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Royals vs Yankees Picks & Odds (July 29)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Jul 28, 2022 · 11:11 PM PDT

Aaron Judge
Jul 28, 2022; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees center fielder Aaron Judge (99) hits a walk-off solo home run during the bottom of the ninth inning against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees are -350 home favorites over the Royals on Friday night
  • Left-hander Kris Bubic (2-6, 5.53) will start for Kansas City against Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.09)
  • A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The American League East-leading New York Yankees host the Kansas City Royals, the last-place team in the AL Central, at 7:05 p.m. ET Friday in the second game of a four-game series at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees (67-33/38-12 home) won just the third time in their last eight games as they edged the Royals 1-0 on Thursday night. The Royals (39-60/17-30 road) are on a three-game losing streak and 3-7 in their last 10.

Royals vs Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Kansas City Royals +275 +2.5 (-110) Over 8 (-115)
New York Yankees -350 -2.5 (-110) Under 8 (-105)

Odds as of July 28th at BetMGM.

As -350 favorites, the Yankees have a 77.78% implied win probability. The Yankees are the second choice in the World Series odds at +380, just behind the Los Angeles Dodgers (+360), while the Royals’ odds are +200000.



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The weather forecast calls for a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms at gametime. The temperature is expected to be 86 degrees at first pitch with a low of 73 along with cloudy skies and northwest wind from 7-10 mph.

Royals vs Yankees Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Kris Bubic (2-6, 5.53) is scheduled to pitch for the Royals against Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.09). Bubic will be working on four days of rest and Cole on five.

Cole’s AL Cy Young Award odds are +850.

Bubic vs Cole

Visitor Starter
Home Starter
2-6 Record 9-3
5.53 ERA 3.09
5.72 xERA 3.04
1.65 WHIP 1.02
1.49 SO/W 4.78

Bubic ended a five-start winless streak his last time out when he beat the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday in Kansas City. He allowed just two runs and four hits in seven innings while striking out four and walking three.

Bubic is 1-0 with a 2.29 ERA in his last three starts.

Against the Yankees in his career, Bubic is 0-1 with a 3.68 ERA in two games (one starts). He has pitched at Yankee Stadium only once, working 2.1 scoreless relief innings last season.

On the road this season, Bubic has a 1-2 record and 4.60 ERA in seven games (six starts). He is 1-3 with a 6.62 ERA in eight games (seven starts) at night. The Royals have a 5-10 record in his starts.

Cole’s three-game winning streak ended last Saturday with a loss to the Orioles in Baltimore. He was charged with four runs (three earned) in six innings while giving up nine hits and two walks to go with six strikeouts.

In his last three outings, Cole is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA.

Cole has been tough on the Royals in his career, compiling a 4-1 record and 2.06 ERA in six starts.

Cole is 4-2 with a 2.09 ERA at home in 10 starts this season and 6-2 with a 3.66 ERA in 13 starts at night. The Yankees are 14-6 when he takes the hill.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Royals Batters Batting Average vs Gerrit Cole
Bobby Witt Jr. .333
Whit Merrifield .250
Michael A. Taylor .250
Nicky Lopez .167
Hunter Dozier .154
Ryan O’Hearn .111
Kyle Isbel .000
Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Kris Bubic
Jose Trevino 1.000
Marwin Gonzalez .500
Anthony Rizzo .500
Aaron Hicks .500
Josh Donaldson .273
DJ LeMahieu .250
Kyle Higashiola .000
Isiah Kiner-Falefa .000
Gleyber Torres .000
Aaron Judge .000
Tim Locastro .000
Joey Gallo

The Royals’ Hunter Dozier is just 2 for 13 (.154) against Cole, though the hits are a double and home run. Yankees utility player Marwin Gonzalez could get a start since he is 3 for 6 with a double off Bubic.

Royals vs Yankees Betting Outlook

A walk-off home run by the Yankees’ Aaron Judge in the ninth inning accounted for the game’s lone run and lifted New York over the Royals on Thursday night.

Judge’s blast was one of just two hits by the Yankees and his third game-ending homer of the season.

Andrew Benintendi joined the Yankees a day after being acquired from the Royals in a trade. He started in left field and went 0 for 4 with a strikeout.

Whit Merrifield had two of the Royals’ four hits.

Royals rookie shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. missed his fourth straight game with a hamstring injury. He went through a full workout prior to the game and could return to action Friday.

Kyle Isbel played left field following the departure of Benintendi and fellow rookie Vinny Pasquantino was the designated hitter after missing one game with right thumb discomfort. Isbel was 0 for 3 and Pasquantino went 1 for 4.

The Yankees have won all four games against the Royals this season and are 44-21 versus Kansas City since 2012.

Royals vs Yankees Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/28/22 Yankees Royals NYY, 1-0
5/1/22 Royals Yankees NYY, 6-4
4/30/22 Royals Yankees NYY, 3-0
4/29/22 Royals Yankees NYY, 12-2
8/11/21 Royals Yankees NYY, 5-2
8/10/21 Royals Yankees KC, 8-4
8/9/21 Royals Yankees NYY, 8-6
6/24/21 Yankees Royals NYY, 8-1
6/23/21 Yankees Royals NYY, 6-5
6/22/21 Yankees Royals KC, 6-5

Royals vs Yankees Prediction

The lightbulb seems to be going off for the 24-year-old Bubic. However, it’s tough to bet against Cole and the Yankees at home – even at such big odds.

Pick: Yankees -350 ML



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