2019 MVP Odds Say Kawhi-DeRozan Trade was Win-Win

By Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball
Updated: March 25, 2020 at 3:17 pm EDTPublished:

- The Raptors and Spurs are both thriving after their offseason mega-trade
- DeMar DeRozan has shot up the 2019 NBA MVP odds boards
- Kawhi Leonard is working to reach an MVP level in Toronto
It’s probably more rare than a 60-point game, a quadruple-double, and even those wild 30-point, 30-rebound games that make our eyes light up when we look at such a wild box score.
What is it? A star-for-star deal that actually benefits both teams.
In fact, San Antonio and Toronto’s swap that featured Kawhi Leonard and DeMar DeRozan could very well be the best the league has ever seen.
2019 NBA MVP Award Average Odds
Vegas is taking notice, as they have shortened the odds – particularly DeRozan, who is riding a bullet train to catch the attention of the field. Click on the “Top 10” tab on the graph above to see the odds of both players.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GGima_GI9oA
Leonard is Just Starting to Scratch the Surface
Hard to believe, but Leonard isn’t nearly close to the fully dominant robot that wrecked both ends of the court regularly in his apex years with the Spurs.
And yet, he’s averaging 27.3 points, 7.8 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game this season, shooting 50.4% from the field and a sparkling 44.4% from behind the arc, while delivering on defense, his bread and butter.
Great example of why Kawhi Leonard is the best defender in the NBA. pic.twitter.com/wBZBHfmNEa
— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral) October 25, 2018
The one thing that is fully intact is his relentless star-power swag. For a team short on confidence in clutch moments, the effect is gigantic.
https://twitter.com/WorldWideWob/status/1055248919624646656
He’s yet to lose a game in a Raps uniform, having sat out two contests, each the front end of a back-to-back, as he strengthens himself from major inactivity. While total team concepts are coming together, what I’m most impressed with is his iso game, which looks lethal.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQTlFrG177Y
DeRozan Elevates Spurs to Elite Level
There was a really great ESPN story that came out this week about how DeRozan has been entrusted to be the guy for the Spurs, and man, he has run with that responsibility.
DD has started all seven games, and is posting 27.9 points, 5.7 rebounds and 7.3 assists – which are all currently career highs. He’s also shooting it from the field at a career high 52.1% and matching a career-best 20.9 field goal attempts per contest.
DeMar DeRozan is CLUTCH in #CrunchTime! #GoSpursGo pic.twitter.com/JSy1ifHBMq
— NBA TV (@NBATV) October 28, 2018
At times, he’s looked utterly unstoppable, with a deadly midrange game that would make Kobe Bryant blush.
While Leonard is clearly (when healthy) on a level above DeRozan, the Spurs’ system and continuity only needed a great wing scorer to lead the way, and the rest of the role players could gear down into their natural slots.
DeMar DeRozan is doing juuust fine in San Antonio. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/KIXH5p04zL
— theScore (@theScore) October 28, 2018
Kawhi may be all world, but replacing him with a second team all-NBA star – one that is available and willing to be part of the team – isn’t bad at all.
2019 NBA MVP Odds
Player | Odds (11/01/18) |
---|---|
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) | +375 |
Anthony Davis (Pelicans) | +450 |
LeBron James (Lakers) | +450 |
Kawhi Leonard (Raptors) | +650 |
Steph Curry (Warriors) | +650 |
T-10 DeMar DeRozan (Spurs) | +2800 |
Are Either Worthy of an MVP Wager?
In this instance, conference matters. Even down budding point guard Dejounte Murray and first round pick Lonnie Walker IV to injuries for the year before the season started, the Spurs already look top-four frisky, but the West is loaded. DeMar is a great story, but you’d be better looking elsewhere for an MVP bet.
DeMar DeRozan keeps flirting with triple doubles. He only knows because a buddy in Toronto keeps him apprised. “Kyle (Lowry) keeps texting me after the games, telling me how close I am to getting triple doubles. That’s how I know.”
— Jeff McDonald (@JMcDonald_SAEN) October 28, 2018
Meanwhile, Kawhi is currently playing on arguably the most talented team in the East, and, should he hold up physically, he will be the best player in that conference. With an asterisk to Russell Westbrook, the best-player-on-the-best-team is the formula to winning MVP.
The Hornets taking turns trying to guard Kawhi Leonard. Same result all 3 times!!!
(Via @WorldWideWob)
— Ballislife.com (@Ballislife) October 23, 2018
You probably wished you laid some cash down on Kawhi before the offseason, but it’s still a good bet to make at +650.
If you’re wondering about the rest of the field, +450 for LeBron and Anthony Davis are still very attractive odds.

Sports Writer & Editor
Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.