 3 for 6 with two doubles against Gray.

Catcher Elias Diaz is the only Rockies hitter to have faced Espino in the major league and that is only one plate appearance.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Rockies Batters Batting Average vs Espino
Elias Diaz .000
Nationals Batters Batting Average vs Gray
Josh Bell .667
Jordy Mercer .500
Alex Avila .400
Juan Soto .250
Alcides Escobar .000
Andrew Stevenson .000

Though the Nationals are not playing well, they have some hot hitters, including right fielder Juan Soto.

Soto is hitting .514 (19 for 37) in his last 11 games with two doubles, one home run, five RBIs, 12 walks and nine runs scored. He has also gone 31 consecutive plate appearances without a strikeout.

In his last 24 games, first baseman Josh Bell has a .315 batting average (28 for 89) with five doubles, eight homers, 18 RBIs, 19 walks and 11 runs scored. Center fielder Lane Thomas is hitting .304 (24 of 79) over his last 19 games with four doubles, one triple, five home runs, 18 RBIs, 12 walks and 18 runs scored.

Rockies-Nationals Pick

The Rockies look to sweep the first series between the teams since 2019 and are rolling. The Rockies notched a 6-0 win Saturday behind a three-run home run by shortstop Trevor Story and a two-run blast by second baseman Brendan Rodgers.

However, Gray’s awful record against the Rockies makes fading him the play in this game.

The Pick: Nationals -125

 

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