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NBA Draft Odds, Picks & Best Bets 2023 — Who’s Next After Wembanyama?

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Updated Jun 22, 2023 · 1:36 PM PDT

Brandon Miller screams
Alabama forward Brandon Miller (24) reacts after a foul during the second half of a SEC Men’s Basketball Tournament semifinal game against Missouri at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn., Saturday, March 11, 2023. Alabama Missouri Sec 031123 An 019
  • Looking at 2023 NBA Draft props ahead of Thursday’s event in Brooklyn
  • After Victor Wembanyama, who should be taken second?
  • See below for various NBA Draft props, predictions, and our best bets

Perhaps, more than ever, hitting on your draft picks is crucial for success in today’s NBA.

With crippling sanctions against teams that go over the cap — especially in that second apron — any iteration of a super team is going to need cheap, effective talent to make a title run.

And that brings us to Brooklyn Thursday night, where generation next of NBA talent is brought into the league.

Barring a major miracle, we know Victor Wembanyama is going first to the Spurs. From there? It’s pretty wide open.

Let’s run down some of our favorite NBA draft odds, and which way we’re leaning.

We’ll start with the following act for Wemby.

2023 NBA Draft 2nd-Overall Pick Odds

Player Odds
Brandon Miller -500
Scoot Henderson +300
Amen Thompson +5000
Ausar Thompson +10000
Jarace Walker +10000
Anthony Black +10000
Cam Whitmore +10000
Victor Wembanyama +10000
Taylor Hendricks +10000
Gradey Dick +15000

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Odds as of June 21 at DraftKings. Get a DraftKings promo code to bet on the 2023 NBA Draft

The Buzz is Brandon Miller

Maybe I’m the only one that thinks it’s hilarious that noted horrendous evaluator of basketball talent Michael Jordan asked that Brandon Miller and Scoot Henderson return to Charlotte for a second workout.

Charlotte’s draft record is sketch, and the only real asset on the roster is LaMelo Ball. Scoot-Melo as a backcourt would be a lot of fun, but the Hornets reportedly want the one-and-done Miller.

He averaged 18.8 points and 8.2 rebounds in 37 games for Alabama, including a smooth 38.4% from downtown. Miller’s offcourt baggage is large, but why would that bother Jordan? Talent evaluation aside, this is his swan song before selling off his ownership stake in the Hornets.

Pick: Brandon Miller (-500)

Jaquez Jr Undervalued as Senior

After the first three picks, the rest of the field is very good, with a bevy of plug-and-play options and undoubtedly an all-star or two lurking in the mix.

We’re sharing a few of our favorite draft position player picks, starting with a senior star trying to shake the “too old” stigma.

2023 NBA Player Draft Position Odds

Player Draft Position Over Odds Under Odds
Ausar Thompson 5.5 -165 +135
Jarace Walker 6.5 -160 +130
Anthony Black 8.5 +260 -350
Taylor Hendricks 8.5 -135 +105
Dereck Lively 10.5 -250 +175
Gradey Dick 10.5 -425 +320
Bilal Coulibaly 11.5 -130 +100
Kobe Bufkin 12.5 +150 -200
Keyonte George 13.5 -310 +230
Cason Wallace 14.5 -130 +100
Jalen Hood-Schifino 14.5 +130 -160
Jordan Hawkins 15.5 -135 +105
Nick Smith Jr 18.5 -170 +140
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 21.5 -120 -110
Leonard Miller 21.5 -110 -120
Jaime Jaquez Jr 23.5 +230 -310

Jaime Jaquez Jr is, at worst, a rotation player for whoever drafts him. He put up 17.8 points and 8.2 rebounds for the UCLA Bruins, though he shot just 31.7% from distance on less than three takes per game.

The other thing going against him is his age. As a senior, the 22-year-old is almost automatically considered less appealing than the teenagers in the field, who present better upside.

If Heat culture doesn’t nab him at 18, he slides nicely onto a Memphis roster picking 25th, who need to replace the wing depth that left with Brooks.

Pick: Jaquez Jr OVER 23.5 draft position (-250)

Dereck Lively is a pick-and-roll dream, and the Duke big man could eventually work his way into an offensive hub at the elbow or top of the key in the right environment.

The numbers aren’t there yet, as he averaged just 5.2 points, 5.2 rounds and 2.4 blocks in his lone year with the Blue Devils.

However, after the resurgence of the big man in the playoffs (Jokic, Bam, Davis and Embiid), it might not be more in vogue than to zag for a big, while everyone is zigging for athletic wings.

Unfortunately, the only legit landing spots for him before 11 are with Indiana at no. 7, and Dallas at no. 10.

Pick: Lively OVER 10.5 draft position (-250)

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Amen vs Ausar: Which Thompson Goes First?

They’ll almost surely be the first twin brothers to get selected in the top 10 of the NBA Draft, but it’s more difficult trying to figure out who will get taken first on Thursday night.

2022 NBA Draft Head-to-Head Player Odds

Player Odds Player Odds
Amen Thompson -400 Ausar Thompson +280
Anthony Black -265 Taylor Hendricks +200
Jarace Walker -115 Ausar Thompson -115
Jett Howard -140 Leonard Miller +110
Jordan Hawkins -195 Keyonte George +155
Rayan Rupert -300 Gregory Jackson +220
Victor Wembanyama -20000 The Field +4500

Ausur isn’t ball dominant, makes an impact on both ends of the floor, and can develop his offense, particularly his shooting, in the coming years. He put up 16.3 points, 6.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists with Overtime Elite.

Amen is a point guard’s point guard, with a modern athletic twist. While his vision and passing are his greatest strength, he’ll have to work to get his jumper pro-ready. He also averaged 16.3 points with Overtime Elite, with 6.2 assists and 6.4 rebounds.

It probably makes more sense for Houston at no. 4 to take a setup man, but they do have Kevin Porter Jr in the mix, and a potential reunion with James Harden.

Adding another talented wing never hurts, especially one working as a primary ball handler. Ausur’s game translates to more teams, and perhaps a greater shot at going before his bro. Those odds make it worth the gamble.

Pick: Ausar Thompson (+280)

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