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Warriors vs Kings Predictions, Odds, Spread for Game 2

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NBA Basketball

Updated Apr 19, 2023 · 7:44 AM PDT

De'Aaron Fox and Malik Monk react after Fox makes a three-pointer
Apr 15, 2023; Sacramento, California, USA; Sacramento Kings guard De'Aaron Fox (5) reacts after making a three point basket against the Golden State Warriors in the third quarter during game one of the 2023 NBA playoffs at the Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Golden State Warriors are -115 favorites to even up their series with the Kings for Game 2 Monday
  • Sacramento guard De’Aaron Fox had 38 points in his NBA playoff debut in the Game 1 win
  • Read below for the Warriors vs Kings Game 2 odds and predictions

While they were able to Light the Beam in Game 1, the Sacramento Kings’ focus will be to hold the fort when they host the Golden State Warriors in Game 2 of their best-of-7 series.

It was a spirited and raucous 126-123 win for the Kings in Game 1, who went toe-to-toe with the defending champs in their first playoff game in 17 years.

Golden State’s postseason success in the Curry-Thompson-Green-Kerr era has been due to their resilience in a hostile environment. The Dubs will try to win a road game for a record 28th consecutive series before heading back to the Bay.

Game 2 goes Monday (April 17) at 10pm ET from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA. You can watch the game live on TNT.

Warriors vs Kings Game 2 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Golden State Warriors -1 (-110) -115 Ov 240 (-110)
Sacramento Kings +1 (-110) -105 Un 240 (-110)

Identical to Game 1, the NBA odds are favoring the Warriors by a point, with -115 odds on the moneyline, an implied win probability of 53.49%. The game also features a total of 240, 2.5 points higher than the opener.

It’s been well documented, but GState was a brutal 11-30 on the road this season, the worst record of any playoff team standing.

Sacramento is just 19-22-1 against the spread at home this season — a bottom-8 mark in the NBA.

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Odds as of April 16 at DraftKings

Golden State Betting Analysis

There are plenty of reasons to be optimistic for this Warriors team heading into Game 2. The return of Andrew Wiggins was a huge boost to the Warriors, and the wing didn’t miss a beat, going for 17 points, three boards and four blocks in his return after missing 25 games.

He did, however, miss a crucial three-pointer with 10.3 seconds left to give the Dubs the outright lead, part of a rough 1-for-8 mark from downtown.

Steph Curry was his usual laser-throwing self, dropping a team-high 30 points, with six rebounds and two assists. Curry also had a clean look to tie and the buzzer, but his running three-ball rimmed left to end it.

Klay Thompson had 21 points, six rebounds and five assists, while Draymond Green had 11 assists, nine rebounds and four points.

On the injury front, Jordan Poole suffered a sprained ankle in Game 1, and is listed as questionable. Poole had 17 points and three assists off the bench.

Golden State will need to work on the glass in Game 2, after being outrebounded 50-41, and surrendering 17 offensive rebounds. That allowed SacTo to attempt eight more field goal attempts. In a game this close, those possessions mattered.

Sacramento Betting Analysis

So much for playoff jitters. De’Aaron Fox was the best player on the floor in his first NBA playoff game, hanging a game-high 38 points, with five assists and three steals. That was the second-highest scoring playoff debut in NBA history.

He got some help from his Kentucky teammate, as Malik Monk came off the bench to score 32 points and grab three boards. Monk was also a perfect 14-for-14 from the stripe.

The pair did his damage in the clutch, with Fox scoring 15 fourth quarter points, including a 3-for-3 mark from downtown. The duo closed things out by scoring 28 of the Kings’ final 35 points.

Monk helped offset the off night from Domantas Sabonis, who was just 5-for-17 from the field, finishing with 12 points, but also adding 16 boards.

A bottom-5 team at defending the three-pointer this season, SacTo held the Warriors to 16-for-50 from distance, a 32% clip. The Warriors usually shoot it at a 38.5% rate, the 2nd-best in the NBA.

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Warriors vs Kings Game 2 Betting Prediction

This was just the fourth Game 1 playoff loss in the Kerr era with the Dubs. In the previous three instances, they’ve bounced back to win each Game 2, winning two of those three series, including last year’s Finals against the Boston Celtics.

Golden State is 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. However, they are also 1-4 ATS in their last five games in Sacramento.

As for the Kings, Saturday’s win was the first in the last five they’ve gone over the total, but if you heard Mike Brown in the start of the fourth quarter interview, he’s urging the Kings to continue to play with pace and outrun the Dubs.

While taking the over is worth a sprinkle, believe in the Warriors getting it done in the clutch.

Pick: 

  • Warriors ML (-115); 1.5 units to win 1.31 units
  • NBA Postseason Record: 0-1 ATS; 1-3 o/u; -4.64 units
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