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Rockets vs Warriors Game 6 Player Props to Bet

Chris Amberley

By Chris Amberley in NBA Basketball

Published:


Jimmy Butler celebrates a bucket with Draymond Green.
Apr 28, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA; Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green (23) celebrates with forward Jimmy Butler III (10) after a play against the Houston Rockets during the fourth quarter of game four of the 2025 NBA Playoffs first round at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images
  • The Rockets face the Warriors in a pivotal Game 6 of their first-round series tonight
  • Jimmy Butler has exceeded 21.5 points in seven of eight games where’s played 36+ minutes for Golden State
  • See the best Rockets vs Warriors Game 6 Player Props to Bet, below

Game 6 of the Rockets vs Warriors first-round series goes tonight in Golden State at 9pm ET / 6pm PT. The Warriors hold a 3-2 series lead, and tonight’s matchup is basically a must-win.

Golden State’s older legs cannot afford a Game 7 in Houston against the youthful Rockets, especially with a rested Timberwolves team awaiting the winner in the NBA playoff bracket.

That’s why I’m backing Jimmy Butler in the Rockets vs Warriors player props market.

Rockets vs Warriors Game 6 Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsThrees Made
Steph Curry (GS)25.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -140 | U +110)5.5 (O -140 | U +110)4.5 (O +120 | U -154)
Jimmy Butler (GS)21.5 (O -114 | U -114)5.5 (O -135 | U +105)5.5 (O -120 | U -110)0.5 (O -166 | U +130)
Alperen Sengun (HOU)21.5 (O -105 | U -125)10.5 (O +100 | U -130)4.5 (O -110 | U -120)OFF
Fred VanVleet (HOU)15.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O -166 | U +130)4.5 (O +100 | U -130)2.5 (O -160 | U +124)
Jalen Green (HOU)15.5 (O -105 | U -125)4.5 (O +100 | U -130)2.5 (O -130 | U +100)1.5 (O -160 | U +124)
Brandin Podziemski (GS)14.5 (O -105 | U -125)5.5 (O +100 | U -130)3.5 (O -120 | U -110)2.5 (O +124 | U -160)
Amen Thompson (HOU)13.5 (O -115 | U -115)6.5 (O -154 | U +120)3.5 (O -120 | U -110)OFF
Dillon Brooks (HOU)12.5 (O +100 | U -130)3.5 (O +114 | U -145)1.5 (O +124 | U -160)1.5 (O -145 | U +114)
Buddy Hield (GS)9.5 (O -105 | U -125)3.5 (O +135 | U -175)1.5 (O -115 | U -115)2.5 (O +135 | U -175)
Draymond Green (GS)8.5 (O -130 | U +100)6.5 (O -130 | U +100)4.5 (O +130 | U -166)1.5 (O +160 | U -210)
Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU)7.5 (O -115 | U -115)4.5 (O -115 | U -115)OFF1.5 (O +175 | U -230)
Tari Eason (HOU)6.5 (O -130 | U +100)4.5 (O +114 | U -145)OFF0.5 (O -130 | U +100)

Butler is tied for the second-highest points over/under at 21.5 with Alperen Sengun. They’re 4 points behind Steph Curry, whose 25.5 points prop tops the slate.

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Rockets vs Warriors Player Props To Bet #1: Jimmy Butler Over 21.5 Points

They don’t call him Playoff Jimmy for nothing. Without him, the Warriors are an afterthought in the NBA Championship odds. Butler averaged over 27 points in his last two postseason runs with Miami, and was instrumental in Golden State’s wins in Games 1 and 4. He produced 25 and 27 points in those outings, shooting 55% along the way.

Butler was a non-factor in the other games, but let’s examine why. He was injured early in Game 2, sat out Game 3, and logged only 25 minutes in the Game 5 blowout. Yes, he was abysmal from the floor last time out, but that was an outlier performance.

YouTube video

In a must-win game tonight, you can count on heavy minutes for Butler. He’s played 36+ minutes eight times alongside Curry during his Golden State tenure, clearing 22 points seven times.

  • Jimmy Butler Over 21.5 Points (-114 at FanDuel)

Rockets vs Warriors Player Props To Bet #2: Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points

While we’re backing Butler, we’re fading his teammate Draymond Green in the points market. Green’s prop sits at 8.5, a line he hasn’t cleared all series.

Green’s role on this team is to defend and rebound like a manic, and facilitate on offense. He’s the last scoring option when he’s on the floor, and his lack of volume supports that. Green has attempted only 33 shots all series. He’s shooting 36.4% from the floor, and 26.3% from three.

Warriors Starting 5 Shooting Stats

PlayerTS%3P%
Steph Curry64.339.6
Jimmy Butler58.328.6
Brandin Podziemski51.838.7
Buddy Hield51.233.3
Draymond Green45.526.3

He’s been less efficient than usual, which we can attribute to the Rockets tremendous defense. In the regular season, 34% of Green’s threes were uncontested. In the playoffs so far, that number is just 24%. He’s getting less open looks, and this isn’t a guy who is going to splash a jumper with a hand in his face.

  • Draymond Green Under 8.5 Points (+100 at FanDuel)
Chris Amberley
Chris Amberley

Sports Writer

As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.

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