Twins vs Red Sox Odds, Picks and Predictions (April 18)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Red Sox are -150 home favorite over the Twins on Monday morning
- Left-hander Rich Hill (0-0, 6.23) will start for Boston against Dylan Bundy (1-0, 0.00)
- A look at the Twins vs Red Sox odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
It will be morning baseball in Boston as the Red Sox host the Minnesota Twins at 11:10 a.m. ET Monday in the annual Patriots’ Day game to conclude a four-game series.
The Red Sox (5-4/2-1 at home) have taken two of the first three games in the series and have won four of their last five overall. The Twins (3-6/1-2 road) have lost four of their last five.
Twins vs Red Sox Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | +125 | +1.5 (-155) | Over 9 (-110) |
| Boston Red Sox | -150 | -1.5 (+125) | Under 9 (-110) |
Odds as of April 17th at BetMGM.
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In a game that will be televised on MLB Network, the Red Sox are -150 favorites, giving them a 60% expected win probability. The weather forecast calls for increasing clouds, a high of 51 degrees and east winds at 5-9 mph.
Probable Pitchers
Dylan Bundy (1-0, 0.00) tried to keep his perfect record intact when he pitches for the Twins against left-hander Rich Hill (0-0, 6.23). The Red Sox have +2200 World Series odds and the Twins’ are +4000.
Bundy vs Hill
| 1-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0.00 | ERA | 6.23 |
| 0.39 | xERA | 1.73 |
| 0.40 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 2.00 | SO/W | 4.00 |
Signed as a free agent in the offseason, Bundy had an outstanding debut for the Twins last Monday, pitching five scoreless innings and allowing one hit to beat the Seattle Mariners. He struck two and walked one.
Bundy, though, has had problems with the Red Sox throughout his career with a 3-9 record and 5.58 ERA in 20 games (15 starts). At Fenway Park, he is 2-5 with a 5.44 ERA in 10 games (seven starts).
Some thoughts on Dylan Bundy's #MNTwins debut:
-Kept the ball in the park
-Decent pitch mix
-Fastball spin continued to be good pic.twitter.com/ab6izlrKdv— Cody Christie (@NoDakTwinsFan) April 12, 2022
This will be Bundy’s first road start of the season. He went 1-5 with a 5.44 away from home in 12 starts last year while pitching for Los Angeles Angels.
Red Sox’ star Xander Bogaerts is 12 for 36 (.333) against Bundy with four doubles and three home runs.
Hill had a no-decision his first time out Tuesday against the Tigers at Detroit. He lasted 4 1/3 innings and was charged on for three runs on five hits with four strikeouts and one walk.
Despite being in his 18th season, Hill will be making his first career start against the Twins. He is 0-1 with a 9.53 ERA in eight relief appearances.
It should be an emotional day for Hill, whose died Friday, especially with the Boston Marathon being run at the same time he is pitching against the Twins. Lloyd Hill Sr. ran in 37 Boston Marathons.
Red Sox lefty and Milton native Rich Hill spoke to @RochieWBZ about his memories of his father running the Boston Marathon 37 times. Lloyd Hill Sr. passed away on Friday at the age of 94. https://t.co/YDrSF5ap9h pic.twitter.com/fTj9BT8JRO
— WBZ | CBS News Boston (@wbz) April 17, 2022
Hill is making his first start of the season at Fenway Park but is 2-0 with a 1.65 ERA in 25 games (one start) there during his career.
The Twins’ Carlos Correa is 0-for-8 against Hill and Gio Urshela is hitless in five at-bats.
Twins vs Red Sox Betting Outlook
Trevor Story had his first two RBIs in his new home park as the Red Sox rolled to 8-1 victory over the Twins on Sunday. Story, who was signed to a six-year, $140-million contract as a free agent in spring training, hit a two-run double in a sixth-run eighth inning when Boston blew the game open.
We're gonna let you finish, but first, we're just going to score a quick 6 runs. pic.twitter.com/XilMdGB0T0
— Red Sox (@RedSox) April 17, 2022
J.D. Martinez also drove in two runs with a double and sacrifice fly. Bogaerts had three hits.
Left-handed reliever Matt Strahm (1-0) recorded four outs for the win in relief.
The Twins were held to four hits, two by Urshela.
Minnesota center fielder Byron Buxton (knee) is expected to miss his third straight games after being injured Friday while sliding into second base in the series opener.
Buxton’s AL MVP odds are +1500.
Byron Buxton left today's game after sliding into second.
(via @BallySportsNOR)pic.twitter.com/RDKxlOqPLA
— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) April 15, 2022
The Twins haven’t won the season series since 2015 and the Red Sox are 23-15 during the past seven seasons.
The Red Sox have a 71-53 record at home on Patriots’ Day, a holiday observed in Massachusetts and Maine that celebrates Paul Revere’s ride and the battles of Concord and Lexington.
Twins vs Red Sox Last 10 Meetings
| Date | Home Team | Visiting Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/17/22 | Red Sox | Twins | BOS, 8-1 |
| 4/16/22 | Red Sox | Twins | BOS, 4-0 |
| 4/15/22 | Red Sox | Twins | MIN, 8-4 |
| 8/26/21 | Red Sox | Twins | BOS, 12-2 |
| 8/25/21 | Red Sox | Twins | MIN, 9-6 |
| 8/24/21 | Red Sox | Twins | BOS, 11-9 |
| 4/15/21 | Twins | Red Sox | MIN, 4-3 |
| 4/14/21 (2) | Twins | Red Sox | BOS, 7-1 |
| 4/14/21 (1) | Twins | Red Sox | BOS, 3-2 |
| 4/13/21 | Twins | Red Sox | BOS, 4-2 |
Twins vs Red Sox Prediction
It’s hard not root for Hill, one of baseball’s truly good guys, in this spot. But Bundy was impressive in his first start with the Twins and provides good value on the moneyline.
Pick: Twins moneyline (+125)
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
