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Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds, Lines & Picks (Sep. 26)

Blair Johnson

by Blair Johnson in MLB Baseball

Sep 26, 2022 · 6:31 AM PDT

Toronto Blue Jays center fielder George Springer rounding the bases after a home run
Sep 25, 2022; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Toronto Blue Jays center fielder George Springer (4) rounds third base after hitting a home run during the fifth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike Watters-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees and Blue Jays meet at the Rogers Centre on Monday, September 26th
  • The Bronx Bombers have led the AL East for most of the season, while the Jays are holding on to the top AL Wild Card spot
  • Read below for the Yankees vs Blue Jays odds and betting preview

The New York Yankees (94-58, 38-36 away) face the Toronto Blue Jays (86-67, 43-32 home) on Monday at Rogers Centre in the first game of a three-game set between a pair of division rivals. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:07 pm ET.

New York skipper Aaron Boone sends Luis Severino to the mound, while Toronto’s interim skipper John Schneider counters with Kevin Gausman in Monday’s MLB lineups.

Yankees vs Blue Jays Odds

Team Runline Moneyline Total
New York Yankees +1.5 (-210) +100 O 7.5 (-110)
Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+175) -120 U 7.5 (-110)

Odds as of September 25th at Caesars Sportsbook. Claim the Caesars Sportsbook promo code

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this one. Toronto is currently a -120 home favorite over the division-leading Yankees. New York is listed as a (o) road underdog. The game total is 7.5 and runline is Toronto at -1.5 (+175).

 

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New York vs Toronto Probable Pitchers

The 28-year-old Severino returned to New York’s active roster last week for the first start since July 13th after being placed on the 60-day injured list with a lat strain. He went five innings against Pittsburgh, allowing two hits, an earned run and a walk while striking out six in an 11-2 win.

After pitching just over 27 innings over the previous three seasons because of Tommy John surgery in 2020 and another lat strain that cost him nearly the entire 2019 season, Severino pitched to a 3.36 ERA in 17 starts this season. He struck out 101 over 91.1 innings pitched. With Frankie Montas shut down for at least 10 days, Severino’s return looms large for a Yankee club hoping to make a deep postseason run.

Meantime, Gausman rebounded from a rough outing in his previous start to toss six scoreless innings against the Phillies last Wednesday, allowing five hits (all singles) and two walks while striking out eight. He didn’t factor in the decision of an eventual 4-3 Philly victory, but the performance included 11 whiffs with his splitter — his most in any start since July 22nd.

For a team with their own October aspirations, the 31-year-old’s turn was encouraging. Overall, the Phillies went just 1-for-10 with five strikeouts against his splitter while whiffing 50% of the time (11 whiffs on 22 swings).

Severino vs Gausman Stats

Luis Severino
VS
Kevin Gausman
6-3 Record 12-10
3.36 ERA 3.32
3.04 xERA 3.38
27.5% K% 28.2%

The Yankees weathered an extended rain delay in the Bronx to sweep the Red Sox in their four-game series 2-0 on Sunday, good for New York’s seventh straight victory overall. Aaron Judge did not hit his 61st homer of the season, but he did go 1-for-2 with a double, tying Xander Boegarts for the AL batting lead at .314 and putting him in a position to become MLB’s first Triple Crown winner since Miguel Cabrera accomplished the feat in 2012.

After going 10-18 in August, New York has turned things around in September — sporting a 15-6 mark so far this month.

Meantime, Toronto has gone 16-9 thus far in September and just split a four-game set with AL East foe (and fellow Wild Card team) Tampa Bay 7-1 on Sunday. George Springer was the offensive star, launching a two-run shot in the third and adding a fifth-inning solo blast for his 23rd homer this season.

Teoscar Hernandez and Alejandro Kirk also went deep for the Jays in the win. Toronto has +1800 odds to win the Fall Classic, while New York is at +550 in the World Series odds.

NYY vs TOR Last 10 Meetings

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/21/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 4-2
8/20/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 5-2
8/19/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 4-0
8/18/22 Yankees Blue Jays TOR, 9-2
6/19/22 Blue Jays Yankees TOR, 10-9
6/18/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 4-0
6/17/22 Blue Jays Yankees NYY, 12-3
5/11/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 5-3
5/10/22 Yankees Blue Jays NYY, 6-5
5/4/22 Blue Jays Yankees TOR, 2-1

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

Both of these teams enter Monday’s tilt playing well. Buoyed by the enthusiasm surrounding Judge’s chase for history, the Bronx Bombers should put up a good effort.

But Gausman — and his sinker — are in a groove right now. That has me siding with the home team Blue Jays favored at -120 odds.

Pick: Blue Jays ML (-120)

 

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