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LA Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds & Player Props to Bet (Mar. 26)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NBA Basketball

Updated Mar 26, 2024 · 3:05 PM PDT

Los Angeles Lakers guard Austin Reaves drives to the basket against Milwaukee Bucks guard Malik Beasley
Mar 8, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Lakers guard Austin Reaves (15) drives to the basket against Milwaukee Bucks guard Malik Beasley (5) during the third quarter at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kiyoshi Mio-USA TODAY Sports
  • We’ve made our LA Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks prediction for Tuesday
  • The Tuesday NBA odds favor the Bucks by 9.5 points on their home court
  • Read below for Lakers vs Bucks prediction, odds, and player props to bet

The Milwaukee Bucks (46-25) will aim to extend their home winning streak to seven games when they host the visiting Los Angeles Lakers (40-32) on Tuesday evening. Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum, with TNT carrying the broadcast nationally.

The Bucks enter the game as a 9.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 231.5 points. NBA player props are available, with Giannis Antetokounmpo forecasted to have a strong game and LeBron James unlikely to suit up.

Who will cover the spread in Lakers vs Bucks? Let’s get into our LA vs Milwaukee prediction, along with player props to bet.

LA Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
LA Lakers +9.5 (-110) +325 Over 231.5 (-110)
MIL Bucks -9.5 (-110) -425 Under 231.5 (-110)

In the Lakers vs Bucks odds for Tuesday, Milwaukee is a heavy -425 moneyline favorite, giving them an implied win probability of 59%.

In their previous meeting on March 8th, the Lakers edged the Bucks 123-122 in a thrilling finish at Crypto.com Arena. The Lakers are looking to sweep the season series.

 

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Lakers Betting Analysis

The Lakers come into this game riding a three-game winning streak, most recently defeating the Indiana Pacers 150-145 on Sunday. Anthony Davis led the way with 36 points and 16 rebounds, while LeBron James added 26 points and 10 assists in the high-scoring affair.

The Lakers’ offense has been clicking, averaging 117.7 points per game (ninth in the NBA), but their defense has struggled, allowing 117.6 points per game (23rd). Davis has been the Lakers’ most consistent performer this season, averaging 24.6 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 2.4 blocks per game.

James, despite battling injuries throughout the season, is still putting up impressive numbers with 25.4 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 8.1 assists per game. However, he is currently listed as doubtful for this game due to an ankle injury.

In terms of betting trends, the Lakers are 33-39 against the spread (ATS) this season, but are just 12-20 against the number on the road. The over has hit in 39 of the Lakers’ 72 games.

Bucks Betting Analysis

The Bucks, meanwhile, have won four of their last five games, including a 118-93 victory over the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 24. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 30 points and 19 rebounds in that game.

Milwaukee boasts the second-best record in the Eastern Conference and has been dominant at home, going 18-5 at Fiserv Forum. The Bucks have won six straight on their home court, including an impressive win over Phoenix on March 17th.

Antetokounmpo has been a force to be reckoned with this season. He averages 30.7 points (second in the NBA), 11.2 rebounds, and 6.4 assists per game. His unique combination of size, strength, and athleticism makes him a matchup nightmare for any opponent.

A key aspect of this game will be three-point shooting, as the Bucks rank third in the NBA in three-point percentage (37.8%). Damian Lillard, Khris Middleton, and Malik Beasley all shoot over 36% from beyond the arc. The Bucks also rank fifth in the league in rebounding (47.2 per game).

Like their Tuesday counterparts, the Bucks haven’t been a profitable betting team against the number in the 2023-24 season. Milwaukee is only 32-39 ATS, including 17-19 ATS at home. The “over” has cashed in 34 of their 71 games.

Lakers vs Bucks Player Props

NBA player props have been released for the Lakers vs Bucks showdown, with oddsmakers forecasting another big game from Giannis. The “Greek Freak” has the highest point total on the board at 29.9, while LeBron James props aren’t available due to his injury status.

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo 29.5 (Ov -123 | Un -111) 12.5 (Ov -101 | Un -135) 6.5 (Ov -119 | Un -115) 0.5 (Ov +118 | Un -163)
Anthony Davis 24.5 (Ov -117 | Un -117) 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un -109) 3.5 (Ov -115 | Un -119) 0.5 (Ov +143 | Un -199)
Damian Lillard 23.5 (Ov -129 | Un -106) 4.5 (Ov +102 | Un -139) 7.5 (Ov +108 | Un -148) 3.5 (Ov +106 | Un -145)
D’Angelo Russell 20.5 (Ov -109 | Un -125) 3.5 (Ov -111 | Un -123) 7.5 (Ov -129 | Un -106) 3.5 (Ov -111 | Un -123)
Austin Reaves 17.5 (Ov -106 | Un -129) 4.5 (Ov -117 | Un -117) 5.5 (Ov -148 | Un +108) 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -166)
Khris Middleton 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -109) 4.5 (Ov -163 | Un +118) 5.5 (Ov -139 | Un +102) 1.5 (Ov -133 | Un -103)
Rui Hachimura 14.5 (Ov -125 | Un -109) 4.5 (Ov -106 | Un -129) 1.5 (Ov +172 | Un -244) 1.5 (Ov +106 | Un -145)
Bobby Portis 13.5 (Ov -115 | Un -119) 7.5 (Ov -139 | Un +102) OFF 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -166)
Brook Lopez 10.5 (Ov -104 | Un -131) 4.5 (Ov -113 | Un -121) 1.5 (Ov +106 | Un -145) 1.5 (Ov -184 | Un +133)
Malik Beasley 10.5 (Ov -117 | Un -117) 3.5 (Ov -106 | Un -129) 1.5 (Ov +165 | Un -234) 2.5 (Ov -111 | Un -123)
Jae Crowder OFF OFF OFF 0.5 (Ov -179 | Un +129)
Pat Connaughton OFF OFF OFF 0.5 (Ov -214 | Un +152)

NBA Player props odds as of March. 26, at Caesars Sportsbook.

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The NBA player prop bet we like the most in this game is Austin Reaves over 17.5 points. If James is out, Reaves will step into a larger role with a high ceiling for his point total. The 25-year-old shooting guard is coming off a 25-point, eight-assist, and five-rebound game against the Pacers on Sunday.

Reaves’ usage jumps over five percentage points when LeBron is not on the floor, averaging 19.1 points in those games. Reaves only scored 18 points in the first meetings, as Russell went off for 44. While D’Lo should have another strong game, that was an outlier performance, and the point distribution should be more even on Tuesday.

Lakers vs Bucks Prop Bets:

  • Austin Reaves Over 17.5 Points (-106 at Caesars)

Lakers vs Bucks Prediction

While the Lakers have been playing well recently and have the star power to compete with anyone, the Bucks’ depth and home-court advantage give them the edge in this matchup. If LeBron James is unable to play, it will be an even tougher task for the Lakers to leave Milwaukee with a win.

Although we like the Bucks to win outright on their home court, we think the Lakers offer some value to cover the number. LA is the more desperate team as they aim to secure a play-in spot, and they’ve covered in three straight meetings between the two clubs at Fiserv Forum.

The Lakers lead the NBA with a +420 free-throw differential, almost double that of the Bucks. Russell, coming off a 44-point game in the last meeting, should help provide enough scoring on Tuesday, while Davis will protect the rim and make life difficult for Antetokounmpo.

LAL vs MIL Pick:

  • Lakers +9.5 (-110)

 

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