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Rockies vs Mets Predictions, Odds & Picks (May 6)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated May 5, 2023 · 10:11 PM PDT

Rockies vs Mets. New York Mets designated hitter Tommy Pham (28) and center fielder Brandon Nimmo (9) and right fielder Starling Marte (6)
May 5, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets designated hitter Tommy Pham (28) and center fielder Brandon Nimmo (9) and right fielder Starling Marte (6) celebrate after defeating the Colorado Rockies at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Mets are -235 home favorites over the Rockies on Saturday
  • Lefty Austin Gomber (2-4, 7.57) will pitch for the Rockies against the Mets’ Tylor Megill (3-1, 4.11)
  • A look at the Rockies vs Mets odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

After getting back on the winning track, the Mets will try to make it two wins in a row over the Colorado Rockies when the teams meet at 4:10 p.m. ET Saturday in the middle game of a three-game series at Citi Field. Read on for an analysis of  Rockies vs Mets.

The Mets (17-16, 7-6 home) ended a three-game losing streak by beating the Rockies 1-0 on Friday night. New York had also lost five of its previous six games and nine of 11.

The Rockies (12-21, 5-12 road) had their four-game winning streak snapped.

Rockies vs Mets Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Colorado Rockies +192 +1.5 (-110) Over 8.5 (+100)
New York Mets -235 -1.5 (-110) Under 8.5 (-120)

The Mets are -235 moneyline favorites over the Rockies on Saturday, giving an implied win probability in the MLB odds. New York has +1000 World Series championship odds and Colorado is listed at +100000.

It’s expected to be a beautiful day in Flushing with sunny skies, a high of 70 and wind from the northwest at 6 mph.

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Odds as of May 5th at Caesars Sportsbook.

Rockies vs Mets Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Austin Gomber (2-4, 7.57) is scheduled to start for the Rockies against Tylor Megill (3-1, 4.11). Gomber will be pitched on five days of rest and Megill on four.

 Gomber vs Megill

Missing Team
Missing Team
2-4 Record 3-1
7.57 ERA 4.11
7.39 xERA 6.60
1.68 WHIP 1.43
1.36 SO/W 1.53

Gomber has won his last two starts with a 0.82 ERA after losing his first four outings of the season with an unsightly 12.12 ERA. Last Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks in Denver, Gomber gave up only one run and three hits in six innings with four strikeouts and two walks.

This will be Gomber’s third career start versus the Mets. He is 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA.

Gomber has a 1-2 record and 4.91 ERA in three starts on the road this season and is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in three starts during the day. Gomber has two quality starts in his six games.

Megill is going in the opposite direction as Gomber as he is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in his last three starts after beginning the season by winning his first three starts with a 2.25 ERA. Megill had a no-decision Monday against the Atlanta Braves in the second game of a doubleheader at Citi Field in which he went 5.2 innings and was charged with three runs while allowing four hits, striking out four and walking three.

This will be the first time Megill has faced the Rockies in his career.

Megill is unbeaten at home this season (2-0, 3.70 ERA in three starts) and in the day (3-0, 3.86 in five starts). The Mets are 4-2 in Big Drip starts, though he has only one quality start in 2023.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Rockies Batters Batting Average vs Tylor Megill
Kris Bryant .000
Randal Grichuk .000
Mets Batters Batting Average vs Austin Gomber
Luis Guillorme .667
Francisco Lindor .375
Daniel Vogelbach .333
Mark Canha .333
Jeff McNeil .333
Brandon Nimmo .333
Tommy Pham .222
Starling Marte .000
Tomas Nido .000
Pete Alonso .000
Eduardo Escobar .000

Only two Rockies hitters – Kris Bryant and Randal Grichuk — have faced Megill and they are hitless in five at-bats combined. Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor is 3 for 8 against Gomber but right fielder Starling Marte is 0 for 6 with three strikeouts.

Rockies vs Mets Betting Outlook

Brandon Nimmo’s fourth-inning home run accounted for the game’s lone run as the Mets edged the Rockies on Friday night.

Nimmo had two hits for the Mets as did Randal Grichuk for the Rockies. Both teams had five hits.

The Rockies activated catcher Austin Wynns, who they claimed from the Los Angeles Dodgers off waivers, prior to Friday night’s game and optioned catcher Brian Serven to Triple-A Albuquerque. Colorado also designated outfielder Yonathan Daza for assignment.

Rockies vs Mets Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
5/5/23 Mets Rockies NYM, 1-0
8/28/22 Mets Rockies COL, 1-0
8/27/22 Mets Rockies NYM, 3-0
8/26/22 Mets Rockies NYM, 7-6
8/25/22 Mets Rockies NYM, 3-1
5/22/22 Rockies Mets NYM, 2-0
5/21/22 (2) Rockies Mets COL, 11-3
5/11/22 (1) Rockies Mets NYM, 5-1
5/27/21 (2) Mets Rockies NYM, 4-2
5/27/21 (1) Mets Rockies NYM, 1-0

The Mets are 15-6 versus the Rockies since the start of the 2019 season.

Rockies vs Mets Prediction

Neither starting pitcher inspires a whole lot of confidence, so a day after a 1-0 game, let’s play the over.

Pick: Over 8.5 (+100)

Season Record: 14-6 (+6.1 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 1-0 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 17-8 (+7.1 units) overall


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