March 11 NBA Player Props – Over/Unders and Favorite Friday Picks

• Friday night is loaded with intriguing NBA games, including the Cavaliers in Miami
• Play-In hopefuls Charlotte and New Orleans matchup, and Devin Booker leads the Suns against Toronto
• Read below for the latest NBA player props and best bets

Minnesota and Orlando get Friday night’s NBA slate underway with a 7:10pm ET tip-off. The impressive T-Wolves are seven-point favorites in Florida. Two more games get started half an hour later with the Hawks hosting the Clippers and the red-hot Celtics taking on Cade Cunningham and the Pistons.

In one of four games starting at 8:10pm ET, the Cavs are five-point dogs against Miami with Jarrett Allen joining Collin Sexton on the sidelines. Memphis hosts New York at the same time, and there’s an all-Texas matchup with Luka Doncic and co against the Rockets. The up-and-down Charlotte Hornets are narrowly favored over the Pelicans.

The Jazz are in San Antonio, and the Phoenix Suns host the Toronto Raptors with Devin Booker poised for another big night. Washington is in Los Angeles to face the struggling Lakers in the final game of the night.

NBA Player Props – March 11th

Odds as of Mar 11th at FanDuel Sportsbook

On an historic run, Jayson Tatum might not be a frontrunner in NBA MVP odds, but he’s got the highest points line of Friday night at 28.5.Leading candidate in the DPOY odds Rudy Gobert leads the way on the boards with a 13.5 line.

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Spurs Slow Down Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell is just 17 for 55 from three over his last five games. He’s only notched four or more treys in three of those outings, and he’s facing a San Antonio defense which excels at limiting opponent perimeter looks. Gregg Popovich’s team is second in the NBA in percentage of opponent shots from beyond the arc.

San Antonio’s defense ranks poorly overall of late, but Mitchell is in line for a difficult individual matchup with Dejounte Murray. Murray is an elite defender, ranking sixth in defensive win shares among guards, and with the length to trouble Mitchell’s shot.

Fred VanVleet was held to three threes in the Spurs’ last game. Malik Monk went one-for-seven in the game before. The Spurs have a defense which forces shooters away from the three-point line, which should see Mitchell attempt fewer threes than usual (he averages 9.7 three-point attempts per game).

Given what is a minor shooting slump for the Jazz guard, there’s value backing him to make three or fewer threes on Friday night, particularly at plus odds.

• Pick: Donovan Mitchell under 3.5 threes (+134)

Booker Continues Powering Suns Without CP3

Devin Booker averages 27, 5.8 and 8.3 over his last four games. He’s put up 36 or more points, rebounds and assists in each of those contests, as he’s taken on a much greater playmaking responsibility with Chris Paul sidelined.

Booker has a higher assist rate than De’Aaron Fox, Ja Morant and Giannis Antetokounmpo over that span. He’s rebounding it more frequently than Tobias Harris and Franz Wagner. While Paul’s injury is a concern for Phoenix’s NBA Championship odds, it has provided Booker an opportunity to flourish, putting up the best all-round numbers of his career.

The Suns are facing a Toronto team which is in the bottom half of the league in assists given up and ranks around average in rebounding rate over the last 10. They are a strong defensive team, but as we’ve seen so often, that doesn’t mean they can keep Booker’s scoring under control.

Booker can get to this over in scoring alone, but even if he’s not at his most lethal as a shooter, his recent production as a passer and rebounder should carry him past this line with ease.

• Pick: Devin Booker over 35.5 points, rebounds and assists (-122)