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Spurs vs Warriors Game 2: Preview and Prediction

Andre Iguodala
Andre Iguodala was inserted into the Warriors' starting lineup for Game 1 of their playoff series against the Spurs. Photo by Keith Allison (wikipedia) [CC License].
  • Warriors try to keep up the pace after Game 1 drubbing of Spurs
  • San Antonio looks to contain Golden State’s high-octane offense
  • Kevin Durant takes control while Stephen Curry recovers from knee injury

No Steph was no problem for Golden State in Game 1 of their Western Conference opening round playoff series against the San Antonio Spurs, and they look to hold serve back at Oracle Monday night and take a 2-0 lead in their best-of-seven series.

Veteran Andre Iguodala moved into the starting lineup to replace Curry, but he took a back seat to the superstars, as the Warriors – who finished the regular season 7-10 – got back to business as usual.

Kevin Durant was his usual all-around bad-ass playoff self, while Klay Thompson fired lightning bolts from every part of the court. San Antonio, entering the game as the best defensive team in basketball (surrendering just 99 points a game), could only plug the hole in the dam for so long before getting washed away.

When you’re held to just 92 points and 40 per cent shooting, there’s one thing even more certain than a San Antonio loss: a gem of a Gregg Popopvich presser, where the questions are lobbed slowly, the shrapnel flies, and very few Q’s qualify as worthy of a real response.

San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Team Stats

OFFENSE

Spurs
VS
Warriors

105.5 Offensive Rating 112.3
102.7 Points 113.5
22.8 Assists 29.3
45.7 Field-Goal Percentage 50.3
35.2 Three-Point Percentage 39.1
+2.9 Plus/Minus +6.0

*Stats do not include the playoffs

DEFENSE

Spurs
VS
Warriors

102.4 Defensive Rating 104.2
99.8 Points 107.5
+1.7 Rebounding Differential +1.0
-0.9 Turnover Differential +1.5
45.2 Field-Goal Percentage 44.7
34.8 Three-Point Percentage 35.7
43.8 Points In The Paint 44.1

*Stats do not include the playoffs

Tony Parker
Tony Parker and the rest of the veteran Spurs will need to help win one in Oakland.
Photo by Keith Allison (wikipedia) [CC License].

Head-to-Head Results

Date Location Score Winner
April 14 – Playoff GS 113-92 GS
March 20 – Regular Season SA 89-75 SA
March 9 – Regular Season GS 110-107 GS
Feb. 10 – Regular Season GS 122-105 GS
Nov. 12 – Regular Season SA 112-92 GS

File Game 1 under the same tab as the storyline for basically every game of the regular season where Golden State fielded a reasonable lineup (two of their four all-stars in uniform).

When Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio’s best player and true superstar is MIA, they are just not talented, athletic or anything enough to be capable of handling the Warriors.

Golden State mines great shots, which is why they easily led the league in assists again this season at close to 30 dimes a contest. Eventually, that ball movement finds its way into a clean look. And if all else fails, Durant can go and get a bucket any time he wants.

It’s almost unfair.

Notable Injuries and Absences

Spurs Warriors
Kawhi Leonard (quad): QUESTIONABLE Stephen Curry (knee): OUT

 Straight Up Advice: Warriors (122-110)

Expect more resistance from the Spurs, who rarely put up back-to-back playoff stinkers, but it might not be enough. The Warriors looked rusty and still shot 54-percent from the field and 45-percent from beyond the arc.

LaMarcus Aldridge was also outscored by Javale McGee 15-14 and handled defensively. San Antonio’s lone all-star currently playing needs to be the best player in the game for his team to have a chance at a win. Some help from the vets would also be nice – that’s you Manu Ginobili, Tony Parker, Rudy Gay and Pau Gasol.

The Warriors looked rusty and still shot 54 per cent from the field and 45 per cent from beyond the arc.

There are small paths to success: the Spurs did force 15 turnovers, and any Warriors weakness begins with their carelessness with the ball. If they can win an advantage on the glass, instead of the -10 they had in Game 1, that could earn them enough possessions to keep it close.

Still, too much Durant / Klay in this one again. Dubs roll.

Team Trends – Regular Season

Spurs Warriors
San Antonio is 14-28 SU on the road Golden State is 30-12 SU at home
San Antonio is 4-6 SU in its last ten games Golden State is 5-5 SU in its last ten games
San Antonio is 5-19 SU as an underdog Golden State is 58-19 SU as a favorite
San Antonio  is 19-16-0 ATS after a loss Golden State is 21-36-1 ATS after a win
San Antonio is 41-39-3 ATS this season (51.2%) Golden State is 34-48-1 ATS this season (41.5%)
San Antonio is 16-25-1 ATS on the road Golden State is 16-25-1 ATS at home 

Additional SU Picks (April 16th)

Just one other series goes Monday night, and it’s a big one in the City of Brotherly Love, as the Sixers try to go 2-0 on the Heat.

 Match-Up SU Pick
Heat vs 76ers – Game 2 Heat

 

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Born and bred in the West, Eric is a print and broadcast journalism graduate now based on the East Coast. He has been specializing in NBA and NFL odds and news with SportsBettingDime since 2017, and spends the majority of his free time convincing his wife to spend Sundays with him on the couch.