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Mike Trout’s Angels Are +3300 to Win World Series, But +6600 Elsewhere; Could LAA Make a Run in 2020?

Ben Abel

by Ben Abel in MLB Baseball

Nov 1, 2019 · 10:48 PM PDT

Mike Trout smilling
Mike Trout and the Los Angeles Angels have conflicting odds in 2020 World Series futures. Photo by Keith Allison (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • The LA Angels’ World Series odds are twice as short
  • The Angels hired manager Joe Maddon, who served as bench coach on LA’s 2002 World Series-winning team
  • With the potential to be big players in free agency, is Los Angeles worth a wager in the early 2020 MLB futures?

With the 2019 World Series now in the books and teams already looking ahead to 2020, the Los Angeles Angels currently sit at +6600 odds to win the 2020 World Series, which is well outside the top 15.

2020 World Series Odds

Team Odds
Houston Astros +600
New York Yankees +600
Los Angeles Dodgers +800
Atlanta Braves +1200
Boston Red Sox +1200
Cleveland Indians +1500
Washington Nationals +1500
Philadelphia Phillies +2000
St. Louis Cardinals +2200
Chicago Cubs +2500
Minnesota Twins +2500
New York Mets +2500
Milwaukee Brewers +3000
Oakland Athletics +3000
Tampa Bay Rays +3000

Odds as of Nov. 1.

Ausmus Out, Maddon In

The Angels made a big change in management after only one season, relieving Brad Ausmus of his duties and bringing in Joe Maddon. Maddon is familiar to Angels fans; he was bench coach on the 2002 team that beat the San Francisco Giants in seven games to win the World Series.

Pitching Must Be Addressed

The first priority for the Angels this winter will be pitching, both the starting rotation and the bullpen. Signing a top starter like Gerrit Cole fits the bill nicely. Cole is from Newport Beach, grew up in Orange County, and played college ball at UCLA. The connection to California is there, and it’s a big part of why the Angels are favored to sign Cole.

Cole was nothing short of spectacular in 2019 with a 20-5 record to go with a 2.50 ERA, 326 strikeouts, and four more wins in the postseason.

Shohei Ohtani will resume pitching in 2020 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. He also had a surgery on his left kneecap which affected his ability to pitch in 2019 as well. He will need to regain some of his 2018 form where he had a 3.31 ERA and 63 strikeouts in 10 starts.

GM Billy Eppler committed $35 million to five players including pitchers Matt Harvey and Trevor Cahill.  Cahill was 4-9 with a 5.98 ERA in 37 appearances, 11 starts. Not good enough.

The Angels bullpen was no better either.  The Angels took a chance on Cody Allen, the former Indian, who bombed and was released on June 18th. He had a 6.26 ERA and nine homers allowed in 23 innings.

With a run differential of -99 and runs-against of 868 (eighth-worst in baseball), pitching definitely needs to be addressed. We will have to wait and see how Eppler does.

Trout and other key players must also perform

Mike Trout, Albert Pujols, Justin Upton, Andrelton Simmons and Zack Cozart are all under contract heading into the 2020 season. Upton, Trout, and Cozart finished the season on the injured list which did not  help down the stretch.

Pujols is two years away from finishing his mammoth 10-year contract in which he will make close to $60 million. His best years are long behind him, obviously, but he only managed to hit 23 homers and post 0.4 Wins Above Replacement (WAR). He’s no longer capable of producing like a DH on a true AL contender.

Justin Bour was another free agent bust for the Angels. Bour batted .172 in 52 games and played part of the season in the minors. Right fielder Kole Calhoun hit 33 dingers but slashed .232/.322/.424. He has a $1 million buyout in his contract that could be exercised.

The Best Bet

The best case scenario is that the Angels sign Gerrit Cole, Ohtani performs well, their bullpen needs are addressed, and they bolster the lineup with improvements on Pujols and the like. They’ll also need Mike Trout to stay healthy, of course, and when you add up all the pieces that need to fall into place, the best bet is on the Angels struggling.

I wouldn’t bet them at +6600 to win the World Series, and I definitely wouldn’t bet them at +3300.


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